Asia’s influence in the global family office industry is growing and may well accelerate, EIU study finds
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Video | The family office boom: Key findings
Key findings of the report "The family office boom: Contrasts between East and West"
Video | The family office boom: Contrasts between East and West
This report examines the different approaches of family offices in the East (the Asia region generally) and West (Europe and North America) and explores the role culture, family and wealth generation play in terms of their structure and management.
The next glocalisation: opportunity out of crisis in Asia
While globalisation may be under threat, so-called glocalisation looks set to resurge. In essence, to be “glocal” means making the most of both global and local resources—creating standalone ecosystems in individual markets. The term was popular in marketing parlance several years ago, but in a new incarnation it could apply as much to services and operations.
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Podcast | US elections: What will a Trump / Biden presidency mean for Asia...
In this episode, The EIU's senior editor Jason Wincuinas speaks to Zhang Lipei, Director of the Beijing Office at the US-China Business Council, and Nick Marro, Lead Analyst for Global Trade, China and Macau, and supporting analyst for Taiwan at The EIU about the two possible outcomes of the US elections, what they might mean for businesses in Asia and how they might impact US-China relations.
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Listen to part 2 of this US elections special podcast and subscribe for upcoming episodes.
Relevant reports by The Economist Intelligence Unit:
US-China relations under a Biden presidency Asia’s inward turn, looking at regional trade policy amid US-China strains and Covid-19 disruptions Telecoms demand will be strong in 2021 but US-China disputes will complicate 5G rollout EIU Global Outlook: Siding with the US or with China?Global business barometer
Optimism is in short supply almost everywhere. The covid-19 pandemic has led to society-wide lockdowns across the world, bringing all but commerce and services deemed most essential to a sudden halt, large portions of countries are sheltering at home and unemployment is spiking. The IMF, in its latest World Economic Outlook, forecasts the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression as a result of these measures. The WTO has also revised its projections for global trade in 2020; total volumes could fall from 13% to 32%, depending on the length of the pandemic and the effectiveness of policy responses.
To understand and track private-sector views on the impact of covid-19, how businesses are coping and their plans for the next three months and beyond, The Economist Intelligence Unit, supported by SAS, is launching the Global Business Barometer (GBB) this month. Based on an initial online survey of 2,758 executives from 118 countries, fielded from March 26th to April 6th, we ask questions ranging from their outlook on the global economy and investment plans to operational and risk management strategies. The Global Business Barometer will be updated every month to track changes in sentiment over time.
The first podcast episode on the Global Business Barometer is hosted by Charles Ross, editorial director of The EIU for Asia, with guest Andrew Staples, editorial director of the Economist Corporate Network.
In the second episode, the editorial team at the Economist Intelligence Unit continue the discussion on the Covid-19 pandemic with the UK and other countries' responses, and the outlook for a vaccine and treatments. This episode is hosted by Chris Clague, managing editor and global editorial lead for trade and globalisation, with Elizabeth Sukkar, managing editor and global editorial lead for healthcare.
In the third episode, The EIU speaks to Dr Steve Bennett, director of global government practice at SAS, about where companies are on the survival / adaptation / recovery curve. This episode is hosted by Chris Clague, managing editor and global editorial lead for trade and globalisation.
In the fourth episode of this series, Chris Clague, managing editor at The EIU speaks to Taimur Baig, managing director and chief economist at DBS Bank (00:00-21:17); Alex Kwiatkowski, industry lead for banking and capital markets at SAS (21:17-37:03); and Jesse Quigley Jones, managing editor for healthcare at The EIU (37:03-46:15) about industry responses against the macro backdrop.
Get full barometer readings >
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Podcast | Intertwined relations: China, the US, and the global trade of AI
In this episode, senior editor Jason Wincuinas speaks to Jeffrey Ding, a Rhodes Scholar at the University of Oxford and the China lead at “The Centre for the Governance of AI”, which is part of the Future of Humanity Institute, and founder of "ChinAI" (chinai.substack.com), a newsletter that shares translations of Chinese AI research papers.
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THE RESILIENT TREASURY: Optimising strategy in the face of covid-19 | Video
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THE RESILIENT TREASURY: Optimising strategy in the face of covid-19
The resilient treasury: Optimising strategy in the face of covid-19 is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, supported by Deutsche Bank. Our analysis explores attitudes among corporate treasurers towards the drivers of strategic change in the treasury function, the macro and financial risks that impact strategy, the effect of negative interest rates on investment plans and the regulatory initiatives that are currently top of mind for treasurers. The study also analyses the technologies that treasurers are using today, the skills that the treasury function requires and approaches towards cyber security. Finally, it identifies the priorities that treasurers will pursue up to 2025.
The report is based on a survey of 300 senior corporate treasury executives conducted between April and May 2020. Of these, a third of respondents represent companies with an annual revenue of at least US$5bn. The 2020 survey also includes findings from previous Economist Intelligence Unit corporate treasurer surveys in this series, conducted between 2015 and 2019.
Executives were drawn from three regions (North America, AsiaPacific, Europe and the Middle East and Africa) and a broad range of sectors, including aerospace/defence (2.3%); agriculture and agribusiness (4%); automotive (7.7%); chemicals (6.7%); construction and real estate (5.7%); consumer goods (7%); energy and natural resources (7%); entertainment, media and publishing (6.3%); financial services (7.7%); healthcare, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology (7.3%); IT and technology (7%); logistics and distribution (4.7%); manufacturing (8.0%); professional services (1.7%); retail (5%); telecommunications (7%); and transport, travel and tourism (4.7%).
As part of the research, we conducted a series of in-depth interviews in May 2020 with senior treasury executives from around the world. Our thanks are due to the following for their time and insight:
Rando Bruns, head of group treasury, Merck KGaA Charles Cao, group treasurer, Ant Financial Neil Peacock, global head of cash management, ABB Anita Polzhofer, head of treasury, Arup Jim Scurlock, head of cash management, MicrosoftExecutive summary
No sooner had treasurers started to implement strategies for 2020 than the economic picture for the year changed irrevocably. The covid-19 pandemic spread across the globe at extraordinary speed and treasury plans had to alter dramatically. The treasury function had to quickly shift to a remote working environment and switch focus away from long-term cash forecasts in favour of shorter-term and more regularly interrogated forecasts to get an accurate picture of cash and liquidity. Covid-19 has also impacted treasurers’ short-term concerns about the outlook for the macro global environment and the likely consequences. Furthermore, non-core treasury activities, such as sustainable finance, are lesser priorities in the present climate.
In order to highlight the forces that will shape and define both the priorities of the future and the corporate treasury function itself over the coming decade, the first chapter of this report discusses the financial and macro risks that are impacting strategy and investment plans. The second explores the regulatory initiatives that are currently top of mind for treasurers and their implications. The third examines the technologies that treasurers are using today, the skills that the treasury function requires and approaches towards cyber security. The final chapter identifies and discusses the priorities that treasurers will pursue up to 2025. In each chapter we compare results from this year’s survey with those from previous years where relevant.
Key findings
Macro risks will drive change within the treasury function and specifically the way in which strategy is defined. Respondents believe pandemic risk driven by covid-19 will have the most impact on corporate treasury, not just in the short term (43%), but also in the medium term (27%). Other pandemic-related risks also poll strongly: global economic growth concerns are high on the list (31%) and geopolitical risks are deemed problematic by a quarter of treasurers (25%) in the medium term. Due to the current climate of uncertainty treasurers plan to diversify investment portfolios. The survey shows that the pandemic has pushed a variety of risk management techniques to the fore. Liquidity risk, foreign exchange risk and mitigation of interest rate risk have become vital to navigate increasingly volatile markets. Meanwhile, a focus on counterparty risk is critical for supply chain management as smaller suppliers face tough times as a result of the sudden economic downturn. Treasurers say that over the next 12-24 months they plan to increase investments in long-term instruments (55%), bank deposits (48%), local investment products (48%) and money market funds (47%). The replacement of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) for lending and borrowing, and other Interbank Offered Rates (IBORs), is the most challenging regulatory initiative for treasury. Thirty-eight percent of respondents in this year’s survey consider it to be the main challenge for their function. Other regulatory initiatives whose impact will need to be managed include General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR, cited by 32%, up from 29% in 2019), the OECD’s initiative against base erosion and profit sharing (BEPS, 31%, up from 18%) and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II, 30%, up from 7%). Digital transformation, accelerated by the pandemic, continues to impact the corporate treasury and there is increasing reliance on technology dayto-day. Treasurers are increasingly seeing new technologies as a way to bridge existing data issues in the “Know Your Customer” (KYC) process, for example. The majority of treasurers (74%) have identified the use of new technologies as the most useful action to improve the KYC process. This is a significant jump from 58% in 2018. As corporate treasurers wade deeper into their data strategy, concern over data quality has grown. The survey found that 78% of treasurers say they are either very or somewhat concerned about the quality of data, which is up from 69% only a year ago. Internal data issues stem from having to link up numerous systems and software. Externally, the lack of standardisation on electronic bank account statements is particularly problematic. Treasury priorities for the future will be shaped by macro risks, regulatory changes and emerging technologies. The utmost priorities on the treasury agenda in 2020 are managing relationships with banks and suppliers (32%) and collaborating with other functions in the business (32%). Looking ahead, our survey suggests that the data-driven approach of treasury will allow the function to become an even more supportive and proactive partner to the rest of the business. By working with banking partners, suppliers and third parties to optimise processes, treasury can collaborate more closely with other business functions to drive corporate growth.For a compelling summary of the key findings of our research, view our animated infographic here.
Steering through collaboration: CFOs driving new priorities for the future
It is well established that the modern CFO has a more strategic role to play in a business, but a clear action plan to achieve this is lacking. A key element of this is helping the business to deal with change. Some changes are planned: launching a new product or service, setting up operations in a new region or acquiring a competitor. Others may be unexpected: a major disruption to supply-chain operations, the emergence of new regulation and legal reporting requirements or the unpredictable impacts of global economic uncertainty.
Either way, when asked about the biggest challenges they face in executing their day-to-day activities, change is a recurring theme, according to a new survey of 800 CFOs and senior finance executives, conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit. Managing unexpected changes to financial forecasts and adapting finance processes to rapidly evolving business models are top of mind.
Managing unexpected changes to financial forecasts and adapting finance processes to rapidly evolving business models are top challenges finance executives face in executing their day to-day activities.
Finance executives are also concerned with identifying how to align strategic, financial and operational plans towards common objectives and meaningfully analysing data across business units and regions. “All functions are working to meet these challenges and, as a finance head, we have to have visibility across all functions, how they are progressing [towards meeting goals] and ensuring that their direction is in line with overall strategic goals,” says Lalit Malik, CFO of Dabur, an Indian consumer goods manufacturer. It is incumbent upon CFOs therefore to be prepared not only to help their own function navigate uncharted territory, but the rest of the business too. That means breaking down the silos that commonly exist in organisations, in order to collaborate closely across functions, sharing information and data in the pursuit of common objectives.
All functions are working to meet these challenges and, as a finance head, we have to have visibility across all functions, how they are progressing [towards meeting goals] and ensuring that their direction is in line with overall strategic goals - Lalit Malik, CFO of Dabur, an Indian consumer goods manufacturer.
The clear custodian of collaboration
There are a number of reasons why the role of leading cross-company collaboration around steering should fall to the CFO and their team. First, through the activities of budgeting, the finance function is the custodian of the clear, quantitative expression of management expectations and determines how resources such as cash and people will be allocated in order to achieve them. In our survey, 90% of respondents say that finance should facilitate collaborative enterprise planning to ensure that operational plans are aligned with financial and strategic plans.
Second, through performance management, the finance function is the gatekeeper for critical data that illustrate how well—or otherwise—the company is rising to the challenge of change. That includes data relating to sales, supply chain and delivery, which need to be reported back to the business in ways that help drive improved decisionmaking. Our survey reveals that companies in which finance executives feel empowered to drive strategic decisions across business functions are more likely to report a higher financial performance in fiscal year 2016/17 and 2017/18 and anticipate higher growth rates for 2019/20.
Download Complete Executive Summary PDF
Transforming data into action
As businesses generate and manage vast amounts of data, companies have more opportunities to gather data, incorporate insights into business strategy and continuously expand access to data across the organisation. Doing so effectively—leveraging data for strategic objectives—is often easier said than done, however. This report, Transforming data into action: the business outlook for data governance, explores the business contributions of data governance at organisations globally and across industries, the challenges faced in creating useful data governance policies and the opportunities to improve such programmes. Learn more by downloading our whitepaper below.
THE RESILIENT TREASURY: Optimising strategy in the face of covid-19
The resilient treasury: Optimising strategy in the face of covid-19 is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, supported by Deutsche Bank. Our analysis explores attitudes among corporate treasurers towards the drivers of strategic change in the treasury function, the macro and financial risks that impact strategy, the effect of negative interest rates on investment plans and the regulatory initiatives that are currently top of mind for treasurers.
Related content
THE RESILIENT TREASURY: Optimising strategy in the face of covid-19 | Video
For a compelling summary of the key findings of our research, view our animated infographic here.
Steering through collaboration: CFOs driving new priorities for the future
It is well established that the modern CFO has a more strategic role to play in a business, but a clear action plan to achieve this is lacking. A key element of this is helping the business to deal with change. Some changes are planned: launching a new product or service, setting up operations in a new region or acquiring a competitor. Others may be unexpected: a major disruption to supply-chain operations, the emergence of new regulation and legal reporting requirements or the unpredictable impacts of global economic uncertainty.
Either way, when asked about the biggest challenges they face in executing their day-to-day activities, change is a recurring theme, according to a new survey of 800 CFOs and senior finance executives, conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit. Managing unexpected changes to financial forecasts and adapting finance processes to rapidly evolving business models are top of mind.
Managing unexpected changes to financial forecasts and adapting finance processes to rapidly evolving business models are top challenges finance executives face in executing their day to-day activities.
Finance executives are also concerned with identifying how to align strategic, financial and operational plans towards common objectives and meaningfully analysing data across business units and regions. “All functions are working to meet these challenges and, as a finance head, we have to have visibility across all functions, how they are progressing [towards meeting goals] and ensuring that their direction is in line with overall strategic goals,” says Lalit Malik, CFO of Dabur, an Indian consumer goods manufacturer. It is incumbent upon CFOs therefore to be prepared not only to help their own function navigate uncharted territory, but the rest of the business too. That means breaking down the silos that commonly exist in organisations, in order to collaborate closely across functions, sharing information and data in the pursuit of common objectives.
All functions are working to meet these challenges and, as a finance head, we have to have visibility across all functions, how they are progressing [towards meeting goals] and ensuring that their direction is in line with overall strategic goals - Lalit Malik, CFO of Dabur, an Indian consumer goods manufacturer.
The clear custodian of collaboration
There are a number of reasons why the role of leading cross-company collaboration around steering should fall to the CFO and their team. First, through the activities of budgeting, the finance function is the custodian of the clear, quantitative expression of management expectations and determines how resources such as cash and people will be allocated in order to achieve them. In our survey, 90% of respondents say that finance should facilitate collaborative enterprise planning to ensure that operational plans are aligned with financial and strategic plans.
Second, through performance management, the finance function is the gatekeeper for critical data that illustrate how well—or otherwise—the company is rising to the challenge of change. That includes data relating to sales, supply chain and delivery, which need to be reported back to the business in ways that help drive improved decisionmaking. Our survey reveals that companies in which finance executives feel empowered to drive strategic decisions across business functions are more likely to report a higher financial performance in fiscal year 2016/17 and 2017/18 and anticipate higher growth rates for 2019/20.
Download Complete Executive Summary PDF
Transforming data into action
As businesses generate and manage vast amounts of data, companies have more opportunities to gather data, incorporate insights into business strategy and continuously expand access to data across the organisation. Doing so effectively—leveraging data for strategic objectives—is often easier said than done, however. This report, Transforming data into action: the business outlook for data governance, explores the business contributions of data governance at organisations globally and across industries, the challenges faced in creating useful data governance policies and the opportunities to improve such programmes. Learn more by downloading our whitepaper below.
Transforming in a pandemic
As 2020 dawned, few business leaders or public sector executives in the ASEAN and ANZ regions harboured any lingering doubts about the need to accelerate their digital transformation. The covid-19 crisis, however, has driven home the urgency of building advanced digital capabilities, and the vital role of the cloud in helping to build them.
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Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorro...
About the research
Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorrow is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Nutanix. It explores expectations of citizens and businesses for smart-city development in some of the world’s major urban centres. The analysis is based on two parallel surveys conducted in 19 cities: one of 6,746 residents and another of 969 business executives. The cities included are Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Dubai, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, London, Los Angeles, Mumbai, New York, Paris, Riyadh, San Francisco, São Paulo, Singapore, Stockholm, Sydney, Tokyo and Zurich.
Respondents to the citizen survey were evenly balanced by age (roughly one-third in each of the 18-38, 39-54 and 55 years and older age groups) and gender. A majority (56%) had household incomes above the median level in their city, with 44% below it. Respondents to the business survey were mainly senior executives (65% at C-suite or director level) working in a range of different functions. They work in large, midsize and small firms in over a dozen industries. See the report appendix for full survey results and demographics.
Additional insights were obtained from indepth interviews with city officials, smart-city experts at NGOs and other institutions, and business executives. We would like to thank the following individuals for their time and insights.
Pascual Berrone, academic co-director, Cities in Motion, and professor, strategic management, IESE Business School (Barcelona) Lawrence Boya, director, Smart City Programme, city of Johannesburg Amanda Daflos, chief innovation officer, city of Los Angeles Linda Gerull, chief information officer, city of San Francisco Praveen Pardeshi, municipal commissioner, Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (Mumbai) • Brian Roberts, policy analyst, city of San Francisco Sameer Sharma, global general manager, Internet of Things (IoT), Intel • Marius Sylvestersen, programme director, Copenhagen Solutions Lab Tan Kok Yam, deputy secretary of the Smart Nation and Digital Government, Prime Minister’s Office, SingaporeThe report was written by Denis McCauley and edited by Michael Gold.
Talent for innovation
Talent for innovation: Getting noticed in a global market incorporates case studies of the 34 companies selected as Technology Pioneers in biotechnology/health, energy/environmental technology, and information technology.
Leonardo Da Vinci unquestionably had it in the 15th century; so did Thomas Edison in the 19th century. But today, "talent for innovation" means something rather different. Innovation is no longer the work of one individual toiling in a workshop. In today's globalised, interconnected world, innovation is the work of teams, often based in particular innovation hotspots, and often collaborating with partners, suppliers and customers both nearby and in other countries.
Innovation has become a global activity as it has become easier for ideas and talented people to move from one country to another. This has both quickened the pace of technological development and presented many new opportunities, as creative individuals have become increasingly prized and there has been greater recognition of new sources of talent, beyond the traditional innovation hotspots of the developed world.
The result is a global exchange of ideas, and a global market for innovation talent. Along with growth in international trade and foreign direct investment, the mobility of talent is one of the hallmarks of modern globalisation. Talented innovators are regarded by companies, universities and governments as a vital resource, as precious as oil or water. They are sought after for the simple reason that innovation in products and services is generally agreed to be a large component, if not the largest component, in driving economic growth. It should be noted that "innovation" in this context does not simply mean the development of new, cutting-edge technologies by researchers.
It also includes the creative ways in which other people then refine, repackage and combine those technologies and bring them to market. Indeed, in his recent book, "The Venturesome Economy", Amar Bhidé, professor of business at Columbia University, argues that such "orchestration" of innovation can actually be more important in driving economic activity than pure research. "In a world where breakthrough ideas easily cross national borders, the origin of ideas is inconsequential," he writes. Ideas cross borders not just in the form of research papers, e-mails and web pages, but also inside the heads of talented people. This movement of talent is not simply driven by financial incentives. Individuals may also be motivated by a desire for greater academic freedom, better access to research facilities and funding, or the opportunity to work with key researchers in a particular field.
Countries that can attract talented individuals can benefit from more rapid economic growth, closer collaboration with the countries where those individuals originated, and the likelihood that immigrant entrepreneurs will set up new companies and create jobs. Mobility of talent helps to link companies to sources of foreign innovation and research expertise, to the benefit of both. Workers who emigrate to another country may bring valuable knowledge of their home markets with them, which can subsequently help companies in the destination country to enter those markets more easily. Analysis of scientific journals suggests that international co-authorship is increasing, and there is some evidence thatcollaborative work has a greater impact than work carried out in one country. Skilled individuals also act as repositories of knowledge, training the next generation and passing on their accumulated wisdom.
But the picture is complicated by a number of concerns. In developed countries which have historically depended to a large extent on foreign talent (such as the United States), there is anxiety that it is becoming increasingly difficult to attract talent as new opportunities arise elsewhere. Compared with the situation a decade ago, Indian software engineers, for example, may be more inclined to set up a company in India, rather than moving to America to work for a software company there. In developed countries that have not historically relied on foreign talent (such as Germany), meanwhile, the ageing of the population as the birth rate falls and life expectancy increases means there is a need to widen the supply of talent, as skilled workers leave the workforce and young people show less interest than they used to in technical subjects. And in developing countries, where there is a huge supply of new talent (hundreds of thousands of engineers graduate from Indian and Chinese universities every year), the worry is that these graduates have a broad technical grounding but may lack the specialised skills demanded by particular industries.
Other shifts are also under way. The increasing sophistication of emerging economies (notably India and China) is overturning the old model of "create in the West, customise for the East". Indian and Chinese companies are now globally competitive in many industries. And although the mobility of talent is increasing, workers who move to another country are less likely to stay for the long-term, and are more likely to return to their country of origin. The number of Chinese students studying abroad increased from 125,000 in 2002 to 134,000 in 2006, for example, but the proportion who stayed in the country where they studied after graduating fell from 85% to 69% over the same period, according to figures from the OECD (see page 10).
What is clear is that the emergence of a global market for talent means gifted innovators are more likely to be able to succeed, and new and unexpected opportunities are being exploited, as this year's Technology Pioneers demonstrate. They highlight three important aspects of the global market for talent: the benefits of mobility, the significant role of diasporas, and the importance of network effects in catalysing innovation.
Brain drain, or gain?
Perhaps the most familiar aspect of the debate about flows of talent is the widely expressed concern about the "brain drain" from countries that supply talented workers. If a country educates workers at the taxpayers' expense, does it not have a claim on their talent? There are also worries that the loss of skilled workers can hamper institutional development and drive up the cost of technical services. But such concerns must be weighed against the benefits of greater mobility.
There are not always opportunities for skilled individuals in their country of birth. The prospect of emigration can encourage the development of skills by individuals who may not in fact decide to emigrate. Workers who emigrate may send remittances back to their families at home, which can be a significant source of income and can help to alleviate poverty. And skilled workers may return to their home countries after a period working abroad, further stimulating knowledge transfer and improving the prospects for domestic growth, since they will maintain contacts with researchers overseas. As a result, argues a recent report from the OECD, it makes more sense to talk of a complex process of "brain circulation" rather than a one-way "brain drain". The movement of talent is not simply a zero-sum gain in which sending countries lose, and receiving countries benefit. Greater availability and mobility of talent opens up new possibilities and can benefit everyone.
Consider, for example, BioMedica Diagnostics of Windsor, Nova Scotia. The company makes medical diagnostic systems, some of them battery-operated, that can be used to provide health care in remote regions to people who would otherwise lack access to it. It was founded by Abdullah Kirumira, a Ugandan biochemist who moved to Canada in 1990 and became a professor at Acadia University. There he developed a rapid test for HIV in conjunction with one of his students, Hermes Chan (a native of Hong Kong who had moved to Canada to study). According to the United States Centers for Disease Control, around one-third of people tested for HIV do not return to get the result when it takes days or weeks to determine. Dr Kirumira and Dr Chan developed a new test that provides the result in three minutes, so that a diagnosis can be made on the spot. Dr Kirumira is a prolific inventor who went on to found several companies, and has been described as "the pioneer of Nova Scotia's biotechnology sector".
Today BioMedica makes a range of diagnostic products that are portable, affordable and robust, making them ideally suited for use in developing countries. They allow people to be rapidly screened for a range of conditions, including HIV, hepatitis, malaria, rubella, typhoid and cholera. The firm's customers include the World Health Organisation. Providing such tests to patients in the developing world is a personal mission of Dr Kirumira's, but it also makes sound business sense: the market for invitro diagnostics in the developing world is growing by over 25% a year, the company notes, compared with growth of only 5% a year in developed nations.
Moving to Canada gave Dr Kirumira research opportunities and access to venture funding that were not available in Uganda. His innovations now provide an affordable way for hospitals in his native continent of Africa to perform vital tests. A similar example is provided by mPedigree, a start-up that has developed a mobile-phone-based system that allows people to verify the authenticity of medicines. Counterfeit drugs are widespread in the developing world: they are estimated to account for 10-25% of all drugs sold, and over 80% in some countries. The World Health Organisation estimates that a fake vaccine for meningitis, distributed in Niger in 1995, killed over 2,500 people. mPedigree was established by Bright Simons, a Ghanaian social entrepreneur, in conjunction with Ashifi Gogo, a fellow Ghanaian. The two were more than just acquaintances having met at Secondary School. There are many high-tech authentication systems available in the developed world for drug packaging, involving radio-frequency identification (RFID) chips, DNA tags, and so forth.
The mPedigree system developed my Mr Gogo, an engineering student, is much cheaper and simpler and only requires the use of a mobile phone — an item that is now spreading more quickly in Africa than in any other region of the world. Once the drugs have been purchased, a panel on the label is scratched off to reveal a special code. The patient then sends this code, by text message, to a particular number. The code is looked up in a database and a message is sent back specifying whether the drugs are genuine. The system is free to use because the drug companies cover the cost of the text messages. It was launched in Ghana in 2007, and mPedigree's founders hope to extend it to all 48 sub-Saharan African countries within a decade, and to other parts of in the developing world.
The effort is being supported by Ghana's Food and Drug Board, and by local telecoms operators and drug manufacturers. Mr Gogo has now been admitted into a special progamme at Dartmouth College in the United States that develops entrepreneurial skills, in addition to technical skills, in engineers. Like Dr Kirumira, he is benefiting from opportunities that did not exist in his home country, and his country is benefiting too. This case of mPedigree shows that it is wrong to assume that the movement of talent is one-way (from poor to rich countries) and permanent. As it has become easier to travel and communications technology has improved, skilled workers have become more likely to spend brief spells in other countries that provide opportunities, rather than emigrating permanently.
And many entrepreneurs and innovators shuttle between two or more places — between Tel Aviv and Silicon Valley, for example, or Silicon Valley and Hsinchu in Taiwan — in a pattern of "circular" migration, in which it is no longer meaningful to distinguish between "sending" and "receiving" countries.
The benefits of a diaspora
Migration (whether temporary, permanent or circular) to a foreign country can be facilitated by the existence of a diaspora, since it can be easier to adjust to a new culture when you are surrounded by compatriots who have already done so. Some observers worry that diasporas make migration too easy, in the sense that they may encourage a larger number of talented individuals to leave their home country than would otherwise be the case, to the detriment of that country.
But as with the broader debate about migration, this turns out to be only part of the story. Diasporas can have a powerful positive effect in promoting innovation and benefiting the home country. Large American technology firms, for example, have set up research centres in India in part because they have been impressed by the calibre of the migrant Indian engineers they have employed in America. Diasporas also provide a channel for knowledge and skills to pass back to the home country.
James Nakagawa, a Canadian of Japanese origin and the founder of Mobile Healthcare, is a case in point. A third-generation immigrant, he grew up in Canada but decided in 1994 to move to Japan, where he worked for a number of technology firms and set up his own financial-services consultancy. In 2000 he had the idea that led him to found Mobile Healthcare, when a friend was diagnosed with diabetes and lamented that he found it difficult to determine which foods to eat, and which to avoid.
The rapid spread of advanced mobile phones in Japan, a world leader in mobile telecoms, prompted Mr Nakagawa to devise Lifewatcher, Mobile Healthcare's main product. It is a "disease selfmanagement system" used in conjunction with a doctor, based around a secure online database that can be accessed via a mobile phone. Patients record what medicines they are taking and what food they are eating, taking a picture of each meal. A database of common foodstuffs, including menu items from restaurants and fast-food chains, helps users work out what they can safely eat. Patients can also call up their medical records to follow the progress of key health indicators, such as blood sugar, blood pressure, cholesterol levels and calorie intake.
All of this information can also be accessed online by the patient's doctor or nutritionist. The system allows people with diabetes or obesity (both of which are rapidly becoming more prevalent in Japan and elsewhere) to take an active role in managing their conditions. Mr Nakagawa did three months of research in the United States and Canada while developing Lifewatcher, which was created with support from Apple (which helped with hardware and software), the Japanese Red Cross and Japan's Ministry of Health and Welfare (which provided full access to its nutritional database).
Japanese patients who are enrolled in the system have 70% of the cost covered by their health insurance. Mr Nakagawa is now working to introduce Lifewatcher in the United States and Canada, where obesity and diabetes are also becoming more widespread — along advanced mobile phones of the kind once only found in Japan. Mr Nakagawa's ability to move freely between Japanese and North American cultures, combining the telecoms expertise of the former with the entrepreneurial approach of the latter, has resulted in a system that can benefit both.
The story of Calvin Chin, the Chinese-American founder of Qifang, is similar. Mr Chin was born and educated in America, and worked in the financial services and technology industries for several years before moving to China. Expatriate Chinese who return to the country, enticed by opportunities in its fast-growing economy, are known as "returning turtles". Qifang is a "peer to peer" (P2P) lending site that enables students to borrow money to finance their education from other users of the site. P2P lending has been pioneered in other countries by sites such as Zopa and Prosper in other countries.
Such sites require would-be borrowers to provide a range of personal details about themselves to reassure lenders, and perform credit checks on them. Borrowers pay above-market rates, which is what attracts lenders. Qifang adds several twists to this formula. It is concentrating solely on student loans, which means that regulators are more likely to look favourably on the company's unusual business model. It allows payments to be made directly to educational institutions, to make sure the money goes to the right place. Qifang also requires borrowers to give their parents' names when taking out a loan, which increases the social pressure on them not to default, since that would cause the family to lose face.
Mr Chin has thus tuned an existing business model to take account of the cultural and regulatory environment in China, where P2P lending could be particularly attractive, given the relatively undeveloped state of China's financial-services market. In a sense, Qifang is just an updated, online version of the community group-lending schemes that are commonly used to finance education in China. The company's motto is that "everyone should be able to get an education, no matter their financial means".
Just as Mr Chin is trying to use knowledge acquired in the developed world to help people in his mother country of China, Sachin Duggal hopes his company, Nivio, will do something similar for people in India. Mr Duggal was born in Britain and is of Indian extraction. He worked in financial services, including a stint as a technologist at Deutsche Bank, before setting up Nivio, which essentially provides a PC desktop, personalised with a user's software and documents, that can be accessed from any web browser.
This approach makes it possible to centralise the management of PCs in a large company, and is already popular in the business world. But Mr Duggal hopes that it will also make computing more accessible to people who find the prospect of owning and managing their own PCs (and dealing with spam and viruses) too daunting, or simply cannot afford a PC at all. Nivio's software was developed in India, where Mr Duggal teamed up with Iqbal Gandham, the founder of Net4India, one of India's first internet service providers. Mr Duggal believes that the "virtual webtop" model could have great potential in extending access to computers to rural parts of India, and thus spreading the opportunities associated with the country's high-tech boom. A survey of the bosses of Indian software firms clearly shows how diasporas can promote innovation.
It found that those bosses who had lived abroad and returned to India made far more use of diaspora links upon their return than entrepreneurs who had never lived abroad, which gave them access to capital and skills in other countries. Diasporas can, in other words, help to ensure that "brain drain" does indeed turn into "brain gain", provided the government of the country in question puts appropriate policies in place to facilitate the movement of people, technology and capital.
Making the connection
Multinational companies can also play an important role in providing new opportunities for talented individuals, and facilitating the transfer of skills. In recent years many technology companies have set up large operations in India, for example, in order to benefit from the availability of talented engineers and the services provided by local companies. Is this simply exploitation of low-paid workers by Western companies?
The example of JiGrahak Mobility Solutions, a start-up based in Bangalore, illustrates why it is not. The company was founded by Sourabh Jain, an engineering graduate from the Delhi Institute of Technology. After completing his studies he went to work for the Indian research arm of Lucent Technologies, an American telecoms-equipment firm. This gave him a solid grounding in mobile-phone technology, which subsequently enabled him to set up JiGrahak, a company that provides a mobile-commerce service called Ngpay.
In India, where many people first experience the internet on a mobile phone, rather than a PC, and where mobile phones are far more widespread than PCs, there is much potential for phone-based shopping and payment services. Ngpay lets users buy tickets, pay bills and transfer money using their handsets. Such is its popularity that with months of its launch in 2008, Ngpay accounted for 4% of ticket sales at Fame, an Indian cinema chain.
The role of large companies in nurturing talented individuals, who then leave to set up their own companies, is widely understood in Silicon Valley. Start-ups are often founded by alumni from Sun, HP, Oracle and other big names. Rather than worrying that they could be raising their own future competitors, large companies understand that the resulting dynamic, innovative environment benefits everyone, as large firms spawn, compete with and acquire smaller ones.
As large firms establish outposts in developing countries, such catalysis of innovation is becoming more widespread. Companies with large numbers of employees and former employees spread around the world can function rather like a corporate diaspora, in short, providing another form of network along which skills and technology can diffuse. The network that has had the greatest impact on spreading ideas, promoting innovation and allowing potential partners to find out about each other's research is, of course, the internet. As access to the internet becomes more widespread, it can allow developing countries to link up more closely with developed countries, as the rise of India's software industry illustrates. But it can also promote links between developing countries.
The Cows to Kilowatts Partnership, based in Nigeria, provides an unusual example. It was founded by Joseph Adelagan, a Nigerian engineer, who was concerned about the impact on local rivers of effluent from the Bodija Market abattoir in Ibadan. As well as the polluting the water supply of several nearby villages, the effluent carried animal diseases that could be passed to humans. Dr Adelagan proposed setting up an effluent-treatment plant.
He discovered, however, that although treating the effluent would reduce water pollution, the process would produce carbon-dioxide and methane emissions that contribute to climate change. So he began to look for ways to capture these gases and make use of them. Researching the subject online, he found that a research institution in Thailand, the Centre for Waste Utilisation and Management at King Mongkut University of Technology Thonburi, had developed anaerobic reactors that could transform agro-industrial waste into biogas. He made contact with the Thai researchers, and together they developed a version of the technology
suitable for use in Nigeria that turns the abattoir waste into clean household cooking gas and organic fertiliser, thus reducing the need for expensive chemical fertiliser. The same approach could be applied across Africa, Dr Adelagan believes. The Cows to Kilowatts project illustrates the global nature of modern innovation, facilitated by the free movement of both ideas and people. Thanks to the internet, people in one part of the world can easily make contact with people trying to solve similar problems elsewhere.
Lessons learned
What policies should governments adopt in order to develop and attract innovation talent, encourage its movement and benefit from its circulation? At the most basic level, investment in education is vital. Perhaps surprisingly, however, Amar Bhidé of Columbia University suggests that promoting innovation does not mean pushing as many students as possible into technical subjects.
Although researchers and technologists provide the raw material for innovation, he points out, a crucial role in orchestrating innovation is also played by entrepreneurs who may not have a technical background. So it is important to promote a mixture of skills. A strong education system also has the potential to attract skilled foreign students, academics and researchers, and gives foreign companies an incentive to establish nearby research and development operations.
Many countries already offer research grants, scholarships and tax benefits to attract talented immigrants. In many cases immigration procedures are "fast tracked" for individuals working in science and technology. But there is still scope to remove barriers to the mobility of talent. Mobility of skilled workers increasingly involves short stays, rather than permanent moves, but this is not yet widely reflected in immigration policy. Removing barriers to short-term stays can increase "brain circulation" and promote diaspora links.
Another problem for many skilled workers is that their qualifications are not always recognised in other countries. Greater harmonisation of standards for qualifications is one way to tackle this problem; some countries also have formal systems to evaluate foreign qualifications and determine their local equivalents. Countries must also provide an open and flexible business environment to ensure that promising innovations can be brought to market. If market access or financial backing are not available, after all, today's global-trotting innovators increasingly have the option of going elsewhere.
The most important point is that the global competition for talent is not a zero-sum game in which some countries win, and others lose. As the Technology Pioneers described here demonstrate, the nature of innovation, and the global movement of talent and ideas, is far more complicated that the simplistic notion of a "talent war" between developed and developing nations would suggest. Innovation is a global activity, and granting the greatest possible freedom to innovators can help to ensure that the ideas they generate will benefit the greatest possible number of people.
Integrated Transformation: How rising customer expectations are turning com...
Modern customers have it good. Spoilt for choice and convenience, today’s empowered consumers have come to expect more from the businesses they interact with. This doesn’t just apply to their wanting a quality product at a fair price, but also tailored goods, swift and effective customer service across different channels, and a connected experience across their online shopping and in-store experience, with easy access to information they need when they want it.
Meeting these expectations is a significant challenge for organisations. For many, it requires restructuring long-standing operating models, re-engineering business processes and adopting a fundamental shift in mindset to put customer experience at the heart of business decision- making. Download our report to learn more.
Technology | How will covid-19 reshape key Australian industries?
The covid-19 pandemic has prompted an unprecedented global reliance on technology. Virtually overnight the workforces of entire companies have been forced to work from home and collaborate remotely while students were moved from the classroom to online learning. When orders were issued to stay at home for everything but essential tasks, people’s health, fitness and social needs also started to be met remotely.
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Financing sustainability: Asia Pacific embraces the ESG challenge
Financing sustainability: Asia Pacific embraces the ESG challenge is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Westpac. It explores the drivers of sustainable finance growth in Asia Pacific as well as the factors constraining it. The analysis is based on two parallel surveys—one of investors and one of issuers—conducted in September and October 2019.
If the countries of Asia Pacific are to limit the negative environmental effects of continued economic growth, and companies in the region are to mitigate their potential climate risks and make a positive business contribution through improving the environment and meeting the UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), large volumes of investment in sustainable projects and businesses need to be mobilised. A viable sustainable finance market is taking shape in the region to channel commercial investor funds, and both investors and issuers say they are achieving a financial benefit from their investment and financing activities. The market is still in the early stages of development, however, and must expand and mature to meet investor needs.
The chief constraint on sustainable finance growth in the region has been the limited supply of bankable sustainable projects. Our research suggests supply is increasing, but with investor demand continuing to grow apace, the gap will remain an obstacle in the short- to medium-term. Among the organisations in our issuer survey, only 7% have used sustainable finance instruments to fund projects. However, nearly nine in ten (87%) said they intend to do so in the next year, which should begin to bridge the gap between supply and demand.
Based on issuers’ stated intentions, investors will have a range of instruments to choose from, including green loans and bonds and sustainability loans and bonds. Large numbers of investors indicate that they intend to deploy a greater proportion of capital to these over the next three years.
Financing sustainability | Insights video
What is driving the strong demand for financing sustainability in Asia Pacific? How can companies increase supply and start to see the benefits of sustainable finance in the next three years? We interviewed Richard Brandweiner, CEO of Pendal Australia, and Sophia Cheng, CIO of Cathay Financial Holdings and chair of Asia Investor Group on Climate Change, to find out.
To learn more: Download report | View infographicFinancing sustainability | Infographic
Financing sustainability: How do investors and issuers in APAC's sustainable finance market view the present market opportunities and constraints?
To learn more:
Download report | Watch videoCompanies must treat diverse recruitment like any other strategic growth imperative
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Steering through collaboration: CFOs driving new priorities for the future
It is well established that the modern CFO has a more strategic role to play in a business, but a clear action plan to achieve this is lacking. A key element of this is helping the business to deal with change. Some changes are planned: launching a new product or service, setting up operations in a new region or acquiring a competitor. Others may be unexpected: a major disruption to supply-chain operations, the emergence of new regulation and legal reporting requirements or the unpredictable impacts of global economic uncertainty.
Either way, when asked about the biggest challenges they face in executing their day-to-day activities, change is a recurring theme, according to a new survey of 800 CFOs and senior finance executives, conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit. Managing unexpected changes to financial forecasts and adapting finance processes to rapidly evolving business models are top of mind.
Managing unexpected changes to financial forecasts and adapting finance processes to rapidly evolving business models are top challenges finance executives face in executing their day to-day activities.
Finance executives are also concerned with identifying how to align strategic, financial and operational plans towards common objectives and meaningfully analysing data across business units and regions. “All functions are working to meet these challenges and, as a finance head, we have to have visibility across all functions, how they are progressing [towards meeting goals] and ensuring that their direction is in line with overall strategic goals,” says Lalit Malik, CFO of Dabur, an Indian consumer goods manufacturer. It is incumbent upon CFOs therefore to be prepared not only to help their own function navigate uncharted territory, but the rest of the business too. That means breaking down the silos that commonly exist in organisations, in order to collaborate closely across functions, sharing information and data in the pursuit of common objectives.
All functions are working to meet these challenges and, as a finance head, we have to have visibility across all functions, how they are progressing [towards meeting goals] and ensuring that their direction is in line with overall strategic goals - Lalit Malik, CFO of Dabur, an Indian consumer goods manufacturer.
The clear custodian of collaboration
There are a number of reasons why the role of leading cross-company collaboration around steering should fall to the CFO and their team. First, through the activities of budgeting, the finance function is the custodian of the clear, quantitative expression of management expectations and determines how resources such as cash and people will be allocated in order to achieve them. In our survey, 90% of respondents say that finance should facilitate collaborative enterprise planning to ensure that operational plans are aligned with financial and strategic plans.
Second, through performance management, the finance function is the gatekeeper for critical data that illustrate how well—or otherwise—the company is rising to the challenge of change. That includes data relating to sales, supply chain and delivery, which need to be reported back to the business in ways that help drive improved decisionmaking. Our survey reveals that companies in which finance executives feel empowered to drive strategic decisions across business functions are more likely to report a higher financial performance in fiscal year 2016/17 and 2017/18 and anticipate higher growth rates for 2019/20.
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Transforming data into action
As businesses generate and manage vast amounts of data, companies have more opportunities to gather data, incorporate insights into business strategy and continuously expand access to data across the organisation. Doing so effectively—leveraging data for strategic objectives—is often easier said than done, however. This report, Transforming data into action: the business outlook for data governance, explores the business contributions of data governance at organisations globally and across industries, the challenges faced in creating useful data governance policies and the opportunities to improve such programmes. Learn more by downloading our whitepaper below.
Rethinking professional services in an age of disruption
Retail | How will covid-19 reshape key Australian industries?
When Australian government restrictions closing non-essential services came into effect on March 23rd 2020, virtually all of the nation’s bricks and mortar stores also shut their doors as social distancing requirements saw footfall drop dramatically. The nation’s retail sector took an immediate and unprecedented hit. Seasonally adjusted, Australia’s retail trade fell 17.7% in April 2020, the largest decline since records began.1
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Agriculture | How will covid-19 reshape key Australian industries?
However, with 70% of the nation’s agricultural production presently exported, the sector is heavily reliant on overseas demand. In developing markets and those hit hardest by falling oil prices and wage slumps, orders have already decreased for food products considered discretionary. For seafood alone, the outbreak in China is expected to result in export earnings falling by approximately A$200m2 (US$131m) in 2019–20, according to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES).
In this interview, Paul van Heerwaarden, the chief executive officer of Bega Cheese Limited, answers questions from The Economist Intelligence Unit on how covid-19 is changing Australia’s food and dairy industries and its broader implications for the country’s agriculture sector and export markets.
Education | How will covid-19 reshape key Australian industries?
A recent report by the Mitchell Institute at Victoria University titled Australian Investment in Education: Higher Education shows that 40% of Australia’s annual university student revenue is derived from international students. This demographic provides almost A$9bn (US$5.9bn) to universities and injects another A$10bn (US$6.5bn) into the broader economy. The report also notes that most universities had limited surpluses to steer them through the covid-19 contraction.
Figure 1: University domestic and international student revenue (actual and forecast)
In this Q&A the vice-chancellor of Monash University, Professor Margaret Gardner, outlines the primary challenges facing universities and international students, the innovation and resilience that shone through in responding to the crisis and the opportunities that may arise for Australia’s education sector in the longer term.
Financing sustainability: Asia Pacific embraces the ESG challenge
Financing sustainability: Asia Pacific embraces the ESG challenge is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Westpac. It explores the drivers of sustainable finance growth in Asia Pacific as well as the factors constraining it. The analysis is based on two parallel surveys—one of investors and one of issuers—conducted in September and October 2019.
If the countries of Asia Pacific are to limit the negative environmental effects of continued economic growth, and companies in the region are to mitigate their potential climate risks and make a positive business contribution through improving the environment and meeting the UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), large volumes of investment in sustainable projects and businesses need to be mobilised. A viable sustainable finance market is taking shape in the region to channel commercial investor funds, and both investors and issuers say they are achieving a financial benefit from their investment and financing activities. The market is still in the early stages of development, however, and must expand and mature to meet investor needs.
The chief constraint on sustainable finance growth in the region has been the limited supply of bankable sustainable projects. Our research suggests supply is increasing, but with investor demand continuing to grow apace, the gap will remain an obstacle in the short- to medium-term. Among the organisations in our issuer survey, only 7% have used sustainable finance instruments to fund projects. However, nearly nine in ten (87%) said they intend to do so in the next year, which should begin to bridge the gap between supply and demand.
Based on issuers’ stated intentions, investors will have a range of instruments to choose from, including green loans and bonds and sustainability loans and bonds. Large numbers of investors indicate that they intend to deploy a greater proportion of capital to these over the next three years.
Infrastructure | How will covid-19 reshape key Australian industries?
Prior to the covid-19 pandemic, Australia was undergoing an infrastructure boom, with over A$200bn1 (US$139bn) in projects under construction. One of Australia’s longstanding challenges was keeping pace with the rate of growth, particularly in transport infrastructure.
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Agriculture | How will covid-19 reshape key Australian industries?
However, with 70% of the nation’s agricultural production presently exported, the sector is heavily reliant on overseas demand. In developing markets and those hit hardest by falling oil prices and wage slumps, orders have already decreased for food products considered discretionary. For seafood alone, the outbreak in China is expected to result in export earnings falling by approximately A$200m2 (US$131m) in 2019–20, according to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES).
In this interview, Paul van Heerwaarden, the chief executive officer of Bega Cheese Limited, answers questions from The Economist Intelligence Unit on how covid-19 is changing Australia’s food and dairy industries and its broader implications for the country’s agriculture sector and export markets.
Financing sustainability | Insights video
What is driving the strong demand for financing sustainability in Asia Pacific? How can companies increase supply and start to see the benefits of sustainable finance in the next three years? We interviewed Richard Brandweiner, CEO of Pendal Australia, and Sophia Cheng, CIO of Cathay Financial Holdings and chair of Asia Investor Group on Climate Change, to find out.
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Download report | Watch videoEconomist Intelligence Unit: New research shows how businesses in Greater China are coping with uncertainty
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The art of managing business uncertainty: A future of work study
As the health and economic impacts of the covid-19 crisis unfold, it is easy to lose sight of longer-standing sources of uncertainty that companies face. In the Greater China region (comprising mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan), business leaders were already grappling with heightened trade volatility, talent shortages, rapid technology advances and the ever-changing behaviours of consumers. The pandemic has naturally pushed management’s attention to shorterterm survival and recovery. But businesses in the region know the need to address more familiar challenges cannot take a back seat for long. If anything, the pandemic crisis has added propellant to the trends driving them rather than freezing them in place.
Changes in customer behaviour—and by extension to markets—pose as much near-term uncertainty to Greater China executives surveyed by The Economist Intelligence Unit as do concerns about the pandemic. Over the longer term, the difficulties of securing and retaining talent cause the greatest degree of management unease, along with changes in customer behaviour, technology and market structure. Alongside some predictable measures of retrenchment, such as reducing headcount and postponing expansion plans, many surveyed firms say they are proactively implementing measures to increase their scalability, speed and efficiency.
Other major findings of the study are:
Amidst gloom, pockets of optimism. Hopes for business improvement this year are low across the Greater Bay Area (Hong Kong, Macau and Guangdong). Spirits are higher in Taiwan, and markedly so on the mainland. Around half (49%) of executives in mainland tier 1 (T1) and 62% in tier 2 (T2) expect industry conditions to improve in the coming months. Almost all respondents in T1 cities (96%, and 80% in T2 cities) express confidence in their firms’ ability to grow revenue in the next 12 months. Improving scalability is high on the agenda. About half of business leaders (49%) believe workforce rigidity holds back the implementation of their business strategy. To address this, the majority of respondent firms (77%) plan to increase their use of temporary or shortterm workers in the coming months. Nearly the same number say they will undertake some form of organisational restructuring and will consolidate work locations. Staff-sharing—a practice launched during the lockdown—is likely to help firms deal with future periods of volatility. Even pessimists are keeping their options open. Among the roughly 20% of respondent firms that expect business conditions to worsen in the next 12 months, only about one-third plan to reduce their spending on technology and research and development (R&D) while around one-sixth plan to increase it. Another 42% will “reorganise their workspace”, which includes redesigning, consolidating or moving offices or other work locations. Remote working is here to stay. Workers will return to their offices as the pandemic crisis recedes, but working remotely is likely to be much more commonplace. More than three-quarters of respondent firms (76%) plan to implement work-from-home and work-from-anywhere practices during the next 12 months, leveraging capabilities such as cloud computing and mobility technology.
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以灵活应万变:未来的工作方式
随着新冠肺炎危机对健康和经济的影响不断显现,企业所面临的更长远的不确定性因素很容易被忽略。在大中华地区(中国大陆、香港、澳门和台湾),商界领导者早已在努力应对贸易波动加剧、人才短缺、技术飞速发展以及消费者行为的不停变化。这次疫情自然会促使管理层专注于短期内的业务的存活和和恢复,但是管理者也知道与此同时更应加强面对那些类似的长期商业挑战。宏观来说,那就是这次疫情危机反而更会促使企业加快采取行动,而不是被动应对。
对经济学人智库调研的大中华区高管而言,消费者行为的变化、以及相应的市场变化带来的近期不确定性,与对全球疫情的担忧所造成的不确定性同等重要。从长期来看,最让管理层感到不安的是难以获得人才和保留人才,还有客户行为、技术和市场结构的变化。除了采取裁员和推迟扩张计划等可以预见的紧缩措施外,许多受访公司表示正在积极采取行动,提升可伸缩性、速度和效率。
本研究的其他主要成果包括:
市场低迷之中的转折亮点。整个粤港澳大湾区(香港、澳门和广东,简称:大湾区)对今年业务有起色的期望较低,台湾地区的情绪较为乐观,而中国大陆则信心充足。大陆一线和二线城市的高管当中,约有一半(49%)预计未来几个月行业状况会有所改善。几乎所有一线城市的受访者(96%,二线城市为80%)都表示对公司在未来12个月实现营收增长有信心。 提升灵活性是当务之急。大约半数的公司领导者(49%)认为,刚性的劳动力结构阻碍了企业战略的实施。为了解决这一问题,大多数受访公司(77%)计划在未来几个月内增加使用临时员工或短期合约员工。几乎同等比例的公司表示将进行某种形式的组织重组以及办公室地点调整。在疫情隔离封锁期间,有些公司采取“员工共享”的做法或许可以帮助公司应对未来更多不确定性。 多种预防性应付方案的准备。大约20%的受访公司预计未来12个月内经营状况将会恶化,其中只有三分之一左右的公司打算减少技术和研发的支出,而约六分之一的公司则计划增加支出。另外还有42%的公司将“重组工作空间”,包括重新设计、整合或迁移办公室或其他场所。 远程工作将成常态。随着疫情逐渐消退,员工将重返办公室,但远程工作可能变得更为普遍。超过四分之三的受访公司(76%)计划在未来12个月内、利用云计算和移动技术等实施居家办公和移动办公制度。以靈活應萬變:未来的工作方式
隨著新冠肺炎危機對健康和經濟的影響不斷顯現,企業所面臨的更長遠的不確定性因素很容易被忽略。在大中華地區(包括中國大陸、香港、澳門、台灣),企業領導者須應對各種問題,包括貿易波動加劇、人才短缺、科技進步日新月異、消費者行為不斷變化等。這次疫症大流行自然會促使管理層將注意力轉移到短期業務生存和恢復業務方面。不過,管理層也知道與此同時更應加強面對那些類似的長期商業挑戰。宏觀來說,那就是這次疫情危機反而更會促使企業加快采取行動,而不是被動應對。
對於經濟學人智庫調查的大中華區高級管理人員(以下簡稱「高管」)而言,客戶行為的變化,以及從而擴展到市場的變化,屬於短期內的不明朗因素,情況與疫症大流行等令人擔憂的事情相若。從比較長遠的角度來看,確保能夠保存所需人才很困難,是管理層最感不安的因素,此外還有客戶行為改變、科技更新、市場結構等因素。很多受訪公司都表示,除了一些可以預見的裁員措施,例如減少員工人數和推遲擴張計劃,他們正在採取積極措施,以提高公司的擴展能力、速度、效率。
此項研究的其他主要發現包括:
市場低迷之中的轉折亮點。整個粵港澳大灣區(香港、澳門和廣東,簡稱:大灣區)對今年業務改善的希望偏低,但台灣的情緒較高,而中國大陸則信心十足。大陸一線城市中約一半(49%)的高管和二線城市中62%的高管預計,未來幾個月行業狀況將有所改善。同時,一線城市中幾乎所有受訪者(96%)和二線城市中大部分受訪者(80%)對他們的公司在未來12個月內增加收入的能力充滿信心。 提升靈活性是當務之急。大約一半的企業領導者(49%)相信,僵化的勞動力會阻礙公司實施業務戰略。為了解決這個問題,大多數受訪公司(77%)計劃在未來幾個月內增加聘用臨時員工或短期員工。幾乎同樣比例的公司表示,他們將進行某種形式的架構重組,並把工作地點調整。在疫情隔離封鎖期間,有些公司採取「員工共享」的做法或許可以幫助公司應對未來更多不確定性。 多種預防性應對方案的準備。約20%的受訪企業預期他們的業務狀況會在未來12個月內惡化,但當中只有大約三分之一的企業計劃減少其在科技和研發方面的支出,而大約六分之一的企業計劃增加這方面的開支。另有42%將「重組工作空間」,包括重新設計、整合或遷移辦公室或其他場所。 遠程工作將成常態。隨著疫症大流行危機的逐漸消退,員工將返回辦公室,但在辦公室以外工作可能會變得更加普遍。超過四分之三的受訪公司(76%)計劃在未來12個月內利用雲端、流動科技以及其他科技,實行在家工作和隨處工作。