Promise and Perils: Scaling up businesses in sub-Saharan Africa
About this research
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Promise and Perils: Scaling up businesses in sub-Saharan Africa
About this research
Promise and perils: Scaling up businesses in sub-Saharan Africa is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry. The report examines the factors enabling businesses in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) to scale up. We consider the policy environment, state of technology and infrastructure, and financing options that allow businesses to access markets in other countries on the continent and beyond. In addition, it explores the role of foreign investors in facilitating business expansion, focusing on those based in the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries.
This report combines extensive desk research, data analysis and insights from interviews. We conducted in-depth interviews with executives at businesses in SSA across fintech, energy, hospitality and consumer goods that have successfully expanded across countries. In addition, we interviewed investors in Africa and the GCC. The interviews were conducted in April and May 2019.
Our sincerest thanks go to the following participants (listed alphabetically) for their time and insights:
Alexandre Allegue, chairman, Pawame Michelle Essomé, CEO, African Private Equity and Venture Capital Association Guy Hutchinson, acting CEO, Rotana Wesley Lynch, CEO and founder, Snapplify Magellan Makhlouf, co-founder and managing director, CedarBridge Pat McMichael, CEO, Eat’n’Go Paloma Pineda, co-founder, Ethical Apparel Africa Sacha Poignonnec, co-founder and co-CEO, Jumia Keren Pybus, co-founder, Ethical Apparel Africa Emmanuel Quartey, head of growth, Paystack Tejas Shah, regional vice-president, development, sub-Saharan Africa, Hyatt Ashish Thakkar, CEO, Mara Phones Hani Weiss, CEO, Majid Al Futtaim RetailAdam Green is the author of the report and Melanie Noronha is the editor.
Executive summary
The rise and fall of interest in Africa has been contingent on its promise for growth. The demographic advantage and increasing perhead income spur investors but the regulatory complexities and political risks they encounter turn sentiment. Businesses on the continent are innovative and eager to expand but this is often impeded by limited access to new markets and growth finance. Delivering on the promise of economic growth is closely tied to the ability of home-grown businesses to scale up, so policymakers must establish an environment that enables businesses to thrive.
In this report, we explore a range of policies, technologies, infrastructure projects and financing options that are enabling business in SSA to scale up. Some of these are the efforts of local governments and regional organisations but there is also significant involvement from foreign investors and businesses. This report specifically explores perspectives of investors based in the GCC.
Key findings of this report:
Policies for regional integration are helping African businesses gain greater access to other markets. Some regional economic communities, such as the East Africa Economic Community, are allowing the free movement of people and goods, facilitating trade. The Single African Air Transport Market is expected to strengthen air links, driving tourism and business travel. Among the most ambitious is the African Continental Free Trade Agreement, committed to removing tariffs on 90% of goods, progressively liberalising trade in services, and addressing non-tariff barriers. Some policies are also easing operational challenges; the most noteworthy are those enabling international money transfers and payments. Combined, these allow African small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to expand operations across markets, creating attractive opportunities for investors too.
Expanding telecommunications networks are facilitating the growth of internet connectivity, mobile money and new digital services that build on it. Mobile money, which facilitates money transfers and payments, is also a growth enabler as it moves into business lending. Wider and better internet connectivity will drive the next wave of technological innovation, enabling companies to develop new, digital services for consumers on the continent. By 2025 3G mobile network coverage is expected to account for 61% of the mobile phone connections.
Expanding telecommunications networks are facilitating the growth of internet connectivity, mobile money and new digital services that build on it. Mobile money, which facilitates money transfers and payments, is also a growth enabler as it moves into business lending. Wider and better internet connectivity will drive the next wave of technological innovation, enabling companies to develop new, digital services for consumers on the continent. By 2025 3G mobile network coverage is expected to account for 61% of the mobile phone connections.
Foreign companies with expertise in infrastructure development and emerging technologies are capitalising on Africa’s scaling-up potential. Companies such as the UAE’s Etisalat and India’s Bharti Airtel are facilitating the much-needed expansion of telecommunications networks. The improvement in internet connectivity that this delivers is spawning a host of digital startups that can access new consumers online. International infrastructure construction companies and operators from China and the GCC have identified opportunities to participate in critical infrastructure development projects in Africa too.
High interest rates offered by domestic banks are a perennial problem for businesses seeking growth finance. Alternative sources such as venture capital (VC), private equity (PE), development finance institutions and even crowdfunding have been more appealing. PE firms closed deals worth US$25bn across Africa between 2013 and 2018, while VC firms recorded deals worth US$725m in 2018, growing almost fourfold from 2017. PE is particularly relevant, as it tends to focus on more established firms looking to scale up. VC firms, which often finance companies at a nascent stage, tend to pursue higher growth rates. With both, there is a risk of a forced exit. Yet, both represent an important pool of finance for businesses hungry for growth.
Corporations are fuelling African business expansions, through direct stakes and VC funds. Prominent global players include Tencent and Mastercard as well as African corporations such as MTN, proving that blue chip brands still believe in Africa’s growth story. Offering more examples of successful scale-ups in Africa will encourage more investors to seize on the opportunities of the continent.
Gulf investment is concentrated in East Africa, with the UAE leading the charge. The UAE is among the top ten source countries for foreign direct investment in SSA, investing US$649m between 2015 and early 2019. PE and VC have been limited as some investors find that deals on the continent are overpriced. Gulf investors must work with a longer time horizon in mind, according to the experts interviewed, evidenced by examples from a range of Gulf-based businesses such as DP World in port infrastructure, Etisalat in telecommunications, Acwa Power in energy and Salalah Mills in food processing.
Download English PDF Download Arabic PDFRelated content
To give or invest?
Many successful business people have shaped their legacy through giving. From the Carnegies and Rockerfellers to George Cadbury and George Peabody, the foundations of venture philanthropy were laid long ago. However, as the threats from global warming have become clearer and more immediate and large proportion of the world’s population subsists below the poverty line, HNWIs globally have increasingly been looking for ways to give constructively and invest with purpose. Whether it be redirecting parts of their portfolios to venture philanthropy, or investing in sustainable finance and impactbased projects, growth in these sectors has surged.
This report aims to provide background information and guidance on the sustainable finance and philanthropy sectors for HNWIs.The information is designed to help them understand the different opportunities and decide how to allocate their sustainable investment and philanthropy portfolios to achieve the best outcome for their requirements.
The key findings of the research are as follows:
Giving is growing. The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 and the global drive to meet the UN Sustainable Development Goals is changing the way HNWIs invest. Growth in sustainable investments and venture philanthropy is strong globally and becoming established in Asia and, to a lesser degree, the Middle East and Africa. Definitions can be tricky. What one person considers sustainable investment, another can call impact investing. Regardless of the name, it’s important to set parameters and objectives for investment. Knowledge is key. Networking with people and organisations who have experience in sustainable finance and philanthropy and seeking out specialist advice helps inform investments and measurement, and ensures investors remain abreast of new developments. Use a framework. Regardless of the sector or type of investment, frameworks that specify risk-return levels and expected impact contributions for different parts of a portfolio are critical. Research the market. HNWIs need to thoroughly research any investment to ensure they have a clear understanding of the tools and options that will enable them to make the best use of capital deployment in a particular sector or contribution to a philanthropic organisation.捐赠还是投资?可持续金融和慈善的交汇点
很多成功的商业人士通过捐赠来传承自己的遗产。从卡内基家族和洛克菲勒家族到乔治·卡德伯里和乔治·皮博迪,公益创投的基石早已被奠定。不过,随着全球变暖的威胁愈发明显和紧迫,大量的人口仍然生活在贫困线以下。全球高净值人士正在不断寻求建设性捐赠和带有使命地投资的方式。不论是将他们的部分投资资产转移到公益创投领域,还是投资于可持续金融和基于影响力的项目,这些领域的投资都在激增。
本报告旨在为高净值人士提供可持续金融和慈善领域的背景信息和指导。报告所提供的信息旨在帮助他们了解不同的投资或捐赠机会,从而决定如何分配他们的可持续性投资和慈善项目资产,以期实现他们想要的结果。
通过一系列的采访,本报告还审视了当高净值人士决定扩大投资范围,探索纯粹以经济收益为目标的传统投资领域外时,他们可能面临的机遇和挑战,并且探究了将他们的财富所能产生的影响力最大化的方法。
研究主要发现如下:
慈善捐赠在不断增长。2008年全球金融危机和全球为实现联合国可持续发展目标所做的努力正在改变高净值人士的投资方式。可持续投资和公益创投在全球增长势头正劲,在亚洲正日趋成熟,在中东和非洲发展稍缓但也在不断进步。 定义可能会比较困难。同一个投资项目一方可能认为是可持续投资,而另一方则认为是影响力投资。不论名称如何,为投资设置参数和目标都十分重要。 知识是关键。同在可持续金融和慈善领域拥有丰富经验的人和组织建立联系以及寻求专家意见,有助于为投资和衡量投资表现提供信息,并帮助投资者时刻掌握最新发展情况。 使用框架。不论在哪个行业进行何种投资,拥有能够明确投资组合中不同部分的风险回报水平,并对影响力的贡献做出预期的框架至关重要。 对市场进行调查。高净值人士对各类投资都应进行全面调查,以确保他们对投资工具和投资选项有清楚的认识。这些工具和选项可以令他们在某个特定领域实现资本分配的最优化使用,或是对某个特定的慈善组织进行帮助。捐赠还是投资?可持续金融和慈善的交汇点
很多成功的商业人士通过捐赠来传承自己的遗产。从卡内基家族和洛克菲勒家族到乔治·卡德伯里和乔治·皮博迪,公益创投的基石早已被奠定。不过,随着全球变暖的威胁愈发明显和紧迫,大量的人口仍然生活在贫困线以下。全球高净值人士正在不断寻求建设性捐赠和带有使命地投资的方式。不论是将他们的部分投资资产转移到公益创投领域,还是投资于可持续金融和基于影响力的项目,这些领域的投资都在激增。
本报告旨在为高净值人士提供可持续金融和慈善领域的背景信息和指导。报告所提供的信息旨在帮助他们了解不同的投资或捐赠机会,从而决定如何分配他们的可持续性投资和慈善项目资产,以期实现他们想要的结果。
通过一系列的采访,本报告还审视了当高净值人士决定扩大投资范围,探索纯粹以经济收益为目标的传统投资领域外时,他们可能面临的机遇和挑战,并且探究了将他们的财富所能产生的影响力最大化的方法。
研究主要发现如下:
Related content
To give or invest?
Many successful business people have shaped their legacy through giving. From the Carnegies and Rockerfellers to George Cadbury and George Peabody, the foundations of venture philanthropy were laid long ago. However, as the threats from global warming have become clearer and more immediate and large proportion of the world’s population subsists below the poverty line, HNWIs globally have increasingly been looking for ways to give constructively and invest with purpose. Whether it be redirecting parts of their portfolios to venture philanthropy, or investing in sustainable finance and impactbased projects, growth in these sectors has surged.
This report aims to provide background information and guidance on the sustainable finance and philanthropy sectors for HNWIs.The information is designed to help them understand the different opportunities and decide how to allocate their sustainable investment and philanthropy portfolios to achieve the best outcome for their requirements.
The key findings of the research are as follows:
Giving is growing. The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 and the global drive to meet the UN Sustainable Development Goals is changing the way HNWIs invest. Growth in sustainable investments and venture philanthropy is strong globally and becoming established in Asia and, to a lesser degree, the Middle East and Africa. Definitions can be tricky. What one person considers sustainable investment, another can call impact investing. Regardless of the name, it’s important to set parameters and objectives for investment. Knowledge is key. Networking with people and organisations who have experience in sustainable finance and philanthropy and seeking out specialist advice helps inform investments and measurement, and ensures investors remain abreast of new developments. Use a framework. Regardless of the sector or type of investment, frameworks that specify risk-return levels and expected impact contributions for different parts of a portfolio are critical. Research the market. HNWIs need to thoroughly research any investment to ensure they have a clear understanding of the tools and options that will enable them to make the best use of capital deployment in a particular sector or contribution to a philanthropic organisation.Related content
To give or invest?
Many successful business people have shaped their legacy through giving. From the Carnegies and Rockerfellers to George Cadbury and George Peabody, the foundations of venture philanthropy were laid long ago. However, as the threats from global warming have become clearer and more immediate and large proportion of the world’s population subsists below the poverty line, HNWIs globally have increasingly been looking for ways to give constructively and invest with purpose. Whether it be redirecting parts of their portfolios to venture philanthropy, or investing in sustainable finance and impactbased projects, growth in these sectors has surged.
This report aims to provide background information and guidance on the sustainable finance and philanthropy sectors for HNWIs.The information is designed to help them understand the different opportunities and decide how to allocate their sustainable investment and philanthropy portfolios to achieve the best outcome for their requirements.
The key findings of the research are as follows:
Giving is growing. The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008 and the global drive to meet the UN Sustainable Development Goals is changing the way HNWIs invest. Growth in sustainable investments and venture philanthropy is strong globally and becoming established in Asia and, to a lesser degree, the Middle East and Africa. Definitions can be tricky. What one person considers sustainable investment, another can call impact investing. Regardless of the name, it’s important to set parameters and objectives for investment. Knowledge is key. Networking with people and organisations who have experience in sustainable finance and philanthropy and seeking out specialist advice helps inform investments and measurement, and ensures investors remain abreast of new developments. Use a framework. Regardless of the sector or type of investment, frameworks that specify risk-return levels and expected impact contributions for different parts of a portfolio are critical. Research the market. HNWIs need to thoroughly research any investment to ensure they have a clear understanding of the tools and options that will enable them to make the best use of capital deployment in a particular sector or contribution to a philanthropic organisation.The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
To give or invest?
Many successful business people have shaped their legacy through giving. From the Carnegies and Rockerfellers to George Cadbury and George Peabody, the foundations of venture philanthropy were laid long ago. However, as the threats from global warming have become clearer and more immediate and large proportion of the world’s population subsists below the poverty line, HNWIs globally have increasingly been looking for ways to give constructively and invest with purpose.
Related content
捐赠还是投资?可持续金融和慈善的交汇点
很多成功的商业人士通过捐赠来传承自己的遗产。从卡内基家族和洛克菲勒家族到乔治·卡德伯里和乔治·皮博迪,公益创投的基石早已被奠定。不过,随着全球变暖的威胁愈发明显和紧迫,大量的人口仍然生活在贫困线以下。全球高净值人士正在不断寻求建设性捐赠和带有使命地投资的方式。不论是将他们的部分投资资产转移到公益创投领域,还是投资于可持续金融和基于影响力的项目,这些领域的投资都在激增。
本报告旨在为高净值人士提供可持续金融和慈善领域的背景信息和指导。报告所提供的信息旨在帮助他们了解不同的投资或捐赠机会,从而决定如何分配他们的可持续性投资和慈善项目资产,以期实现他们想要的结果。
通过一系列的采访,本报告还审视了当高净值人士决定扩大投资范围,探索纯粹以经济收益为目标的传统投资领域外时,他们可能面临的机遇和挑战,并且探究了将他们的财富所能产生的影响力最大化的方法。
研究主要发现如下:
慈善捐赠在不断增长。2008年全球金融危机和全球为实现联合国可持续发展目标所做的努力正在改变高净值人士的投资方式。可持续投资和公益创投在全球增长势头正劲,在亚洲正日趋成熟,在中东和非洲发展稍缓但也在不断进步。 定义可能会比较困难。同一个投资项目一方可能认为是可持续投资,而另一方则认为是影响力投资。不论名称如何,为投资设置参数和目标都十分重要。 知识是关键。同在可持续金融和慈善领域拥有丰富经验的人和组织建立联系以及寻求专家意见,有助于为投资和衡量投资表现提供信息,并帮助投资者时刻掌握最新发展情况。 使用框架。不论在哪个行业进行何种投资,拥有能够明确投资组合中不同部分的风险回报水平,并对影响力的贡献做出预期的框架至关重要。 对市场进行调查。高净值人士对各类投资都应进行全面调查,以确保他们对投资工具和投资选项有清楚的认识。这些工具和选项可以令他们在某个特定领域实现资本分配的最优化使用,或是对某个特定的慈善组织进行帮助。Digital platforms and services: A development opportunity for ASEAN
Digital platforms and services stimulate economic growth and development. Countries are looking to the “internet economy” to provide new market opportunities and help achieve the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) such as promoting economic growth and sustainable industralisation, a process often relying on an increase in online access rates and smartphone penetration.
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Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorro...
About the research
Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorrow is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Nutanix. It explores expectations of citizens and businesses for smart-city development in some of the world’s major urban centres. The analysis is based on two parallel surveys conducted in 19 cities: one of 6,746 residents and another of 969 business executives. The cities included are Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Dubai, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, London, Los Angeles, Mumbai, New York, Paris, Riyadh, San Francisco, São Paulo, Singapore, Stockholm, Sydney, Tokyo and Zurich.
Respondents to the citizen survey were evenly balanced by age (roughly one-third in each of the 18-38, 39-54 and 55 years and older age groups) and gender. A majority (56%) had household incomes above the median level in their city, with 44% below it. Respondents to the business survey were mainly senior executives (65% at C-suite or director level) working in a range of different functions. They work in large, midsize and small firms in over a dozen industries. See the report appendix for full survey results and demographics.
Additional insights were obtained from indepth interviews with city officials, smart-city experts at NGOs and other institutions, and business executives. We would like to thank the following individuals for their time and insights.
Pascual Berrone, academic co-director, Cities in Motion, and professor, strategic management, IESE Business School (Barcelona) Lawrence Boya, director, Smart City Programme, city of Johannesburg Amanda Daflos, chief innovation officer, city of Los Angeles Linda Gerull, chief information officer, city of San Francisco Praveen Pardeshi, municipal commissioner, Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (Mumbai) • Brian Roberts, policy analyst, city of San Francisco Sameer Sharma, global general manager, Internet of Things (IoT), Intel • Marius Sylvestersen, programme director, Copenhagen Solutions Lab Tan Kok Yam, deputy secretary of the Smart Nation and Digital Government, Prime Minister’s Office, SingaporeThe report was written by Denis McCauley and edited by Michael Gold.
Talent for innovation
Talent for innovation: Getting noticed in a global market incorporates case studies of the 34 companies selected as Technology Pioneers in biotechnology/health, energy/environmental technology, and information technology.
Leonardo Da Vinci unquestionably had it in the 15th century; so did Thomas Edison in the 19th century. But today, "talent for innovation" means something rather different. Innovation is no longer the work of one individual toiling in a workshop. In today's globalised, interconnected world, innovation is the work of teams, often based in particular innovation hotspots, and often collaborating with partners, suppliers and customers both nearby and in other countries.
Innovation has become a global activity as it has become easier for ideas and talented people to move from one country to another. This has both quickened the pace of technological development and presented many new opportunities, as creative individuals have become increasingly prized and there has been greater recognition of new sources of talent, beyond the traditional innovation hotspots of the developed world.
The result is a global exchange of ideas, and a global market for innovation talent. Along with growth in international trade and foreign direct investment, the mobility of talent is one of the hallmarks of modern globalisation. Talented innovators are regarded by companies, universities and governments as a vital resource, as precious as oil or water. They are sought after for the simple reason that innovation in products and services is generally agreed to be a large component, if not the largest component, in driving economic growth. It should be noted that "innovation" in this context does not simply mean the development of new, cutting-edge technologies by researchers.
It also includes the creative ways in which other people then refine, repackage and combine those technologies and bring them to market. Indeed, in his recent book, "The Venturesome Economy", Amar Bhidé, professor of business at Columbia University, argues that such "orchestration" of innovation can actually be more important in driving economic activity than pure research. "In a world where breakthrough ideas easily cross national borders, the origin of ideas is inconsequential," he writes. Ideas cross borders not just in the form of research papers, e-mails and web pages, but also inside the heads of talented people. This movement of talent is not simply driven by financial incentives. Individuals may also be motivated by a desire for greater academic freedom, better access to research facilities and funding, or the opportunity to work with key researchers in a particular field.
Countries that can attract talented individuals can benefit from more rapid economic growth, closer collaboration with the countries where those individuals originated, and the likelihood that immigrant entrepreneurs will set up new companies and create jobs. Mobility of talent helps to link companies to sources of foreign innovation and research expertise, to the benefit of both. Workers who emigrate to another country may bring valuable knowledge of their home markets with them, which can subsequently help companies in the destination country to enter those markets more easily. Analysis of scientific journals suggests that international co-authorship is increasing, and there is some evidence thatcollaborative work has a greater impact than work carried out in one country. Skilled individuals also act as repositories of knowledge, training the next generation and passing on their accumulated wisdom.
But the picture is complicated by a number of concerns. In developed countries which have historically depended to a large extent on foreign talent (such as the United States), there is anxiety that it is becoming increasingly difficult to attract talent as new opportunities arise elsewhere. Compared with the situation a decade ago, Indian software engineers, for example, may be more inclined to set up a company in India, rather than moving to America to work for a software company there. In developed countries that have not historically relied on foreign talent (such as Germany), meanwhile, the ageing of the population as the birth rate falls and life expectancy increases means there is a need to widen the supply of talent, as skilled workers leave the workforce and young people show less interest than they used to in technical subjects. And in developing countries, where there is a huge supply of new talent (hundreds of thousands of engineers graduate from Indian and Chinese universities every year), the worry is that these graduates have a broad technical grounding but may lack the specialised skills demanded by particular industries.
Other shifts are also under way. The increasing sophistication of emerging economies (notably India and China) is overturning the old model of "create in the West, customise for the East". Indian and Chinese companies are now globally competitive in many industries. And although the mobility of talent is increasing, workers who move to another country are less likely to stay for the long-term, and are more likely to return to their country of origin. The number of Chinese students studying abroad increased from 125,000 in 2002 to 134,000 in 2006, for example, but the proportion who stayed in the country where they studied after graduating fell from 85% to 69% over the same period, according to figures from the OECD (see page 10).
What is clear is that the emergence of a global market for talent means gifted innovators are more likely to be able to succeed, and new and unexpected opportunities are being exploited, as this year's Technology Pioneers demonstrate. They highlight three important aspects of the global market for talent: the benefits of mobility, the significant role of diasporas, and the importance of network effects in catalysing innovation.
Brain drain, or gain?
Perhaps the most familiar aspect of the debate about flows of talent is the widely expressed concern about the "brain drain" from countries that supply talented workers. If a country educates workers at the taxpayers' expense, does it not have a claim on their talent? There are also worries that the loss of skilled workers can hamper institutional development and drive up the cost of technical services. But such concerns must be weighed against the benefits of greater mobility.
There are not always opportunities for skilled individuals in their country of birth. The prospect of emigration can encourage the development of skills by individuals who may not in fact decide to emigrate. Workers who emigrate may send remittances back to their families at home, which can be a significant source of income and can help to alleviate poverty. And skilled workers may return to their home countries after a period working abroad, further stimulating knowledge transfer and improving the prospects for domestic growth, since they will maintain contacts with researchers overseas. As a result, argues a recent report from the OECD, it makes more sense to talk of a complex process of "brain circulation" rather than a one-way "brain drain". The movement of talent is not simply a zero-sum gain in which sending countries lose, and receiving countries benefit. Greater availability and mobility of talent opens up new possibilities and can benefit everyone.
Consider, for example, BioMedica Diagnostics of Windsor, Nova Scotia. The company makes medical diagnostic systems, some of them battery-operated, that can be used to provide health care in remote regions to people who would otherwise lack access to it. It was founded by Abdullah Kirumira, a Ugandan biochemist who moved to Canada in 1990 and became a professor at Acadia University. There he developed a rapid test for HIV in conjunction with one of his students, Hermes Chan (a native of Hong Kong who had moved to Canada to study). According to the United States Centers for Disease Control, around one-third of people tested for HIV do not return to get the result when it takes days or weeks to determine. Dr Kirumira and Dr Chan developed a new test that provides the result in three minutes, so that a diagnosis can be made on the spot. Dr Kirumira is a prolific inventor who went on to found several companies, and has been described as "the pioneer of Nova Scotia's biotechnology sector".
Today BioMedica makes a range of diagnostic products that are portable, affordable and robust, making them ideally suited for use in developing countries. They allow people to be rapidly screened for a range of conditions, including HIV, hepatitis, malaria, rubella, typhoid and cholera. The firm's customers include the World Health Organisation. Providing such tests to patients in the developing world is a personal mission of Dr Kirumira's, but it also makes sound business sense: the market for invitro diagnostics in the developing world is growing by over 25% a year, the company notes, compared with growth of only 5% a year in developed nations.
Moving to Canada gave Dr Kirumira research opportunities and access to venture funding that were not available in Uganda. His innovations now provide an affordable way for hospitals in his native continent of Africa to perform vital tests. A similar example is provided by mPedigree, a start-up that has developed a mobile-phone-based system that allows people to verify the authenticity of medicines. Counterfeit drugs are widespread in the developing world: they are estimated to account for 10-25% of all drugs sold, and over 80% in some countries. The World Health Organisation estimates that a fake vaccine for meningitis, distributed in Niger in 1995, killed over 2,500 people. mPedigree was established by Bright Simons, a Ghanaian social entrepreneur, in conjunction with Ashifi Gogo, a fellow Ghanaian. The two were more than just acquaintances having met at Secondary School. There are many high-tech authentication systems available in the developed world for drug packaging, involving radio-frequency identification (RFID) chips, DNA tags, and so forth.
The mPedigree system developed my Mr Gogo, an engineering student, is much cheaper and simpler and only requires the use of a mobile phone — an item that is now spreading more quickly in Africa than in any other region of the world. Once the drugs have been purchased, a panel on the label is scratched off to reveal a special code. The patient then sends this code, by text message, to a particular number. The code is looked up in a database and a message is sent back specifying whether the drugs are genuine. The system is free to use because the drug companies cover the cost of the text messages. It was launched in Ghana in 2007, and mPedigree's founders hope to extend it to all 48 sub-Saharan African countries within a decade, and to other parts of in the developing world.
The effort is being supported by Ghana's Food and Drug Board, and by local telecoms operators and drug manufacturers. Mr Gogo has now been admitted into a special progamme at Dartmouth College in the United States that develops entrepreneurial skills, in addition to technical skills, in engineers. Like Dr Kirumira, he is benefiting from opportunities that did not exist in his home country, and his country is benefiting too. This case of mPedigree shows that it is wrong to assume that the movement of talent is one-way (from poor to rich countries) and permanent. As it has become easier to travel and communications technology has improved, skilled workers have become more likely to spend brief spells in other countries that provide opportunities, rather than emigrating permanently.
And many entrepreneurs and innovators shuttle between two or more places — between Tel Aviv and Silicon Valley, for example, or Silicon Valley and Hsinchu in Taiwan — in a pattern of "circular" migration, in which it is no longer meaningful to distinguish between "sending" and "receiving" countries.
The benefits of a diaspora
Migration (whether temporary, permanent or circular) to a foreign country can be facilitated by the existence of a diaspora, since it can be easier to adjust to a new culture when you are surrounded by compatriots who have already done so. Some observers worry that diasporas make migration too easy, in the sense that they may encourage a larger number of talented individuals to leave their home country than would otherwise be the case, to the detriment of that country.
But as with the broader debate about migration, this turns out to be only part of the story. Diasporas can have a powerful positive effect in promoting innovation and benefiting the home country. Large American technology firms, for example, have set up research centres in India in part because they have been impressed by the calibre of the migrant Indian engineers they have employed in America. Diasporas also provide a channel for knowledge and skills to pass back to the home country.
James Nakagawa, a Canadian of Japanese origin and the founder of Mobile Healthcare, is a case in point. A third-generation immigrant, he grew up in Canada but decided in 1994 to move to Japan, where he worked for a number of technology firms and set up his own financial-services consultancy. In 2000 he had the idea that led him to found Mobile Healthcare, when a friend was diagnosed with diabetes and lamented that he found it difficult to determine which foods to eat, and which to avoid.
The rapid spread of advanced mobile phones in Japan, a world leader in mobile telecoms, prompted Mr Nakagawa to devise Lifewatcher, Mobile Healthcare's main product. It is a "disease selfmanagement system" used in conjunction with a doctor, based around a secure online database that can be accessed via a mobile phone. Patients record what medicines they are taking and what food they are eating, taking a picture of each meal. A database of common foodstuffs, including menu items from restaurants and fast-food chains, helps users work out what they can safely eat. Patients can also call up their medical records to follow the progress of key health indicators, such as blood sugar, blood pressure, cholesterol levels and calorie intake.
All of this information can also be accessed online by the patient's doctor or nutritionist. The system allows people with diabetes or obesity (both of which are rapidly becoming more prevalent in Japan and elsewhere) to take an active role in managing their conditions. Mr Nakagawa did three months of research in the United States and Canada while developing Lifewatcher, which was created with support from Apple (which helped with hardware and software), the Japanese Red Cross and Japan's Ministry of Health and Welfare (which provided full access to its nutritional database).
Japanese patients who are enrolled in the system have 70% of the cost covered by their health insurance. Mr Nakagawa is now working to introduce Lifewatcher in the United States and Canada, where obesity and diabetes are also becoming more widespread — along advanced mobile phones of the kind once only found in Japan. Mr Nakagawa's ability to move freely between Japanese and North American cultures, combining the telecoms expertise of the former with the entrepreneurial approach of the latter, has resulted in a system that can benefit both.
The story of Calvin Chin, the Chinese-American founder of Qifang, is similar. Mr Chin was born and educated in America, and worked in the financial services and technology industries for several years before moving to China. Expatriate Chinese who return to the country, enticed by opportunities in its fast-growing economy, are known as "returning turtles". Qifang is a "peer to peer" (P2P) lending site that enables students to borrow money to finance their education from other users of the site. P2P lending has been pioneered in other countries by sites such as Zopa and Prosper in other countries.
Such sites require would-be borrowers to provide a range of personal details about themselves to reassure lenders, and perform credit checks on them. Borrowers pay above-market rates, which is what attracts lenders. Qifang adds several twists to this formula. It is concentrating solely on student loans, which means that regulators are more likely to look favourably on the company's unusual business model. It allows payments to be made directly to educational institutions, to make sure the money goes to the right place. Qifang also requires borrowers to give their parents' names when taking out a loan, which increases the social pressure on them not to default, since that would cause the family to lose face.
Mr Chin has thus tuned an existing business model to take account of the cultural and regulatory environment in China, where P2P lending could be particularly attractive, given the relatively undeveloped state of China's financial-services market. In a sense, Qifang is just an updated, online version of the community group-lending schemes that are commonly used to finance education in China. The company's motto is that "everyone should be able to get an education, no matter their financial means".
Just as Mr Chin is trying to use knowledge acquired in the developed world to help people in his mother country of China, Sachin Duggal hopes his company, Nivio, will do something similar for people in India. Mr Duggal was born in Britain and is of Indian extraction. He worked in financial services, including a stint as a technologist at Deutsche Bank, before setting up Nivio, which essentially provides a PC desktop, personalised with a user's software and documents, that can be accessed from any web browser.
This approach makes it possible to centralise the management of PCs in a large company, and is already popular in the business world. But Mr Duggal hopes that it will also make computing more accessible to people who find the prospect of owning and managing their own PCs (and dealing with spam and viruses) too daunting, or simply cannot afford a PC at all. Nivio's software was developed in India, where Mr Duggal teamed up with Iqbal Gandham, the founder of Net4India, one of India's first internet service providers. Mr Duggal believes that the "virtual webtop" model could have great potential in extending access to computers to rural parts of India, and thus spreading the opportunities associated with the country's high-tech boom. A survey of the bosses of Indian software firms clearly shows how diasporas can promote innovation.
It found that those bosses who had lived abroad and returned to India made far more use of diaspora links upon their return than entrepreneurs who had never lived abroad, which gave them access to capital and skills in other countries. Diasporas can, in other words, help to ensure that "brain drain" does indeed turn into "brain gain", provided the government of the country in question puts appropriate policies in place to facilitate the movement of people, technology and capital.
Making the connection
Multinational companies can also play an important role in providing new opportunities for talented individuals, and facilitating the transfer of skills. In recent years many technology companies have set up large operations in India, for example, in order to benefit from the availability of talented engineers and the services provided by local companies. Is this simply exploitation of low-paid workers by Western companies?
The example of JiGrahak Mobility Solutions, a start-up based in Bangalore, illustrates why it is not. The company was founded by Sourabh Jain, an engineering graduate from the Delhi Institute of Technology. After completing his studies he went to work for the Indian research arm of Lucent Technologies, an American telecoms-equipment firm. This gave him a solid grounding in mobile-phone technology, which subsequently enabled him to set up JiGrahak, a company that provides a mobile-commerce service called Ngpay.
In India, where many people first experience the internet on a mobile phone, rather than a PC, and where mobile phones are far more widespread than PCs, there is much potential for phone-based shopping and payment services. Ngpay lets users buy tickets, pay bills and transfer money using their handsets. Such is its popularity that with months of its launch in 2008, Ngpay accounted for 4% of ticket sales at Fame, an Indian cinema chain.
The role of large companies in nurturing talented individuals, who then leave to set up their own companies, is widely understood in Silicon Valley. Start-ups are often founded by alumni from Sun, HP, Oracle and other big names. Rather than worrying that they could be raising their own future competitors, large companies understand that the resulting dynamic, innovative environment benefits everyone, as large firms spawn, compete with and acquire smaller ones.
As large firms establish outposts in developing countries, such catalysis of innovation is becoming more widespread. Companies with large numbers of employees and former employees spread around the world can function rather like a corporate diaspora, in short, providing another form of network along which skills and technology can diffuse. The network that has had the greatest impact on spreading ideas, promoting innovation and allowing potential partners to find out about each other's research is, of course, the internet. As access to the internet becomes more widespread, it can allow developing countries to link up more closely with developed countries, as the rise of India's software industry illustrates. But it can also promote links between developing countries.
The Cows to Kilowatts Partnership, based in Nigeria, provides an unusual example. It was founded by Joseph Adelagan, a Nigerian engineer, who was concerned about the impact on local rivers of effluent from the Bodija Market abattoir in Ibadan. As well as the polluting the water supply of several nearby villages, the effluent carried animal diseases that could be passed to humans. Dr Adelagan proposed setting up an effluent-treatment plant.
He discovered, however, that although treating the effluent would reduce water pollution, the process would produce carbon-dioxide and methane emissions that contribute to climate change. So he began to look for ways to capture these gases and make use of them. Researching the subject online, he found that a research institution in Thailand, the Centre for Waste Utilisation and Management at King Mongkut University of Technology Thonburi, had developed anaerobic reactors that could transform agro-industrial waste into biogas. He made contact with the Thai researchers, and together they developed a version of the technology
suitable for use in Nigeria that turns the abattoir waste into clean household cooking gas and organic fertiliser, thus reducing the need for expensive chemical fertiliser. The same approach could be applied across Africa, Dr Adelagan believes. The Cows to Kilowatts project illustrates the global nature of modern innovation, facilitated by the free movement of both ideas and people. Thanks to the internet, people in one part of the world can easily make contact with people trying to solve similar problems elsewhere.
Lessons learned
What policies should governments adopt in order to develop and attract innovation talent, encourage its movement and benefit from its circulation? At the most basic level, investment in education is vital. Perhaps surprisingly, however, Amar Bhidé of Columbia University suggests that promoting innovation does not mean pushing as many students as possible into technical subjects.
Although researchers and technologists provide the raw material for innovation, he points out, a crucial role in orchestrating innovation is also played by entrepreneurs who may not have a technical background. So it is important to promote a mixture of skills. A strong education system also has the potential to attract skilled foreign students, academics and researchers, and gives foreign companies an incentive to establish nearby research and development operations.
Many countries already offer research grants, scholarships and tax benefits to attract talented immigrants. In many cases immigration procedures are "fast tracked" for individuals working in science and technology. But there is still scope to remove barriers to the mobility of talent. Mobility of skilled workers increasingly involves short stays, rather than permanent moves, but this is not yet widely reflected in immigration policy. Removing barriers to short-term stays can increase "brain circulation" and promote diaspora links.
Another problem for many skilled workers is that their qualifications are not always recognised in other countries. Greater harmonisation of standards for qualifications is one way to tackle this problem; some countries also have formal systems to evaluate foreign qualifications and determine their local equivalents. Countries must also provide an open and flexible business environment to ensure that promising innovations can be brought to market. If market access or financial backing are not available, after all, today's global-trotting innovators increasingly have the option of going elsewhere.
The most important point is that the global competition for talent is not a zero-sum game in which some countries win, and others lose. As the Technology Pioneers described here demonstrate, the nature of innovation, and the global movement of talent and ideas, is far more complicated that the simplistic notion of a "talent war" between developed and developing nations would suggest. Innovation is a global activity, and granting the greatest possible freedom to innovators can help to ensure that the ideas they generate will benefit the greatest possible number of people.
Integrated Transformation: How rising customer expectations are turning com...
Modern customers have it good. Spoilt for choice and convenience, today’s empowered consumers have come to expect more from the businesses they interact with. This doesn’t just apply to their wanting a quality product at a fair price, but also tailored goods, swift and effective customer service across different channels, and a connected experience across their online shopping and in-store experience, with easy access to information they need when they want it.
Meeting these expectations is a significant challenge for organisations. For many, it requires restructuring long-standing operating models, re-engineering business processes and adopting a fundamental shift in mindset to put customer experience at the heart of business decision- making. Download our report to learn more.
Eurofinance 2018: Tech adventures in treasury
“The Treasurer: Agent of change”, a session sponsored by Deutsche Bank, considered how treasurers can best prepare for the industry disruption stemming from technological evolution.
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The Future is Now: How Ready is Treasury?
The traditional role, structure and staffing of treasury are being challenged on all sides. Customers, supply chains, banks and transaction services providers alike are being disrupted by digitalisation and new technologies. Corporate treasurers face the direct challenges of new compliance, tax and regulatory initiatives in Europe, the US and elsewhere while coping with the ongoing evolution of their own companies’ existing business models.
These changes create a dilemma for treasury. Treasury cannot de-emphasise its core functions of cash and liquidity management, accounts payable/accounts receivable (AP/AR) oversight, funding, and financial risk management. But at the same time, it has progressed from being a transaction and reporting centre to a more strategic risk holder and analytics centre of excellence. This strategic evolution means treasury has to mobilise new automation technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, open application programming interfaces (APIs), and cloud services if it is to free up resources and add more value.
The future of best practice in treasury is inextricably linked to next-generation data analysis. Treasury is the company’s natural financial data depository and analytics engine for future planning. However, to take on this strategically important role, treasurers will have to go beyond their traditional finance training. They will need to embrace wider software engineering, data science and project management skills themselves or at least be able to lead a team that includes those disciplines.
So, do treasurers understand the nature of the challenge? Are they ready for a future that is, in many ways, already here?
Our survey results suggest that while some companies are well advanced in their preparations, others are, at best, ambivalent about the profundity of the changes they face. Some do not believe that disruption affects them. Others seem complacent about the new skill sets and knowledge that treasury will require to function well within this new environment. Most of the respondents were unable to think about the “unknown unknowns”; they believe that existing systems are the future of treasury technology and existing functions will be the main areas that new developments in AI, blockchain/ distributed ledger technology and automation will be applied.
The survey results indicate a growing divergence between those treasurers possessing the resources that enable a longer term strategic view and those forced to solely focus on traditional tasks, leaving them vulnerable to decisions taken by their more strategic thinking CFOs and CIOs.
Key findings
Disruption is real and the causes are manifold. More than 55% of treasuries say that their company is changing operational models as a result of sector disruption and that this is having a knock-on effect on treasury. Business models are being disrupted from all sides. Treasurers see the most disruptive influences as multi-channel payments (47%), mobile-based solutions (43%) and changes in supply-chain product life cycles (41%). Respondents are highly confident that they have the right skill sets in their teams to respond to the rapid pace of technological change. The vast majority (80%) of treasurers believe they have all or the majority of the skills necessary to meet the challenges posed by ongoing technological change. Stay with what we know. Treasurers overwhelmingly believe that treasury management systems (TMS) and enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems will remain the core of treasury technology, with 35% and 36% respectively choosing existing TMS and ERP systems as the most useful technologies. Treasury is still hesitant to fully embrace the cloud; however, 31% of treasurers would consider moving in-house systems to it. Treasury is behind the open API curve. Although treasury recognises the benefits of big data analytics, with 56% of respondents citing it as one of the most beneficial new technologies, only 13% are thinking about open APIs. US tax reforms challenge corporate treasurers. The top regulatory concern for respondents is US tax reform, cited by 28% of respondents. Other regulatory concerns, each cited by 25% of respondents, were anti-money laundering (AML), know-your-customer (KYC) regulations and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
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People now expect more from their bank than they did even five years ago. As North Americans become ever more used to turning to the digital world for all aspects of their lives, the need for banks to make their online service offerings as good as their offline services, eg, mortgages and pension planning, seems obvious. These changing customer behaviours and demands should be fuelling change in the services and products retail banks offer their current clients. It should also be influencing their thinking in how they reach out to new clients.
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The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.
Related content
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.