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Growth Crossings: Trade flows 2020

Trade Flows 2020

What are the implications of the fragmenting global trading system, and is China really becoming a rule maker rather than a rule taker when it comes to doing international business?

Growth Crossings is a global event and content series sponsored by Standard Chartered and produced by Economist Events and The Economist Intelligence Unit.

 

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International institutions expand but individual states remain key

Rising powers may play a greater role in international institutions, pushing for better representation on the UN Security Council and improved voting rights at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The fact that it was the G20, rather than the G8, which met in November 2008 to discuss the global response to the economic slowdown was widely hailed as a sign of a new multilateralism. But with the representation of a larger collection of governments, these institutions may findt hat it is even harder to make binding decisions.

The GCC in 2020

 

Key findings of the first phase of our research on the GCC and the global economy include the following:

Mapping Africa’s Islamic Economy

Why read this report

  • Sukuk are an attractive tool for financing African infrastructure. Africa faces a severe infrastructure deficit but government budgets have come under pressure due to low commodity prices. Sharia-compliant bonds, or sukuk, have been used in five countries to raise capital.
  • Islamic finance has a presence in 21 African countries, from established systems like Sudan through to new entrants like Uganda

Beyond Commodities: Gulf investors and the new Africa

Key findings include:

  • Africa is resilient, able to withstand the global recession and the current commodity price slump. The continent’s solid growth rates provide further evidence of economic dynamism outside the traditional mainstays of natural resources
  • East Africa is the most appealing region for non-commodity investment from the Gulf. South Africa notwithstanding, the East Africa region is proving the main draw for Gulf investors, with manufacturing in Ethiopia, leisure, retail and tourism in Mozambique and Kenya

The new global reality

Broadening healthcare access in Brazil through innovation

This is a research report written by the Economist Intelligence Unit, sponsored by Roche.  Brazil's economy is booming on the back of deepening credit markets, a growing middle class and rising investment in physical infrastructure, but serious shortcomings in its healthcare sector represent one of the key constraints on attaining developed-country standards of prosperity.  Making the healtcare sector more effective--and innovative--will require sweeping changes to the business practices of healthcare providers and life science companies.

The global power of Brazilian agribusiness

  • Key survey findings
  • Full report analysis
  • Comments from senior industry experts

Click the button below to download the full report.

The GCC in 2020 II

Research Methodology

The findings are based on two main strands of research: A programme of in-depth analysis, conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit, which drew on its own long-term forecasts and projections for the six GCC economies, along with other published sources of information; and a series of interviews in which economists, academics and leading experts in the developmentof the GCC were invited to give their views. In some cases, interviewees have chosen to remain anonymous. Our sincere thanks go to all the interviewees for sharing their insight on this topic.

The big tilt

The quantitative findings presented in this report come from an online survey of 1,017 executives around the world—51% of whom describe themselves as board members or C-level executives—conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit in August and September 2009. The survey asked respondents about the changing balance of global economic influence and their strategies in the face of it. To supplement the quantitative survey results, we conducted in-depth interviews with 19 senior executives and experts.

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