Around 15m people are currently living with hepatitis B or C in Pakistan, the second highest in the world. Official data are more than a decade old—a national survey from 2007- 08 found a prevalence of 4.8% for HCV and 2.5% for HBV.
Previous treatments were comparatively ineffective in Pakistan, where the genetic makeup of the population leaves them susceptible to certain strains of the virus. The result was a cure rate of just 50%, according to Huma Qureshi, a consultant gastroenterologist focusing on liver diseases (formerly the executive director of the Pakistan Health Research Council and national lead on the prevention and control of viral hepatitis).
More recently, a survey conducted in Punjab, one of the country’s largest provinces, showed that rates of HCV increased sharply from to 6.7% in 2008 to 17% in 2017. The prevalence of HBV, on the other hand, decreased slightly to 2.2% from 2.4% over the same period. This was attributed to the introduction of an HBV vaccination programme for infants at six weeks of age.
The findings of similar regional surveys combined with a provincial infection scandal (see next section) have created a greater sense of urgency among policymakers. According to one study, tackling HCV effectively will save more than 320,000 lives and US$2.6bn in direct costs between 2015 and 2030. But crafting the appropriate policy response requires a deeper understanding of the underlying causes of current viral hepatitis rates in the country alongside its existing prevention and control policies.
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