Health

A Renewed Commitment: Pakistan’s policy response to hepatitis B and C

November 13, 2019

Asia

November 13, 2019

Asia
Melanie Noronha

Principal, Policy & insights

Melanie is a principal at Economist Impact. She has over ten years of experience delivering consulting and thought leadership projects to public, private and not-for-profit organisations. Based in Dubai, she leads the Middle East and Africa team on research across a range of sectors including food sustainability, recycling, renewable energy, fintech, trade and supply chains. She is a specialist in advanced recycling technologies and international trade. She is a seasoned moderator, having chaired numerous panel discussions and presented Economist Impact's research at global in-person and virtual conferences.

Before joining The Economist Group, she was a senior analyst at MEED Insight, a research and consulting firm serving Middle East and North Africa. At MEED, she developed expertise in bespoke market studies and financial modelling across a range of sectors spanning construction, finance, power and water, oil and gas, and renewable energy. She held previous posts at the Office of the Chief Economist at the Dubai International Financial Centre and at the San Francisco Center for Economic Development. Melanie has an MSc in International Strategy and Economics from the University of St Andrews and a bachelor’s degree in business administration.

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Pakistan’s policymakers are waking up to the scale of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the country and elevating it to a public health priority after years of inadequate action. Meanwhile, stable or declining infection rates of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) in many regions suggest Pakistan’s vaccination programme is currently holding this virus strain at bay.

Around 15m people are currently living with hepatitis B or C in Pakistan, the second highest in the world. Official data are more than a decade old—a national survey from 2007- 08 found a prevalence of 4.8% for HCV and 2.5% for HBV.

Previous treatments were comparatively ineffective in Pakistan, where the genetic makeup of the population leaves them susceptible to certain strains of the virus. The result was a cure rate of just 50%, according to Huma Qureshi, a consultant gastroenterologist focusing on liver diseases (formerly the executive director of the Pakistan Health Research Council and national lead on the prevention and control of viral hepatitis). 

More recently, a survey conducted in Punjab, one of the country’s largest provinces, showed that rates of HCV increased sharply from to 6.7% in 2008 to 17% in 2017. The prevalence of HBV, on the other hand, decreased slightly to 2.2% from 2.4% over the same period. This was attributed to the introduction of an HBV vaccination programme for infants at six weeks of age.

The findings of similar regional surveys combined with a provincial infection scandal (see next section) have created a greater sense of urgency among policymakers. According to one study, tackling HCV effectively will save more than 320,000 lives and US$2.6bn in direct costs between 2015 and 2030. But crafting the appropriate policy response requires a deeper understanding of the underlying causes of current viral hepatitis rates in the country alongside its existing prevention and control policies.

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A Renewed Commitment: Pakistan’s policy response to hepatitis B and C

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