From Crisis to Opportunity: Strengthening MENA’s digital ecosystem in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic
COVID-19 has forced changes to virtually every aspect of economic and non-economic life, from the critical to the mundane. Overburdened healthcare systems around the world have scrambled to build makeshift field hospitals to treat patients, whilst schools have struggled to provide online instruction and in-person business exchanges have all but ground to a halt.
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Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorro...
About the research
Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorrow is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Nutanix. It explores expectations of citizens and businesses for smart-city development in some of the world’s major urban centres. The analysis is based on two parallel surveys conducted in 19 cities: one of 6,746 residents and another of 969 business executives. The cities included are Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Dubai, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, London, Los Angeles, Mumbai, New York, Paris, Riyadh, San Francisco, São Paulo, Singapore, Stockholm, Sydney, Tokyo and Zurich.
Respondents to the citizen survey were evenly balanced by age (roughly one-third in each of the 18-38, 39-54 and 55 years and older age groups) and gender. A majority (56%) had household incomes above the median level in their city, with 44% below it. Respondents to the business survey were mainly senior executives (65% at C-suite or director level) working in a range of different functions. They work in large, midsize and small firms in over a dozen industries. See the report appendix for full survey results and demographics.
Additional insights were obtained from indepth interviews with city officials, smart-city experts at NGOs and other institutions, and business executives. We would like to thank the following individuals for their time and insights.
Pascual Berrone, academic co-director, Cities in Motion, and professor, strategic management, IESE Business School (Barcelona) Lawrence Boya, director, Smart City Programme, city of Johannesburg Amanda Daflos, chief innovation officer, city of Los Angeles Linda Gerull, chief information officer, city of San Francisco Praveen Pardeshi, municipal commissioner, Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (Mumbai) • Brian Roberts, policy analyst, city of San Francisco Sameer Sharma, global general manager, Internet of Things (IoT), Intel • Marius Sylvestersen, programme director, Copenhagen Solutions Lab Tan Kok Yam, deputy secretary of the Smart Nation and Digital Government, Prime Minister’s Office, SingaporeThe report was written by Denis McCauley and edited by Michael Gold.
Talent for innovation
Talent for innovation: Getting noticed in a global market incorporates case studies of the 34 companies selected as Technology Pioneers in biotechnology/health, energy/environmental technology, and information technology.
Leonardo Da Vinci unquestionably had it in the 15th century; so did Thomas Edison in the 19th century. But today, "talent for innovation" means something rather different. Innovation is no longer the work of one individual toiling in a workshop. In today's globalised, interconnected world, innovation is the work of teams, often based in particular innovation hotspots, and often collaborating with partners, suppliers and customers both nearby and in other countries.
Innovation has become a global activity as it has become easier for ideas and talented people to move from one country to another. This has both quickened the pace of technological development and presented many new opportunities, as creative individuals have become increasingly prized and there has been greater recognition of new sources of talent, beyond the traditional innovation hotspots of the developed world.
The result is a global exchange of ideas, and a global market for innovation talent. Along with growth in international trade and foreign direct investment, the mobility of talent is one of the hallmarks of modern globalisation. Talented innovators are regarded by companies, universities and governments as a vital resource, as precious as oil or water. They are sought after for the simple reason that innovation in products and services is generally agreed to be a large component, if not the largest component, in driving economic growth. It should be noted that "innovation" in this context does not simply mean the development of new, cutting-edge technologies by researchers.
It also includes the creative ways in which other people then refine, repackage and combine those technologies and bring them to market. Indeed, in his recent book, "The Venturesome Economy", Amar Bhidé, professor of business at Columbia University, argues that such "orchestration" of innovation can actually be more important in driving economic activity than pure research. "In a world where breakthrough ideas easily cross national borders, the origin of ideas is inconsequential," he writes. Ideas cross borders not just in the form of research papers, e-mails and web pages, but also inside the heads of talented people. This movement of talent is not simply driven by financial incentives. Individuals may also be motivated by a desire for greater academic freedom, better access to research facilities and funding, or the opportunity to work with key researchers in a particular field.
Countries that can attract talented individuals can benefit from more rapid economic growth, closer collaboration with the countries where those individuals originated, and the likelihood that immigrant entrepreneurs will set up new companies and create jobs. Mobility of talent helps to link companies to sources of foreign innovation and research expertise, to the benefit of both. Workers who emigrate to another country may bring valuable knowledge of their home markets with them, which can subsequently help companies in the destination country to enter those markets more easily. Analysis of scientific journals suggests that international co-authorship is increasing, and there is some evidence thatcollaborative work has a greater impact than work carried out in one country. Skilled individuals also act as repositories of knowledge, training the next generation and passing on their accumulated wisdom.
But the picture is complicated by a number of concerns. In developed countries which have historically depended to a large extent on foreign talent (such as the United States), there is anxiety that it is becoming increasingly difficult to attract talent as new opportunities arise elsewhere. Compared with the situation a decade ago, Indian software engineers, for example, may be more inclined to set up a company in India, rather than moving to America to work for a software company there. In developed countries that have not historically relied on foreign talent (such as Germany), meanwhile, the ageing of the population as the birth rate falls and life expectancy increases means there is a need to widen the supply of talent, as skilled workers leave the workforce and young people show less interest than they used to in technical subjects. And in developing countries, where there is a huge supply of new talent (hundreds of thousands of engineers graduate from Indian and Chinese universities every year), the worry is that these graduates have a broad technical grounding but may lack the specialised skills demanded by particular industries.
Other shifts are also under way. The increasing sophistication of emerging economies (notably India and China) is overturning the old model of "create in the West, customise for the East". Indian and Chinese companies are now globally competitive in many industries. And although the mobility of talent is increasing, workers who move to another country are less likely to stay for the long-term, and are more likely to return to their country of origin. The number of Chinese students studying abroad increased from 125,000 in 2002 to 134,000 in 2006, for example, but the proportion who stayed in the country where they studied after graduating fell from 85% to 69% over the same period, according to figures from the OECD (see page 10).
What is clear is that the emergence of a global market for talent means gifted innovators are more likely to be able to succeed, and new and unexpected opportunities are being exploited, as this year's Technology Pioneers demonstrate. They highlight three important aspects of the global market for talent: the benefits of mobility, the significant role of diasporas, and the importance of network effects in catalysing innovation.
Brain drain, or gain?
Perhaps the most familiar aspect of the debate about flows of talent is the widely expressed concern about the "brain drain" from countries that supply talented workers. If a country educates workers at the taxpayers' expense, does it not have a claim on their talent? There are also worries that the loss of skilled workers can hamper institutional development and drive up the cost of technical services. But such concerns must be weighed against the benefits of greater mobility.
There are not always opportunities for skilled individuals in their country of birth. The prospect of emigration can encourage the development of skills by individuals who may not in fact decide to emigrate. Workers who emigrate may send remittances back to their families at home, which can be a significant source of income and can help to alleviate poverty. And skilled workers may return to their home countries after a period working abroad, further stimulating knowledge transfer and improving the prospects for domestic growth, since they will maintain contacts with researchers overseas. As a result, argues a recent report from the OECD, it makes more sense to talk of a complex process of "brain circulation" rather than a one-way "brain drain". The movement of talent is not simply a zero-sum gain in which sending countries lose, and receiving countries benefit. Greater availability and mobility of talent opens up new possibilities and can benefit everyone.
Consider, for example, BioMedica Diagnostics of Windsor, Nova Scotia. The company makes medical diagnostic systems, some of them battery-operated, that can be used to provide health care in remote regions to people who would otherwise lack access to it. It was founded by Abdullah Kirumira, a Ugandan biochemist who moved to Canada in 1990 and became a professor at Acadia University. There he developed a rapid test for HIV in conjunction with one of his students, Hermes Chan (a native of Hong Kong who had moved to Canada to study). According to the United States Centers for Disease Control, around one-third of people tested for HIV do not return to get the result when it takes days or weeks to determine. Dr Kirumira and Dr Chan developed a new test that provides the result in three minutes, so that a diagnosis can be made on the spot. Dr Kirumira is a prolific inventor who went on to found several companies, and has been described as "the pioneer of Nova Scotia's biotechnology sector".
Today BioMedica makes a range of diagnostic products that are portable, affordable and robust, making them ideally suited for use in developing countries. They allow people to be rapidly screened for a range of conditions, including HIV, hepatitis, malaria, rubella, typhoid and cholera. The firm's customers include the World Health Organisation. Providing such tests to patients in the developing world is a personal mission of Dr Kirumira's, but it also makes sound business sense: the market for invitro diagnostics in the developing world is growing by over 25% a year, the company notes, compared with growth of only 5% a year in developed nations.
Moving to Canada gave Dr Kirumira research opportunities and access to venture funding that were not available in Uganda. His innovations now provide an affordable way for hospitals in his native continent of Africa to perform vital tests. A similar example is provided by mPedigree, a start-up that has developed a mobile-phone-based system that allows people to verify the authenticity of medicines. Counterfeit drugs are widespread in the developing world: they are estimated to account for 10-25% of all drugs sold, and over 80% in some countries. The World Health Organisation estimates that a fake vaccine for meningitis, distributed in Niger in 1995, killed over 2,500 people. mPedigree was established by Bright Simons, a Ghanaian social entrepreneur, in conjunction with Ashifi Gogo, a fellow Ghanaian. The two were more than just acquaintances having met at Secondary School. There are many high-tech authentication systems available in the developed world for drug packaging, involving radio-frequency identification (RFID) chips, DNA tags, and so forth.
The mPedigree system developed my Mr Gogo, an engineering student, is much cheaper and simpler and only requires the use of a mobile phone — an item that is now spreading more quickly in Africa than in any other region of the world. Once the drugs have been purchased, a panel on the label is scratched off to reveal a special code. The patient then sends this code, by text message, to a particular number. The code is looked up in a database and a message is sent back specifying whether the drugs are genuine. The system is free to use because the drug companies cover the cost of the text messages. It was launched in Ghana in 2007, and mPedigree's founders hope to extend it to all 48 sub-Saharan African countries within a decade, and to other parts of in the developing world.
The effort is being supported by Ghana's Food and Drug Board, and by local telecoms operators and drug manufacturers. Mr Gogo has now been admitted into a special progamme at Dartmouth College in the United States that develops entrepreneurial skills, in addition to technical skills, in engineers. Like Dr Kirumira, he is benefiting from opportunities that did not exist in his home country, and his country is benefiting too. This case of mPedigree shows that it is wrong to assume that the movement of talent is one-way (from poor to rich countries) and permanent. As it has become easier to travel and communications technology has improved, skilled workers have become more likely to spend brief spells in other countries that provide opportunities, rather than emigrating permanently.
And many entrepreneurs and innovators shuttle between two or more places — between Tel Aviv and Silicon Valley, for example, or Silicon Valley and Hsinchu in Taiwan — in a pattern of "circular" migration, in which it is no longer meaningful to distinguish between "sending" and "receiving" countries.
The benefits of a diaspora
Migration (whether temporary, permanent or circular) to a foreign country can be facilitated by the existence of a diaspora, since it can be easier to adjust to a new culture when you are surrounded by compatriots who have already done so. Some observers worry that diasporas make migration too easy, in the sense that they may encourage a larger number of talented individuals to leave their home country than would otherwise be the case, to the detriment of that country.
But as with the broader debate about migration, this turns out to be only part of the story. Diasporas can have a powerful positive effect in promoting innovation and benefiting the home country. Large American technology firms, for example, have set up research centres in India in part because they have been impressed by the calibre of the migrant Indian engineers they have employed in America. Diasporas also provide a channel for knowledge and skills to pass back to the home country.
James Nakagawa, a Canadian of Japanese origin and the founder of Mobile Healthcare, is a case in point. A third-generation immigrant, he grew up in Canada but decided in 1994 to move to Japan, where he worked for a number of technology firms and set up his own financial-services consultancy. In 2000 he had the idea that led him to found Mobile Healthcare, when a friend was diagnosed with diabetes and lamented that he found it difficult to determine which foods to eat, and which to avoid.
The rapid spread of advanced mobile phones in Japan, a world leader in mobile telecoms, prompted Mr Nakagawa to devise Lifewatcher, Mobile Healthcare's main product. It is a "disease selfmanagement system" used in conjunction with a doctor, based around a secure online database that can be accessed via a mobile phone. Patients record what medicines they are taking and what food they are eating, taking a picture of each meal. A database of common foodstuffs, including menu items from restaurants and fast-food chains, helps users work out what they can safely eat. Patients can also call up their medical records to follow the progress of key health indicators, such as blood sugar, blood pressure, cholesterol levels and calorie intake.
All of this information can also be accessed online by the patient's doctor or nutritionist. The system allows people with diabetes or obesity (both of which are rapidly becoming more prevalent in Japan and elsewhere) to take an active role in managing their conditions. Mr Nakagawa did three months of research in the United States and Canada while developing Lifewatcher, which was created with support from Apple (which helped with hardware and software), the Japanese Red Cross and Japan's Ministry of Health and Welfare (which provided full access to its nutritional database).
Japanese patients who are enrolled in the system have 70% of the cost covered by their health insurance. Mr Nakagawa is now working to introduce Lifewatcher in the United States and Canada, where obesity and diabetes are also becoming more widespread — along advanced mobile phones of the kind once only found in Japan. Mr Nakagawa's ability to move freely between Japanese and North American cultures, combining the telecoms expertise of the former with the entrepreneurial approach of the latter, has resulted in a system that can benefit both.
The story of Calvin Chin, the Chinese-American founder of Qifang, is similar. Mr Chin was born and educated in America, and worked in the financial services and technology industries for several years before moving to China. Expatriate Chinese who return to the country, enticed by opportunities in its fast-growing economy, are known as "returning turtles". Qifang is a "peer to peer" (P2P) lending site that enables students to borrow money to finance their education from other users of the site. P2P lending has been pioneered in other countries by sites such as Zopa and Prosper in other countries.
Such sites require would-be borrowers to provide a range of personal details about themselves to reassure lenders, and perform credit checks on them. Borrowers pay above-market rates, which is what attracts lenders. Qifang adds several twists to this formula. It is concentrating solely on student loans, which means that regulators are more likely to look favourably on the company's unusual business model. It allows payments to be made directly to educational institutions, to make sure the money goes to the right place. Qifang also requires borrowers to give their parents' names when taking out a loan, which increases the social pressure on them not to default, since that would cause the family to lose face.
Mr Chin has thus tuned an existing business model to take account of the cultural and regulatory environment in China, where P2P lending could be particularly attractive, given the relatively undeveloped state of China's financial-services market. In a sense, Qifang is just an updated, online version of the community group-lending schemes that are commonly used to finance education in China. The company's motto is that "everyone should be able to get an education, no matter their financial means".
Just as Mr Chin is trying to use knowledge acquired in the developed world to help people in his mother country of China, Sachin Duggal hopes his company, Nivio, will do something similar for people in India. Mr Duggal was born in Britain and is of Indian extraction. He worked in financial services, including a stint as a technologist at Deutsche Bank, before setting up Nivio, which essentially provides a PC desktop, personalised with a user's software and documents, that can be accessed from any web browser.
This approach makes it possible to centralise the management of PCs in a large company, and is already popular in the business world. But Mr Duggal hopes that it will also make computing more accessible to people who find the prospect of owning and managing their own PCs (and dealing with spam and viruses) too daunting, or simply cannot afford a PC at all. Nivio's software was developed in India, where Mr Duggal teamed up with Iqbal Gandham, the founder of Net4India, one of India's first internet service providers. Mr Duggal believes that the "virtual webtop" model could have great potential in extending access to computers to rural parts of India, and thus spreading the opportunities associated with the country's high-tech boom. A survey of the bosses of Indian software firms clearly shows how diasporas can promote innovation.
It found that those bosses who had lived abroad and returned to India made far more use of diaspora links upon their return than entrepreneurs who had never lived abroad, which gave them access to capital and skills in other countries. Diasporas can, in other words, help to ensure that "brain drain" does indeed turn into "brain gain", provided the government of the country in question puts appropriate policies in place to facilitate the movement of people, technology and capital.
Making the connection
Multinational companies can also play an important role in providing new opportunities for talented individuals, and facilitating the transfer of skills. In recent years many technology companies have set up large operations in India, for example, in order to benefit from the availability of talented engineers and the services provided by local companies. Is this simply exploitation of low-paid workers by Western companies?
The example of JiGrahak Mobility Solutions, a start-up based in Bangalore, illustrates why it is not. The company was founded by Sourabh Jain, an engineering graduate from the Delhi Institute of Technology. After completing his studies he went to work for the Indian research arm of Lucent Technologies, an American telecoms-equipment firm. This gave him a solid grounding in mobile-phone technology, which subsequently enabled him to set up JiGrahak, a company that provides a mobile-commerce service called Ngpay.
In India, where many people first experience the internet on a mobile phone, rather than a PC, and where mobile phones are far more widespread than PCs, there is much potential for phone-based shopping and payment services. Ngpay lets users buy tickets, pay bills and transfer money using their handsets. Such is its popularity that with months of its launch in 2008, Ngpay accounted for 4% of ticket sales at Fame, an Indian cinema chain.
The role of large companies in nurturing talented individuals, who then leave to set up their own companies, is widely understood in Silicon Valley. Start-ups are often founded by alumni from Sun, HP, Oracle and other big names. Rather than worrying that they could be raising their own future competitors, large companies understand that the resulting dynamic, innovative environment benefits everyone, as large firms spawn, compete with and acquire smaller ones.
As large firms establish outposts in developing countries, such catalysis of innovation is becoming more widespread. Companies with large numbers of employees and former employees spread around the world can function rather like a corporate diaspora, in short, providing another form of network along which skills and technology can diffuse. The network that has had the greatest impact on spreading ideas, promoting innovation and allowing potential partners to find out about each other's research is, of course, the internet. As access to the internet becomes more widespread, it can allow developing countries to link up more closely with developed countries, as the rise of India's software industry illustrates. But it can also promote links between developing countries.
The Cows to Kilowatts Partnership, based in Nigeria, provides an unusual example. It was founded by Joseph Adelagan, a Nigerian engineer, who was concerned about the impact on local rivers of effluent from the Bodija Market abattoir in Ibadan. As well as the polluting the water supply of several nearby villages, the effluent carried animal diseases that could be passed to humans. Dr Adelagan proposed setting up an effluent-treatment plant.
He discovered, however, that although treating the effluent would reduce water pollution, the process would produce carbon-dioxide and methane emissions that contribute to climate change. So he began to look for ways to capture these gases and make use of them. Researching the subject online, he found that a research institution in Thailand, the Centre for Waste Utilisation and Management at King Mongkut University of Technology Thonburi, had developed anaerobic reactors that could transform agro-industrial waste into biogas. He made contact with the Thai researchers, and together they developed a version of the technology
suitable for use in Nigeria that turns the abattoir waste into clean household cooking gas and organic fertiliser, thus reducing the need for expensive chemical fertiliser. The same approach could be applied across Africa, Dr Adelagan believes. The Cows to Kilowatts project illustrates the global nature of modern innovation, facilitated by the free movement of both ideas and people. Thanks to the internet, people in one part of the world can easily make contact with people trying to solve similar problems elsewhere.
Lessons learned
What policies should governments adopt in order to develop and attract innovation talent, encourage its movement and benefit from its circulation? At the most basic level, investment in education is vital. Perhaps surprisingly, however, Amar Bhidé of Columbia University suggests that promoting innovation does not mean pushing as many students as possible into technical subjects.
Although researchers and technologists provide the raw material for innovation, he points out, a crucial role in orchestrating innovation is also played by entrepreneurs who may not have a technical background. So it is important to promote a mixture of skills. A strong education system also has the potential to attract skilled foreign students, academics and researchers, and gives foreign companies an incentive to establish nearby research and development operations.
Many countries already offer research grants, scholarships and tax benefits to attract talented immigrants. In many cases immigration procedures are "fast tracked" for individuals working in science and technology. But there is still scope to remove barriers to the mobility of talent. Mobility of skilled workers increasingly involves short stays, rather than permanent moves, but this is not yet widely reflected in immigration policy. Removing barriers to short-term stays can increase "brain circulation" and promote diaspora links.
Another problem for many skilled workers is that their qualifications are not always recognised in other countries. Greater harmonisation of standards for qualifications is one way to tackle this problem; some countries also have formal systems to evaluate foreign qualifications and determine their local equivalents. Countries must also provide an open and flexible business environment to ensure that promising innovations can be brought to market. If market access or financial backing are not available, after all, today's global-trotting innovators increasingly have the option of going elsewhere.
The most important point is that the global competition for talent is not a zero-sum game in which some countries win, and others lose. As the Technology Pioneers described here demonstrate, the nature of innovation, and the global movement of talent and ideas, is far more complicated that the simplistic notion of a "talent war" between developed and developing nations would suggest. Innovation is a global activity, and granting the greatest possible freedom to innovators can help to ensure that the ideas they generate will benefit the greatest possible number of people.
Integrated Transformation: How rising customer expectations are turning com...
Modern customers have it good. Spoilt for choice and convenience, today’s empowered consumers have come to expect more from the businesses they interact with. This doesn’t just apply to their wanting a quality product at a fair price, but also tailored goods, swift and effective customer service across different channels, and a connected experience across their online shopping and in-store experience, with easy access to information they need when they want it.
Meeting these expectations is a significant challenge for organisations. For many, it requires restructuring long-standing operating models, re-engineering business processes and adopting a fundamental shift in mindset to put customer experience at the heart of business decision- making. Download our report to learn more.
Making up for lost time: The race to digitise banks in Latin America
Latin America had a late start in the digitisation of financial services but has ramped up its efforts in the past five years, making up for lost time. There is now a bustling ecosystem with over 1,166 financial technology (fintech) start-ups in the region. Governments have also recognised the potential of digitisation and have developed specific regulation to level the playing field between top-tier banks and new entrants.
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The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.
A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent banking in the Middle East and Africa
Respondents in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) are the strongest believers in a cashless society. According to a retail banking survey conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit, a full 59% of MEA-based respondents think cash will dip below 5% of retail transactions in the next five years compared with a global average of 48%. But a big digital switch need not mean the end of face-to-face banking. Respondents in MEA are the least likely to believe that customers will forgo human contact (42% vs a 51% global average) even if digital services are free or low-cost.
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A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent b...
Across the Asia-Pacific region, governments and regulators are already implementing new strategies to digitise their economies and boost social inclusion. Faster payment networks are spreading, facilitating the adoption of mobile payments and the development of open banking. With mobile payment infrastructure and services already embedded in major economies, Asia-Pacific banks are looking to the next challenge. Digital technology regulations lag other regions but are under review (37% of respondents believe that emerging data regulation will have a major impact on the banking sector) as Asia looks to modernise, diversify and dilute its dependence on international trade.
The race is on
In markets where mobile payments have already taken root, banks and payment processors are battling tech companies on two fronts. They are working to retain their own retail card and current-account customers and attract new users to their apps and e-wallets. They also need to get and keep merchants on their side if they are to reap the economies of scale from a high-volume, low-margin sector.
Competition is intensifying between payment solutions based on application programming interfaces (APIs) and pre-loaded and credit card e-wallets. That may explain why survey respondents see an immediate need to master digital engagement and marketing (37% for 2020) to pull in users and merchants. They also need to be able to respond quickly when Alipay, WeChat Pay, Google and WhatsApp introduce new features (31% for 2020).
In India, app providers are already offering cashbacks, discount vouchers and other features to gain and retain market share. This may leave the smaller players vulnerable, particularly when all that is required to switch services is downloading an app. It is therefore likely that consolidation of this sector will follow. As Vijay Shekhar Sharma, founder and chief executive of Paytm, has pointed out, payments are merely the moat around other, more profitable services. The players with deep pockets will outlive their weaker competitors.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore was met with similar concerns that disruptors would leave the banks unprofitable when it first suggested the introduction of open banking. When the regulator pointed out that tech and fintech firms could already offer faster, simpler and cheaper transaction services, the banks agreed to collaborate on upgrading the banking system, providing all stakeholders operated within the same regulatory environment.
Singapore is set to follow Hong Kong with virtual bank licences; ride-hailing app giant Grab is likely to be among the first applicants. That may worry established banks, but the question remains whether the big tech providers have the capacity to tie up capital in establishing their own bank operations. It is also not clear if they really want to expose themselves to the reputational risks that service interruptions or bad service present if they are the sole provider of such services. Grab already offers loans through a Japanese bank and recently signed up with Citibank to offer branded credit cards.2 If either of those services fail to deliver to consumers, the banks, not Grab, face the wrath of consumers and regulatory authorities.
Yet all Asian regulators are acutely aware of how Alipay and WeChat Pay were able to create an effective duopoly in an unregulated market. Chinese authorities are now bringing in new laws to level the playing field. Other authorities want to lay down the rules first, before such corrective action needs to be taken. As a result, the Chinese payment giants may find new markets tougher to crack when they must operate under tighter licensing and data protection rules.
As Steve Weston, co-founder of Australia’s Volt Bank, says of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority: “The regulators are focused on ensuring that all banks, including new entrants, are operating in a prudent manner.”
A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent b...
In Europe, as in the rest of the world, technology is setting the agenda for the banking sector. This year, European respondents to The Economist Intelligence Unit’s global retail banking survey identify new technologies as the primary driver of change for retail banks, both in the coming year and up to 2025, overtaking changing customer behaviour and demands for the first time.
Unlike the rest of the world, however, technology-driven change in the banking sector is following a very particular agenda, in the short-term at least: the EU’s revised Payment Services Directive (PSD2).
For citizens, the open banking mandated by many of PSD2’s provisions promises a new world of intelligent, intuitive and accessible banking services. New features and services will depend heavily on data to manage spending and personal budgets, and encourage long-term savings.
For banks, it offers long-term opportunities but, as the survey reveals, short-term challenges too. Competition from the digital sector is hotting up: a quarter of respondents believe tech giants will be their biggest non-traditional source of competition by 2020; 31% believe that will be the case by 2025.
European banks know they have no time to waste. Making open banking work, both practically and strategically, is the order of the day.
Short-term headaches
Unsurprisingly, given the mandate of PSD2, launching an open banking strategy is a top priority for the coming year for 29% of European respondents, second only in prevalence to talent acquisition and retention (30%). Open banking will still be a priority in 2025 for 26% of respondents, although more expect to be prioritising responding to regulation (35%), migrating clients to digital channels (29%) and mastering digital marketing (29%) by then.
Furthermore, the largest share of European bankers sees embracing openness as the future of the industry: 35% of respondents see acting as a true digital ecosystem—offering both banking and non-banking services that originate either internally or from third parties to customers and other financial services providers—as the primary direction in which their organisation’s business model will evolve.
But the minds of Europe’s bankers are also occupied by the short-term technical challenges that open banking presents, the survey reveals. Banks in the EU are due to deliver fully operational portals for their application programming interfaces (APIs), intrinsic to open banking, by September 2019. However, three in ten respondents from Europe identify a lack of international standards for APIs as their greatest concern regarding regulation and standards.
Indeed, the introduction of APIs in the European banking sector has not been smooth sailing so far. Banks had until June 14th 2019 to prove they had dedicated APIs available for testing by third parties. If they missed the deadline, they may have to offer fallback options and spend more IT money on secure screen scraping.
“Whether the third parties test [our APIs] is out of our control,” says Matt Cox, head of open banking at Nationwide Building Society, one of nine UK banks charged with leading the open banking push, called the CMA9.
“For us, testing is still in early days. We were one of few of the CMA9 to have the full suite ready for the March deadline. We are working with two to four different third parties and are only just at the beginning of testing payment journeys in any meaningful way,’” he says.
Mr Cox feels that the majority of European banks are further behind than the UK. He may be right; a recent survey found 41% of banks1 failed to have API testing sandboxes ready in March to allow third-party providers the chance to test them for six months.
A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent b...
North American bankers sense danger more than most when new entrants join their market, according to a global retail banking survey conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit. In anticipation of 2020, nearly a third of local respondents (33%) are feeling pressure from the changing competitive environment, compared to 28% globally. An even more pressing issue for North American bankers is keeping on top of changing customer behaviour and demands (cited by 34% for 2020 and 33% for 2025).
As banking clients increasingly seek speed and convenience, and with Google the latest tech giant to announce plans for “smart” checking accounts linked to the Google Pay app, new technologies are understandably seen as high impact trends on the sector for both the short- (40% for 2020) and medium-terms (43% for 2025).
In the long-term, emerging regulation of digital technology is viewed as a prime source of disruption for North American bankers (36% for 2025). Over a quarter (26% for 2025) cite open banking as a key trend.
Lessons learnt
Challenger banks are also making their presence felt in North America, be they domestic startups such as Chime or Simple—now part of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA)—or overseas brands such as Monzo and Revolut which are now expanding their footprint. But as in Europe, a comparable developed market, banking customers are often hesitant to switch their primary banking relationship, even when a better deal is on offer.
However, the number of banks choosing to develop new greenfield initiatives has increased from 13% in 2018 to 29% in 2019, coming closer to the worldwide average (36%).
There are success stories, but also less fortunate examples when it comes to large banks creating new digital brands. JP Morgan Chase closed its fee-free mobile bank, Finn (which even offered limited access to physical branches), after reportedly attracting fewer than 50,000 customers.
Goldman Sachs has been more successful in attracting customers to its new savings brand, Marcus. The online savings and loan platform has no checking account and no app, and has attracted around 4m accounts and nearly US$50bn in deposits.
Despite advantages in data analytics and the freedom afforded by entering the market with a clean slate, it is worth nothing that big tech’s move into banking may not always be a smooth experience. Apple has faced criticism for alleged gender bias for its new Apple Card, operated by Goldman Sachs.
Customer demands
These events beg the question: what do American customers want? Finn did not offer the high rates that Marcus does, and its app may not have differentiated itself sufficiently from JP Morgan Chase ’s own mobile offering. A 2018 S&P Global survey suggests fees are the key consideration for recent and potential switchers, with incentives and interest rates ranked ahead of the mobile app experience for those likely to move in the next 12 months.
But creating a better experience with lower overheads is hard when mobile platforms are built on old architecture, as Finn’s was. Colin Walsh, founder and CEO of start-up Varo Money, hopes to avoid the same traps.
“A new build is much easier than a renovation,” he says. “In terms of the technology, [corporate] cultures that are not in a growth mindset and a legacy of regulatory issues, it is impossible [for traditional banks] to focus on customers and innovation.”
The innovation angle may explain why payment players are seen as a far greater and more immediate competitive challenge (cited by 41% of respondents for 2020), than the neo-banks (16% for 2020). Banks are also conscious of the upcoming threat posed by big tech firms teaming up with fintechs to create hybrids (cited by 29% for 2025) where the app provider has no need for a banking licence, and is not required to comply with regulatory capital ratios. Survey respondents also note the emergence of robo-advisers as an issue in the medium-term (23% for 2025).
Regulatory developments
Although tech firms may be more than capable of launching new services that fully replicate the banking experience, they appear to be holding back. North American respondents are the least likely to agree that sandbox collaboration between banks and fintechs will be mainstream by 2025 (48% vs 56% globally).
Federal regulation of fintechs, e-money providers and data has lagged behind much of the rest of the world, although Canada is ahead of the US in developing an open banking framework. In fact, Canadian banks have launched initiatives to study opportunities around open banking and are starting to use application programme interfaces (APIs) in partnership with fintech firms to deliver new products.
As things stand in the US, it may simply be too difficult for tech giants to offer a consistent datadriven service with a relatively low regulatory burden across 50 states and 10 provinces until the rules are set. Federal agencies and state supervisors continue to argue, often in the courts, about who should have jurisdiction.
The primary focus for North American banks is to become far more agile (cited by 38% of respondents for 2020) and better-equipped to bring new features and products to market, but that is complicated when the rules of engagement have not been set.
Therefore it comes as no surprise that, when it comes to regulatory matters, North American bankers worry about a lack of international API standards (27%) and inconsistent data protection (27%). There are particular concerns about the regulatory risks of cloud-based services (41%). With a plurality of local respondents planning an open banking strategy (37% for 2025), the need for greater regulatory clarity will only become more pressing.
In the meantime, North American banks are focusing their attentions on becoming digital ecosystems which offer bank-related and non-financial services from third parties (44%). Only a few are attempting to build niche propositions (16%) or opting to become a third-party aggregator (12%).
Enhancing user experience
Digital investment in North America focuses on cyber security (45%), with significantly more respondents citing it than in Asia, Europe, the Middle East and North Africa. In line with the global average, almost seven in every ten (68%) survey respondents expect cyber-security rules to be tightened in the next five years following a systemic bank failure.
North American bankers are also investing in cloud-based technologies (36%) and artificial intelligence (AI) platforms (30%).
More specifically, North American banks are most interested in customer micro-segmentation (15%), hoping that AI will reveal new sell or up-sell opportunities. Deemed equally important, banks are seeking to boost their anti-money laundering and “know your customer” (AML/KYC) capacities when financial products are applied for or used (15%). Many also believe AI technology will help them enhance user experience by developing voice recognition features (14%) and greater customer personalisation (14%).
However, uncertainty about the security of personal financial information is cited by nearly half (45%) of North American bankers as their customers’ top concern when it comes to the use of AI.
The Bank for International Settlements recently highlighted that data-driven big tech firms could be a force for good in terms of financial inclusion. But it also underscores the downsides to a purely data-driven banking model, warning that there are “some signs that big techs’ sophisticated algorithms used to process personal data could develop biases towards minorities”.
Islamic fintech: Reaching the next generation of Muslims
Muslims make up about a quarter of the world’s population and are said to be the fastest growing religious cohort.#_ftn1" name="_ftnref1" title="">[1] As such, the potential market for Islamic financial services is enormous. The median age for Muslims globally is just 24 years old, making a majority of them “digital natives” ready for digital Islamic financial solutions.
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A new shade of green: Sukuk for sustainability
The first green bonds were issued a little over a decade ago by multilateral institutions and municipalities. Green bond issuance is now growing by about 50% annually according to Sean Kidney, CEO and co-founder of the Climate Bonds Initiative, an investor-focused NGO based in London. Last year, green bond issuance reached a record of US$258bn, much of it coming from the US, France and China. “For investors, green bonds are a great way to address concerns about climate change and to put money in assets that they think are going to be lower risk,” says Mr Kidney.
The first shoots of a similar “green” instrument in the Islamic finance sector emerged not too long ago. In 2017, renewable energy group Tadau Energy issued the first “green” sukuk, raising US$59m to finance a solar power plant in Malaysia, the birthplace of conventional sukuk in the 1990s. Indonesia issued sovereign green sukuk worth US$1.25bn in 2018 and US$750m in 2019 to fund environment-related projects.
There is activity in the Arabian Gulf countries as well. In 2019 Majid Al Futtaim, a UAE-based retail company, raised US$600m with the region’s first corporate green sukuk. This was followed by a €1bn (US$1.12bn) green sukuk by Saudi-based Islamic Development Bank to finance renewable energy, green transportation and pollution control in its member countries.
Figure 1: Sukuk defined Conventional sukuk A financial certificate similar to a bond that compiles with sharia law. Proceeds are used to purchase an asset, which the investor partially owns. Investors receive a share of the profit generated by the asset instead of interest payments. The issuer promises to buy back the instrument at a future date at par value. Green sukuk A sukuk to finance renewable energy or other environmental assets. Sovereign green sukuk A green sukuk issued by a government entity. Corporate green sukuk A green sukuk issued by a private-sector organisation. Sources: Investopedia; Climate Bonds Initiative
A suitable match
Compared to conventional sukuk, the market for green sukuk is tiny. Conventional sukuk issuance totalled US$162bn in 2019, while the total outstanding debt for green sukuk amounts to only US$7.9bn, according to Mr Kidney. Yet some view it as a natural solution for low-carbon investment. Islamic finance is based on assumptions of fairness and social responsibility, and—while it has not always been observed—environmental stewardship is intrinsic to sharia principles.
“The fundamentals of Islamic finance share a lot with sustainable finance in terms of custodianship of the earth and responsible and ethical financing,” notes Michael Grifferty, president of the Gulf Bond and Sukuk Association.
Since sharia forbids the receipt of interest, sukuk are backed by assets and investors are paid an agreed share of the profits before being returned the principal at maturity. This structure gives them confidence that their capital is being used for a particular purpose. Assets eligible for green sukuk range from solar parks and biogas plants to renewable transmission networks and electric vehicles. They could also be used to finance green government subsidies.
The handful of issuances to date have been well received. Majid Al Futtaim’s sukuk was five times oversubscribed according to Hamed Ali, CEO of Nasdaq Dubai, the exchange on which it is listed. As Mr Kidney explains: “There are investors in Islamic countries who would never have invested in a green bond, but green sukuk is getting their attention. At the same time, there are international investors who invest in green bonds and like green sukuk as an extension of that market.”
Mr Grifferty says green sukuk can help issuers reach new investors. “It’s a great opportunity to access an investor-base which is much larger than the natural Islamic investor-base,” he explains. “Tapping into the sustainable and ethical investment-base could be helpful in terms of broadening the whole size and scope of the sukuk market.”
What’s holding the market up?
Still, green sukuk have not come as thick and fast as some proponents would like. This may be because issuers have been constrained by a shortage of certifiable green projects, notably in the oil-reliant economies of the Middle East.
“The big hurdle is in finding projects that are appropriate,” explains Mr Grifferty. “That means not only that they are sustainable, but also that they are measurable and appropriate in size and scope for capital markets financing.” In the Arabian Gulf, he sees more opportunity to invest in the transition to more sustainable economies—financing mitigation efforts such as reducing gas flaring or investing in carbon capture.
There are complexities in certifying the “green” credentials of an underlying asset and reporting on its performance, notes Debashis Dey, a UAE-based partner at the law firm White & Case. “I think there will be international investor demand for it [but] the question is whether GCC issuers are prepared to do the hard work to create these instruments,” he says. “You must have internal green policies, a proper framework of governance, say what you're going to do with the proceeds that qualifies to make it ‘green’, and report to investors as you use those proceeds.”
This may deter issuers, particularly in the Gulf where few companies have been pressured by regulation or shareholders to make environmental disclosures before. “If that changes, then there will be the drivers to push the market forward,” says Mr Dey.
A lack of pricing incentive may also have discouraged some issuers. “There’s a modest price benefit, a few basis points, but nothing massive,” Mr Kidney observes, though he adds that issuers favour green bonds “not for price, but [for] the strength of investor engagement”.
Growing the asset class: Leading by example
Mr Kidney hopes that more national issuance may pep up the market for green sukuk. “We are encouraging sovereigns to enter the market, like Indonesia has done, because that can play a pivotal role in benchmark pricing and growing liquidity,” he explains.
A sovereign green sukuk “is cooking” in Malaysia, he says, although it is unclear when it might be issued. Meanwhile “the Islamic Development Bank is actively encouraging its clients to do green sukuk, which is why they did their own as a demonstration,” he adds. Although the market is at a nascent stage, there are signs that it is gaining momentum. Mr Kidney is optimistic, estimating that issuance may double in size in 2020.
On the demand side, green sukuk growth will depend partly on that of the broader sukuk market. As Mr Ali of Nasdaq Dubai observes, “you need a thriving sukuk market to create a green version of it”. For conventional sukuk, he says there is demand from Western markets such as the US and Europe. The combination of investors seeking sharia-compliant investments and those with growing environmental, social and governance (ESG) priorities provides a wide investor base for green sukuk.
Mr Dey adds: “If you look at international funds, most of them now have some ESG component to their investment strategy. So if as an issuer you are wondering, ‘how do I create greater demand for my instrument?’, you could do something green, because that ticks a box for institutional investors.” If issuers can match investors’ intent with robust reporting—to demonstrate that funds are truly driving sustainable initiatives —green sukuk can play an important role in the race against climate change.
This is the first article in a series by The Economist Intelligence Unit on “Innovation in the Islamic Economy”. The next article will look at how fintech firms are reaching the next generation of Muslims.
[1] “Financing Climate Futures: Rethinking Infrastructure; Policy Highlights”, OECD/The World Bank/Un Environment, 2018. https://www.oecd.org/environment/cc/climate-futures/policy-highlights-financing-climate-futures.pdf [2] Akhilesh Ganti, definition of “sukuk”, Investopedia, last updated April 30th 2019. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sukuk.asp [3] “2019 Green Bonds Market Summary, Climate Bonds Initiative, Februrary 2020. https://www.climatebonds.net/files/reports/2019_annual_highlights-final.pdf [4] “Helping Malaysia Develop the Green Sukuk Market: Facilitating Sustainable Financing”, The World Bank, January 7th 2019. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/586751546962364924/Helping-Mal... [5] “Indonesia issues world’s first green sukuk bond”, Financial Times, February 23rd 2018. https://www.ft.com/content/e38ea51c-184c-11e8-9376-4a6390addb44 [6] “World’s 1st Benchmark Corporate Green Sukuk”, Majid Al Futtaim, May 15th 2019. https://www.majidalfuttaim.com/en/media-centre/press-releases/2019/05/ma... [7] “Islamic Development Bank Achieves New Milestone with Debut Green Sukuk Worth EUR 1 Billion for Green Financing in its Member Countries”, IsDB, November 28th 2019. https://www.isdb.org/news/islamic-development-bank-achieves-new-mileston... [8] Kudakwashe Muzoriwa, “Sukuk market to continue expanding in 2020, S&P Global”, Banker Middle East, January 13th 2020. https://www.cpifinancial.net/bme/news/sukuk-market-to-continue-expanding-in-2020-sp-global [9] “IIFM Publishes Its Annual Sukuk Report 2019, USD 123.2 Billion Sukuk Issued Globally In 2018”, International Islamic Financial Market, July 31st 2019. https://www.iifm.net/iifm-publishes-its-annual-sukuk-report-2019-usd-123... [10] “Green Sukuk”, Climate Bonds Initiative, 2020. https://www.climatebonds.net/projects/facilitation/green-sukuk
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
How fintech is fuelling growth
In our survey of more than 750 executives across eight countries, we found 95 percent of companies in the financial services sector are reaping major benefits from deploying fintech services.
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Tailored with technology | Corporate Growth
There is a strong link between corporate growth and technology, according to the first report in The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Tailored with Technology research programme sponsored by ANZ Bank. The report, which is focused on corporate growth, is based on a survey of more than 750 executives in eight economies: Australia, New Zealand, China, Hong Kong, India, Singapore, the United Kingdom and the United States. In the coming weeks, additional reports and articles will be published on the topics of sustainability and the macro-economy, as well as specific industries.
Nine in ten of firms surveyed have strong plans to increase technology adoption in the next five years Improving data analytics was the most popular form of technology, with 44% of the more than 750 executives selecting it as the top benefit The challenges are many, with 51% firms citing security and privacy as a concern and 43% citing technology skills among employeesThe link between corporate growth and technology has always existed, but it’s growing stronger, with nine in ten executives responding that they have plans to increase their adoption of new and emerging technologies. These technologies include robotics, software-defined network, and machine learning, among others. They are being used to accomplish a range of objectives, such as improving efficiency, growing internationally and reducing costs.
The most popular trend today in the survey was big data and analytics. Nearly 38% of respondents selected it as being among their top three priorities, higher than cyber security, artificial intelligence and cloud computing. Big data and analytics are being used by firms for client attraction and retention, as well as risk management and forecasting.
There are barriers to technological adoption, however. Security and privacy is chief among them, with more than 51% of respondents selecting it as one of the three biggest challenges. It was followed at 43% by technology skills among employees and at 39% technology standards and regulation. Many organisations see organisational solutions to these problems, whether it is fostering more cooperation between the chief technology officer and his c-suite counterparts or changing individual mindsets in the workforce.
Is your company ready to tailor with technology?
Take interactive survey to find out >Tailored with technology | Sustainability
At the same time, there are multiple challenges involved with using technologies for greater sustainability. One is a lack of strategic guidance about where to invest time and money. Another is a lack of clarity as to the best type of technologies to harness.
Successful companies are meeting the needs of an increasingly sustainability-conscious consumer base and turning it into a competitive advantage. The report’s key findings are:
Sustainability is increasingly viewed as a way to increase profit. Besides doing good and contributing to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), companies realise there is a market opportunity in being sustainable. Technology is increasingly important to boosting sustainability. Almost all survey respondents recognise the importance of technology. Certain industries are thriving as a result of this commercial opportunity. Several technology trends are expected to contribute. Currently led by big data and analytics, but increasingly expected to include artificial intelligence in the development of smart cities in particular. The potential benefits of technology are vast. A large majority of survey respondents expect a spending increase on technology over the long-term, which bodes well for companies and society alike.Is your company ready to tailor with technology?
Take interactive survey to find out >This is the second in a series of papers and articles from The Economist Intelligence Unit, sponsored by ANZ. This report, and the others to follow, is based on the results of a survey of more than 750 executives across eight markets.
This paper was written by Kim Andreasson and edited by Chris Clague. Findings from the survey were supplemented with research and in-depth interviews with experts and executives. Our thanks are due to the following people, listed alphabetically by affiliation:
Michael Cooke, Senior vice president, global HSE and sustainability Affairs, ABB Mikkel Flyverbom, Professor of communication and digital transformations, Copenhagen Business School Mark Milstein, Director of the Center for Sustainable Global Enterprise, SC Johnson College of Business, Cornell University Alexa Dembek, Senior vice president, Chief technology & sustainability officer, DuPont Tim O’Leary, Executive director, government and regional affairs & chief sustainability officer, Telstra
Tailored with technology | Economic growth
Executives surveyed for this report are optimistic. Of 660 executives we surveyed across eight countries and three industry groupings, fifty-three percent responded that technology will be “much more important” to economic growth five years from now and 42% responded that it will be ”more important.” Only 3.5% answered that the impact of technology would be “about the same” and less than 1% answered it would be “less important.”
Other findings from the research include:
Not surprisingly, the fourth sector surveyed, technology, was the most optimistic, with 61% of executives answering that tech would be “much more important.” At the market level, in Hong Kong just 31% of executives believe tech will be “much more important” in five years. On the other end of the spectrum was India, where 73% answered that tech will be “much more important.” Executives from larger firms, which we define for the purposes of this study as having annual revenue of A$200mn and above (roughly US$137mn at current exchange rates), were more positive on the importance of tech to economic growth than were executives at smaller firms. When asked what their primary considerations are for selecting a technology partner, the two most-popular answers among the six options provided were “the company reputation” and evidence of “ongoing development and investment in the technology and/or platform.” Both received 54% of responses.Is your company ready to tailor with technology?
Take interactive survey to find out >
Tailored with technology: Economic growth is the third in a series of papers from The Economist Intelligence Unit sponsored by ANZ. This report is based on the results of a survey of more than 750 executives across eight markets.
This paper was written by Chris Clague. Findings from the survey were supplemented with research and in-depth interviews with experts and executives. Our thanks are due to the following people, listed alphabetically by surname:
Simon Evenett, professor of international trade and economic development, University of St Gallen Gog Soon Joo, chief futurist and chief skills officer, Skills Future Singapore Andrew Hoad, chief executive officer, Asia, DP World Ritesh Kumar, chief executive officer, Indonomics Consulting Jayant Menon, lead economist, Office of the chief economist and director general, Asian Development Bank Yasunori Mochizuki, fellow for IoT, robotics and smart cities, World Economic ForumA Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent banking in North America
North American bankers sense danger more than most when new entrants join their market, according to a global retail banking survey conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit. In anticipation of 2020, nearly a third of local respondents (33%) are feeling pressure from the changing competitive environment, compared to 28% globally. An even more pressing issue for North American bankers is keeping on top of changing customer behaviour and demands (cited by 34% for 2020 and 33% for 2025).
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The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.
Solving for opportunities and impact
Related content
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.
A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent banking in Latin America
Banking in Latin America (LatAm) is too often the preserve of those who can afford it or are willing to trust it. Historical hyperinflation, economic volatility and poor credit infrastructure means banks often overprice risk. To compensate, charges and interest rates can be high, pushing millions of potential clients out of the market.
Indeed, according to World Bank figures, two in every five Latin American workers have no bank or savings account.1 Of the unbanked in Brazil, Colombia and Peru, nearly 60% say excessive cost is the reason why they have no accounts.
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A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent b...
Across the Asia-Pacific region, governments and regulators are already implementing new strategies to digitise their economies and boost social inclusion. Faster payment networks are spreading, facilitating the adoption of mobile payments and the development of open banking. With mobile payment infrastructure and services already embedded in major economies, Asia-Pacific banks are looking to the next challenge. Digital technology regulations lag other regions but are under review (37% of respondents believe that emerging data regulation will have a major impact on the banking sector) as Asia looks to modernise, diversify and dilute its dependence on international trade.
The race is on
In markets where mobile payments have already taken root, banks and payment processors are battling tech companies on two fronts. They are working to retain their own retail card and current-account customers and attract new users to their apps and e-wallets. They also need to get and keep merchants on their side if they are to reap the economies of scale from a high-volume, low-margin sector.
Competition is intensifying between payment solutions based on application programming interfaces (APIs) and pre-loaded and credit card e-wallets. That may explain why survey respondents see an immediate need to master digital engagement and marketing (37% for 2020) to pull in users and merchants. They also need to be able to respond quickly when Alipay, WeChat Pay, Google and WhatsApp introduce new features (31% for 2020).
In India, app providers are already offering cashbacks, discount vouchers and other features to gain and retain market share. This may leave the smaller players vulnerable, particularly when all that is required to switch services is downloading an app. It is therefore likely that consolidation of this sector will follow. As Vijay Shekhar Sharma, founder and chief executive of Paytm, has pointed out, payments are merely the moat around other, more profitable services. The players with deep pockets will outlive their weaker competitors.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore was met with similar concerns that disruptors would leave the banks unprofitable when it first suggested the introduction of open banking. When the regulator pointed out that tech and fintech firms could already offer faster, simpler and cheaper transaction services, the banks agreed to collaborate on upgrading the banking system, providing all stakeholders operated within the same regulatory environment.
Singapore is set to follow Hong Kong with virtual bank licences; ride-hailing app giant Grab is likely to be among the first applicants. That may worry established banks, but the question remains whether the big tech providers have the capacity to tie up capital in establishing their own bank operations. It is also not clear if they really want to expose themselves to the reputational risks that service interruptions or bad service present if they are the sole provider of such services. Grab already offers loans through a Japanese bank and recently signed up with Citibank to offer branded credit cards.2 If either of those services fail to deliver to consumers, the banks, not Grab, face the wrath of consumers and regulatory authorities.
Yet all Asian regulators are acutely aware of how Alipay and WeChat Pay were able to create an effective duopoly in an unregulated market. Chinese authorities are now bringing in new laws to level the playing field. Other authorities want to lay down the rules first, before such corrective action needs to be taken. As a result, the Chinese payment giants may find new markets tougher to crack when they must operate under tighter licensing and data protection rules.
As Steve Weston, co-founder of Australia’s Volt Bank, says of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority: “The regulators are focused on ensuring that all banks, including new entrants, are operating in a prudent manner.”
A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent b...
In Europe, as in the rest of the world, technology is setting the agenda for the banking sector. This year, European respondents to The Economist Intelligence Unit’s global retail banking survey identify new technologies as the primary driver of change for retail banks, both in the coming year and up to 2025, overtaking changing customer behaviour and demands for the first time.
Unlike the rest of the world, however, technology-driven change in the banking sector is following a very particular agenda, in the short-term at least: the EU’s revised Payment Services Directive (PSD2).
For citizens, the open banking mandated by many of PSD2’s provisions promises a new world of intelligent, intuitive and accessible banking services. New features and services will depend heavily on data to manage spending and personal budgets, and encourage long-term savings.
For banks, it offers long-term opportunities but, as the survey reveals, short-term challenges too. Competition from the digital sector is hotting up: a quarter of respondents believe tech giants will be their biggest non-traditional source of competition by 2020; 31% believe that will be the case by 2025.
European banks know they have no time to waste. Making open banking work, both practically and strategically, is the order of the day.
Short-term headaches
Unsurprisingly, given the mandate of PSD2, launching an open banking strategy is a top priority for the coming year for 29% of European respondents, second only in prevalence to talent acquisition and retention (30%). Open banking will still be a priority in 2025 for 26% of respondents, although more expect to be prioritising responding to regulation (35%), migrating clients to digital channels (29%) and mastering digital marketing (29%) by then.
Furthermore, the largest share of European bankers sees embracing openness as the future of the industry: 35% of respondents see acting as a true digital ecosystem—offering both banking and non-banking services that originate either internally or from third parties to customers and other financial services providers—as the primary direction in which their organisation’s business model will evolve.
But the minds of Europe’s bankers are also occupied by the short-term technical challenges that open banking presents, the survey reveals. Banks in the EU are due to deliver fully operational portals for their application programming interfaces (APIs), intrinsic to open banking, by September 2019. However, three in ten respondents from Europe identify a lack of international standards for APIs as their greatest concern regarding regulation and standards.
Indeed, the introduction of APIs in the European banking sector has not been smooth sailing so far. Banks had until June 14th 2019 to prove they had dedicated APIs available for testing by third parties. If they missed the deadline, they may have to offer fallback options and spend more IT money on secure screen scraping.
“Whether the third parties test [our APIs] is out of our control,” says Matt Cox, head of open banking at Nationwide Building Society, one of nine UK banks charged with leading the open banking push, called the CMA9.
“For us, testing is still in early days. We were one of few of the CMA9 to have the full suite ready for the March deadline. We are working with two to four different third parties and are only just at the beginning of testing payment journeys in any meaningful way,’” he says.
Mr Cox feels that the majority of European banks are further behind than the UK. He may be right; a recent survey found 41% of banks1 failed to have API testing sandboxes ready in March to allow third-party providers the chance to test them for six months.
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent banking in Europe
In Europe, as in the rest of the world, technology is setting the agenda for the banking sector. This year, European respondents to The Economist Intelligence Unit’s global retail banking survey identify new technologies as the primary driver of change for retail banks, both in the coming year and up to 2025, overtaking changing customer behaviour and demands for the first time.
Unlike the rest of the world, however, technology-driven change in the banking sector is following a very particular agenda, in the short-term at least: the EU’s revised Payment Services Directive (PSD2).
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A Whole New World: How technology is driving the evolution of intelligent b...
Across the Asia-Pacific region, governments and regulators are already implementing new strategies to digitise their economies and boost social inclusion. Faster payment networks are spreading, facilitating the adoption of mobile payments and the development of open banking. With mobile payment infrastructure and services already embedded in major economies, Asia-Pacific banks are looking to the next challenge. Digital technology regulations lag other regions but are under review (37% of respondents believe that emerging data regulation will have a major impact on the banking sector) as Asia looks to modernise, diversify and dilute its dependence on international trade.
The race is on
In markets where mobile payments have already taken root, banks and payment processors are battling tech companies on two fronts. They are working to retain their own retail card and current-account customers and attract new users to their apps and e-wallets. They also need to get and keep merchants on their side if they are to reap the economies of scale from a high-volume, low-margin sector.
Competition is intensifying between payment solutions based on application programming interfaces (APIs) and pre-loaded and credit card e-wallets. That may explain why survey respondents see an immediate need to master digital engagement and marketing (37% for 2020) to pull in users and merchants. They also need to be able to respond quickly when Alipay, WeChat Pay, Google and WhatsApp introduce new features (31% for 2020).
In India, app providers are already offering cashbacks, discount vouchers and other features to gain and retain market share. This may leave the smaller players vulnerable, particularly when all that is required to switch services is downloading an app. It is therefore likely that consolidation of this sector will follow. As Vijay Shekhar Sharma, founder and chief executive of Paytm, has pointed out, payments are merely the moat around other, more profitable services. The players with deep pockets will outlive their weaker competitors.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore was met with similar concerns that disruptors would leave the banks unprofitable when it first suggested the introduction of open banking. When the regulator pointed out that tech and fintech firms could already offer faster, simpler and cheaper transaction services, the banks agreed to collaborate on upgrading the banking system, providing all stakeholders operated within the same regulatory environment.
Singapore is set to follow Hong Kong with virtual bank licences; ride-hailing app giant Grab is likely to be among the first applicants. That may worry established banks, but the question remains whether the big tech providers have the capacity to tie up capital in establishing their own bank operations. It is also not clear if they really want to expose themselves to the reputational risks that service interruptions or bad service present if they are the sole provider of such services. Grab already offers loans through a Japanese bank and recently signed up with Citibank to offer branded credit cards.2 If either of those services fail to deliver to consumers, the banks, not Grab, face the wrath of consumers and regulatory authorities.
Yet all Asian regulators are acutely aware of how Alipay and WeChat Pay were able to create an effective duopoly in an unregulated market. Chinese authorities are now bringing in new laws to level the playing field. Other authorities want to lay down the rules first, before such corrective action needs to be taken. As a result, the Chinese payment giants may find new markets tougher to crack when they must operate under tighter licensing and data protection rules.
As Steve Weston, co-founder of Australia’s Volt Bank, says of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority: “The regulators are focused on ensuring that all banks, including new entrants, are operating in a prudent manner.”
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
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The end of cash: Why, when and how to flick the switch
Will the 21st century see the rise of a cashless society? The introduction of credit cards, digital wallets and cryptocurrencies have led experts over the past decade to speculate on the progressive demise of physical money, with stakeholders such as banks, consumers and governments seemingly gaining from the change.
If the world went cashless tomorrow, banks may rejoice at no longer handling notes and coins, which can be counterfeited or stolen. Digital payments would also give banks and payment processors greater information on their customers’ lifestyle.
For central banks, digital money could mean more insight into how money flows through the economy, with early warning signs possibly helping monetary policy function more efficiently.
But what of the US$1.7b unbanked worldwide? If people rely entirely on cash, they cannot borrow to grow their businesses or improve life for their families, as cash-dependent often means credit-less.
The end of cash as an anonymous and accessible method of payment also raises vital concerns. The first is whether money, or specifically identity, ownership and transactions, could and should go entirely digital. The second is ensuring the transition to digital money leaves no vulnerable populations behind.
A not-so-modern trend
Cashless transactions are nothing new. Traders settled debts by checks in medieval Italy and Catalonia. For consumers, little changed in the intervening centuries until the first Diners Club charge card appeared in 1951. Mobile wallets later followed after Apple’s iPhone launched in 2007.
Open banking, which opens up banking customer data to third-party developers, promises another revolution, with account-to-account payment services appearing across the European Union (EU).
Canada, Australia, Singapore and other nations are also breaking the control banks have on customer data, and allowing other licensed firms to initiate digital and mobile payments.
Non-cash payments are rising worldwide. Their volume jumped to US$482.6b in 2016, growing on average by 10.1% globally, including a 25.2% upswing in emerging Asian countries.
The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.