Technology & Innovation

Resilience amid turmoil

September 17, 2009

Global

September 17, 2009

Global
Our Editors

The Economist Intelligence Unit

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The third annual study into how countries support the competitiveness of their IT sectors

With the onset of the worst global recession in decades, new threats to the competitiveness of national IT (information technology) sectors are materialising. Industry health overall has held up well despite sharply reduced spending in most parts of the world on IT hardware, software and services. However, protectionist instincts are on the ascendant, even in the most free-market economies, while venture-capital and other forms of funding are being squeezed. Even the biggest IT firms are cutting back on their investments in R&D (research and development). In addition, the downturn means that broadband companies may be unwilling to fund new deployments without better regulation. As the Internet becomes a prerequisite for many parts of the IT industry, such hold-ups could harm the IT sector’s development in many countries.

Most governments correctly view the IT sector as an important engine of economic growth, and many are taking measures to stimulate sector output as a means of accelerating economic recovery. More important to long-term IT sector competitiveness, however, is sustained attention to the factors in the industry environment which enable IT firms to compete effectively. These include the quality of the local technology infrastructure, the availability and quality of IT talent, the innovation environment, the legal regime, and the overall business environment, as well as the government’s technology policy itself—all central pillars of the IT industry competitiveness index.

The Economist Intelligence Unit’s third annual study into IT sector competitiveness finds that the US remains the world’s most conducive environment for the development and growth of IT firms, despite a tougher business environment and the emergence of protectionist impulses. Canada and west European countries such as Finland, Sweden and the Netherlands are also prominent in the index top tier, owing to their robust IT infrastructure and strong support for technology R&D, among other factors. In emerging markets, large pools of skilled IT employees remain a significant advantage for China, India, Russia and other countries, but uneven progress in other areas, such as IT infrastructure, remains a drag on sector competitiveness.

Following are the other major findings of this year’s study:

  • Protectionism and support for “national champions” will hinder recovery efforts—and longer-term sector competitiveness. The “buy local” provisions attached to some stimulus plans have been criticised by some IT industry executives for not recognising the increasingly global nature of the industry. Lavishing public money on struggling companies will also only prevent more innovative firms from being able to compete.
  • Broadband networks are becoming increasingly essential to IT firms’ competitiveness. Broadband’s importance will grow as more IT services and applications are delivered over the Internet. Technology producers in broadband-rich countries in western Europe, North America and developed Asia are clearly at an advantage in this respect. Conversely, the slow march of broadband in emerging markets, including those with large IT sectors such as India, Brazil and Russia, could impede their IT firms’ growth.
  • Investment in skills development remains a long-term imperative. The recession has eased the talent shortages that had plagued many IT firms until about a year ago. But as economies recover and hiring eventually resumes, competition for the best talent will again grow fierce. Co-ordinated efforts among governments, universities and IT firms are needed to improve the quality of technology training and expand the pool of potential hires. In Asia, IT training would benefit from greater investment in business studies and language skills. In Europe and North America, governments must work with private-sector companies to encourage more young people to choose mathematics and science-based subjects at universities.
  • IP regimes are improving in many emerging markets, but more progress is needed. Robust IP (intellectual property) protection remains essential to IT sector competitiveness. IP regimes are strong in most developed markets, and emerging economies such as Brazil, Egypt and Vietnam are also registering slow but steady progress, particularly in the area of enforcement. As innovation gradually becomes more important than low-cost labour to IT firms in China and India, IP enforcement is expected to improve in these countries as well.

The crisis has created new economic and business conditions for IT producers, but for policymakers the importance of nurturing competitive IT industry environments to bolster economic growth remains unchanged. Competitiveness begins with open, investor-friendly business and legal environments. Technology innovation is another imperative, whether through expansion of funding available for start-ups or other inducements to technology R&D. Improvement of infrastructure and IT skills development must continue in developed and emerging countries alike. If governments do nothing else, however, they must avoid the siren call of protectionist market practices that will only hinder recovery and harm long-term sector competitiveness.

Movements upward and downward
There is a large degree of continuity in the overall index results from last year to this year. Nineteen of the top 20 index countries in 2008, for example, remain in the top 20 this year. However, there have occurred some significant upward or downward shifts for a handful of countries owing both to changes in their performance as well as to improvements in the sources of data used to measure some indicators (see box, “Steps forward in measuring competitiveness”, below for more details). The most noteworthy shifts include the following:

  • Finland has risen to 2nd in the index based mainly on its strong performance in the R&D environment category, particularly patents, and improvement in its overall business environment.
  • Taiwan and South Korea have suffered steep falls—the former from 2nd to 15th and the latter from 8th to 16th—due predominantly to deterioration in their R&D environment scores. These are a result of a change in the data source used in the index model to score IT-related patents.
  • China, Russia and Ukraine have each climbed several notches in the index table—China and Russia by 11 places and Ukraine by seven places—on the strength of improved scores in the R&D environment and human capital categories. These are attributed to the aforementioned change in IT-related patent data as well as a change in the data used to estimate IT employment levels.
  • Turkey has fallen eight places in the table owing to deterioration in its R&D environment and human capital scores, which is due primarily to the change in patent and employment data sources mentioned above.
  • Deterioration in the business environment as well as lower scores in the IT infrastructure and human capital categories are the main reasons behind the index drop suffered by Thailand (seven places).

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