Technology & Innovation

Intelligent robots

August 19, 2013

Global

August 19, 2013

Global
Jeremy Kingsley

Senior manager, Policy & insights

Jeremy Kingsley is a senior manager at Economist Impact and regional practice lead for Technology & Society in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. He leads a regional team of analysts and editors on policy research, consulting and thought leadership programmes exploring technological change and its impacts on society. Jeremy joined The Economist Group in 2017 from Nesta, the innovation foundation, where he oversaw the Challenges of Our Era research programme and design of challenge prizes. He previously edited Nesta's magazine, served as a contributing editor at WIRED, and has spent 12 years covering technology, innovation and business trends as a journalist, researcher and consultant for The Economist, The Economist Intelligence Unit, The Financial Times, Slate, WIRED Consulting and others. He holds a master’s degree in philosophy and economics from the London School of Economics, with distinction, and a first-class bachelor’s degree from Trinity College Dublin.

Breathless hype for 3D printing has gone mainstream. The world’s media continue to churn out speculative puff promising radical changes the technology will bring to the way goods are manufactured and distributed – how whole industries will be upended in a new industrial revolution.

No doubt 3D printing (also called additive manufacturing) is an exciting, promising technology – overblown in the short term, perhaps even undersold in the longer term. But just as inkjet printers didn’t put book publishers out of business, industrial manufacturing is safe from DIY technologies for some time yet. The real revolution is happening on the factory floor, where more is being automated, faster – and where human workers will increasingly have to compete with humanoid counterparts. This is the changing picture of global manufacturing.

Improvements in hardware and software design have brought us a new wave of manufacturing equipment that is increasingly nimble, rapidly programmable and cheap. New, dexterous, humanoid robots are capable of performing hands-on tasks previously too expensive or too complex to automate and typically left to humans. They promise to increase productivity, downsize factories and bring swathes of outsourced manufacturing home.

Agile robots differ from conventional heavy machines, which are expensive, typically enormous, dangerous to be near and take experts to programme. Conventional robots can’t deal with changes to the process without cumbersome reprogramming, which often means writing code for it, while dexterous robots can be reprogrammed in minutes, tackling sorting in the morning and packing in the afternoon – as agile, almost, as a human.

Baxter, an intelligent multi-tasking robot built by Boston-based firm Rethink Robotics, was first put into action late last year. Equipped with freely moving arms, expressive digital eyes and situational awareness, it responds to humans, retreats from danger and can be programmed to perform tasks by simply being physically shown what to do.

This labour-saving investment may be worrying news for those with jobs at stake. From small businesses to the largest factories, more is being automated. Taiwan’s Foxconn, the contract manufacturer known for assembling Apple hardware, is reportedly planning to buy up to a million new robots to replace many of its workers, as wages rise. Nike, meanwhile, is “engineering the labour out” of its production by rethinking their designs, owing to rising labour costs in Asian factories.

In the short term, outsourced manufacturing is heading home – bringing local and vertical benefits to businesses. But changing manufacturing norms come at a cost: with agile, low-overhead and largely self-sufficient robots offering a high ‘fan out’ – the number of robots controlled by one human operator – the threat to low-skilled workers is real.

 

This post is part of a series managed by the Economist Intelligence Unit for HSBC Commercial Banking. Visit HSBC Global Connections for more insight on international business.

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited (EIU) or any other member of The Economist Group. The Economist Group (including the EIU) cannot accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this article or any of the information, opinions or conclusions set out in the article.

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