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Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorro...
About the research
Accelerating urban intelligence: People, business and the cities of tomorrow is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Nutanix. It explores expectations of citizens and businesses for smart-city development in some of the world’s major urban centres. The analysis is based on two parallel surveys conducted in 19 cities: one of 6,746 residents and another of 969 business executives. The cities included are Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Dubai, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Johannesburg, London, Los Angeles, Mumbai, New York, Paris, Riyadh, San Francisco, São Paulo, Singapore, Stockholm, Sydney, Tokyo and Zurich.
Respondents to the citizen survey were evenly balanced by age (roughly one-third in each of the 18-38, 39-54 and 55 years and older age groups) and gender. A majority (56%) had household incomes above the median level in their city, with 44% below it. Respondents to the business survey were mainly senior executives (65% at C-suite or director level) working in a range of different functions. They work in large, midsize and small firms in over a dozen industries. See the report appendix for full survey results and demographics.
Additional insights were obtained from indepth interviews with city officials, smart-city experts at NGOs and other institutions, and business executives. We would like to thank the following individuals for their time and insights.
Pascual Berrone, academic co-director, Cities in Motion, and professor, strategic management, IESE Business School (Barcelona) Lawrence Boya, director, Smart City Programme, city of Johannesburg Amanda Daflos, chief innovation officer, city of Los Angeles Linda Gerull, chief information officer, city of San Francisco Praveen Pardeshi, municipal commissioner, Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (Mumbai) • Brian Roberts, policy analyst, city of San Francisco Sameer Sharma, global general manager, Internet of Things (IoT), Intel • Marius Sylvestersen, programme director, Copenhagen Solutions Lab Tan Kok Yam, deputy secretary of the Smart Nation and Digital Government, Prime Minister’s Office, SingaporeThe report was written by Denis McCauley and edited by Michael Gold.
Talent for innovation
Talent for innovation: Getting noticed in a global market incorporates case studies of the 34 companies selected as Technology Pioneers in biotechnology/health, energy/environmental technology, and information technology.
Leonardo Da Vinci unquestionably had it in the 15th century; so did Thomas Edison in the 19th century. But today, "talent for innovation" means something rather different. Innovation is no longer the work of one individual toiling in a workshop. In today's globalised, interconnected world, innovation is the work of teams, often based in particular innovation hotspots, and often collaborating with partners, suppliers and customers both nearby and in other countries.
Innovation has become a global activity as it has become easier for ideas and talented people to move from one country to another. This has both quickened the pace of technological development and presented many new opportunities, as creative individuals have become increasingly prized and there has been greater recognition of new sources of talent, beyond the traditional innovation hotspots of the developed world.
The result is a global exchange of ideas, and a global market for innovation talent. Along with growth in international trade and foreign direct investment, the mobility of talent is one of the hallmarks of modern globalisation. Talented innovators are regarded by companies, universities and governments as a vital resource, as precious as oil or water. They are sought after for the simple reason that innovation in products and services is generally agreed to be a large component, if not the largest component, in driving economic growth. It should be noted that "innovation" in this context does not simply mean the development of new, cutting-edge technologies by researchers.
It also includes the creative ways in which other people then refine, repackage and combine those technologies and bring them to market. Indeed, in his recent book, "The Venturesome Economy", Amar Bhidé, professor of business at Columbia University, argues that such "orchestration" of innovation can actually be more important in driving economic activity than pure research. "In a world where breakthrough ideas easily cross national borders, the origin of ideas is inconsequential," he writes. Ideas cross borders not just in the form of research papers, e-mails and web pages, but also inside the heads of talented people. This movement of talent is not simply driven by financial incentives. Individuals may also be motivated by a desire for greater academic freedom, better access to research facilities and funding, or the opportunity to work with key researchers in a particular field.
Countries that can attract talented individuals can benefit from more rapid economic growth, closer collaboration with the countries where those individuals originated, and the likelihood that immigrant entrepreneurs will set up new companies and create jobs. Mobility of talent helps to link companies to sources of foreign innovation and research expertise, to the benefit of both. Workers who emigrate to another country may bring valuable knowledge of their home markets with them, which can subsequently help companies in the destination country to enter those markets more easily. Analysis of scientific journals suggests that international co-authorship is increasing, and there is some evidence thatcollaborative work has a greater impact than work carried out in one country. Skilled individuals also act as repositories of knowledge, training the next generation and passing on their accumulated wisdom.
But the picture is complicated by a number of concerns. In developed countries which have historically depended to a large extent on foreign talent (such as the United States), there is anxiety that it is becoming increasingly difficult to attract talent as new opportunities arise elsewhere. Compared with the situation a decade ago, Indian software engineers, for example, may be more inclined to set up a company in India, rather than moving to America to work for a software company there. In developed countries that have not historically relied on foreign talent (such as Germany), meanwhile, the ageing of the population as the birth rate falls and life expectancy increases means there is a need to widen the supply of talent, as skilled workers leave the workforce and young people show less interest than they used to in technical subjects. And in developing countries, where there is a huge supply of new talent (hundreds of thousands of engineers graduate from Indian and Chinese universities every year), the worry is that these graduates have a broad technical grounding but may lack the specialised skills demanded by particular industries.
Other shifts are also under way. The increasing sophistication of emerging economies (notably India and China) is overturning the old model of "create in the West, customise for the East". Indian and Chinese companies are now globally competitive in many industries. And although the mobility of talent is increasing, workers who move to another country are less likely to stay for the long-term, and are more likely to return to their country of origin. The number of Chinese students studying abroad increased from 125,000 in 2002 to 134,000 in 2006, for example, but the proportion who stayed in the country where they studied after graduating fell from 85% to 69% over the same period, according to figures from the OECD (see page 10).
What is clear is that the emergence of a global market for talent means gifted innovators are more likely to be able to succeed, and new and unexpected opportunities are being exploited, as this year's Technology Pioneers demonstrate. They highlight three important aspects of the global market for talent: the benefits of mobility, the significant role of diasporas, and the importance of network effects in catalysing innovation.
Brain drain, or gain?
Perhaps the most familiar aspect of the debate about flows of talent is the widely expressed concern about the "brain drain" from countries that supply talented workers. If a country educates workers at the taxpayers' expense, does it not have a claim on their talent? There are also worries that the loss of skilled workers can hamper institutional development and drive up the cost of technical services. But such concerns must be weighed against the benefits of greater mobility.
There are not always opportunities for skilled individuals in their country of birth. The prospect of emigration can encourage the development of skills by individuals who may not in fact decide to emigrate. Workers who emigrate may send remittances back to their families at home, which can be a significant source of income and can help to alleviate poverty. And skilled workers may return to their home countries after a period working abroad, further stimulating knowledge transfer and improving the prospects for domestic growth, since they will maintain contacts with researchers overseas. As a result, argues a recent report from the OECD, it makes more sense to talk of a complex process of "brain circulation" rather than a one-way "brain drain". The movement of talent is not simply a zero-sum gain in which sending countries lose, and receiving countries benefit. Greater availability and mobility of talent opens up new possibilities and can benefit everyone.
Consider, for example, BioMedica Diagnostics of Windsor, Nova Scotia. The company makes medical diagnostic systems, some of them battery-operated, that can be used to provide health care in remote regions to people who would otherwise lack access to it. It was founded by Abdullah Kirumira, a Ugandan biochemist who moved to Canada in 1990 and became a professor at Acadia University. There he developed a rapid test for HIV in conjunction with one of his students, Hermes Chan (a native of Hong Kong who had moved to Canada to study). According to the United States Centers for Disease Control, around one-third of people tested for HIV do not return to get the result when it takes days or weeks to determine. Dr Kirumira and Dr Chan developed a new test that provides the result in three minutes, so that a diagnosis can be made on the spot. Dr Kirumira is a prolific inventor who went on to found several companies, and has been described as "the pioneer of Nova Scotia's biotechnology sector".
Today BioMedica makes a range of diagnostic products that are portable, affordable and robust, making them ideally suited for use in developing countries. They allow people to be rapidly screened for a range of conditions, including HIV, hepatitis, malaria, rubella, typhoid and cholera. The firm's customers include the World Health Organisation. Providing such tests to patients in the developing world is a personal mission of Dr Kirumira's, but it also makes sound business sense: the market for invitro diagnostics in the developing world is growing by over 25% a year, the company notes, compared with growth of only 5% a year in developed nations.
Moving to Canada gave Dr Kirumira research opportunities and access to venture funding that were not available in Uganda. His innovations now provide an affordable way for hospitals in his native continent of Africa to perform vital tests. A similar example is provided by mPedigree, a start-up that has developed a mobile-phone-based system that allows people to verify the authenticity of medicines. Counterfeit drugs are widespread in the developing world: they are estimated to account for 10-25% of all drugs sold, and over 80% in some countries. The World Health Organisation estimates that a fake vaccine for meningitis, distributed in Niger in 1995, killed over 2,500 people. mPedigree was established by Bright Simons, a Ghanaian social entrepreneur, in conjunction with Ashifi Gogo, a fellow Ghanaian. The two were more than just acquaintances having met at Secondary School. There are many high-tech authentication systems available in the developed world for drug packaging, involving radio-frequency identification (RFID) chips, DNA tags, and so forth.
The mPedigree system developed my Mr Gogo, an engineering student, is much cheaper and simpler and only requires the use of a mobile phone — an item that is now spreading more quickly in Africa than in any other region of the world. Once the drugs have been purchased, a panel on the label is scratched off to reveal a special code. The patient then sends this code, by text message, to a particular number. The code is looked up in a database and a message is sent back specifying whether the drugs are genuine. The system is free to use because the drug companies cover the cost of the text messages. It was launched in Ghana in 2007, and mPedigree's founders hope to extend it to all 48 sub-Saharan African countries within a decade, and to other parts of in the developing world.
The effort is being supported by Ghana's Food and Drug Board, and by local telecoms operators and drug manufacturers. Mr Gogo has now been admitted into a special progamme at Dartmouth College in the United States that develops entrepreneurial skills, in addition to technical skills, in engineers. Like Dr Kirumira, he is benefiting from opportunities that did not exist in his home country, and his country is benefiting too. This case of mPedigree shows that it is wrong to assume that the movement of talent is one-way (from poor to rich countries) and permanent. As it has become easier to travel and communications technology has improved, skilled workers have become more likely to spend brief spells in other countries that provide opportunities, rather than emigrating permanently.
And many entrepreneurs and innovators shuttle between two or more places — between Tel Aviv and Silicon Valley, for example, or Silicon Valley and Hsinchu in Taiwan — in a pattern of "circular" migration, in which it is no longer meaningful to distinguish between "sending" and "receiving" countries.
The benefits of a diaspora
Migration (whether temporary, permanent or circular) to a foreign country can be facilitated by the existence of a diaspora, since it can be easier to adjust to a new culture when you are surrounded by compatriots who have already done so. Some observers worry that diasporas make migration too easy, in the sense that they may encourage a larger number of talented individuals to leave their home country than would otherwise be the case, to the detriment of that country.
But as with the broader debate about migration, this turns out to be only part of the story. Diasporas can have a powerful positive effect in promoting innovation and benefiting the home country. Large American technology firms, for example, have set up research centres in India in part because they have been impressed by the calibre of the migrant Indian engineers they have employed in America. Diasporas also provide a channel for knowledge and skills to pass back to the home country.
James Nakagawa, a Canadian of Japanese origin and the founder of Mobile Healthcare, is a case in point. A third-generation immigrant, he grew up in Canada but decided in 1994 to move to Japan, where he worked for a number of technology firms and set up his own financial-services consultancy. In 2000 he had the idea that led him to found Mobile Healthcare, when a friend was diagnosed with diabetes and lamented that he found it difficult to determine which foods to eat, and which to avoid.
The rapid spread of advanced mobile phones in Japan, a world leader in mobile telecoms, prompted Mr Nakagawa to devise Lifewatcher, Mobile Healthcare's main product. It is a "disease selfmanagement system" used in conjunction with a doctor, based around a secure online database that can be accessed via a mobile phone. Patients record what medicines they are taking and what food they are eating, taking a picture of each meal. A database of common foodstuffs, including menu items from restaurants and fast-food chains, helps users work out what they can safely eat. Patients can also call up their medical records to follow the progress of key health indicators, such as blood sugar, blood pressure, cholesterol levels and calorie intake.
All of this information can also be accessed online by the patient's doctor or nutritionist. The system allows people with diabetes or obesity (both of which are rapidly becoming more prevalent in Japan and elsewhere) to take an active role in managing their conditions. Mr Nakagawa did three months of research in the United States and Canada while developing Lifewatcher, which was created with support from Apple (which helped with hardware and software), the Japanese Red Cross and Japan's Ministry of Health and Welfare (which provided full access to its nutritional database).
Japanese patients who are enrolled in the system have 70% of the cost covered by their health insurance. Mr Nakagawa is now working to introduce Lifewatcher in the United States and Canada, where obesity and diabetes are also becoming more widespread — along advanced mobile phones of the kind once only found in Japan. Mr Nakagawa's ability to move freely between Japanese and North American cultures, combining the telecoms expertise of the former with the entrepreneurial approach of the latter, has resulted in a system that can benefit both.
The story of Calvin Chin, the Chinese-American founder of Qifang, is similar. Mr Chin was born and educated in America, and worked in the financial services and technology industries for several years before moving to China. Expatriate Chinese who return to the country, enticed by opportunities in its fast-growing economy, are known as "returning turtles". Qifang is a "peer to peer" (P2P) lending site that enables students to borrow money to finance their education from other users of the site. P2P lending has been pioneered in other countries by sites such as Zopa and Prosper in other countries.
Such sites require would-be borrowers to provide a range of personal details about themselves to reassure lenders, and perform credit checks on them. Borrowers pay above-market rates, which is what attracts lenders. Qifang adds several twists to this formula. It is concentrating solely on student loans, which means that regulators are more likely to look favourably on the company's unusual business model. It allows payments to be made directly to educational institutions, to make sure the money goes to the right place. Qifang also requires borrowers to give their parents' names when taking out a loan, which increases the social pressure on them not to default, since that would cause the family to lose face.
Mr Chin has thus tuned an existing business model to take account of the cultural and regulatory environment in China, where P2P lending could be particularly attractive, given the relatively undeveloped state of China's financial-services market. In a sense, Qifang is just an updated, online version of the community group-lending schemes that are commonly used to finance education in China. The company's motto is that "everyone should be able to get an education, no matter their financial means".
Just as Mr Chin is trying to use knowledge acquired in the developed world to help people in his mother country of China, Sachin Duggal hopes his company, Nivio, will do something similar for people in India. Mr Duggal was born in Britain and is of Indian extraction. He worked in financial services, including a stint as a technologist at Deutsche Bank, before setting up Nivio, which essentially provides a PC desktop, personalised with a user's software and documents, that can be accessed from any web browser.
This approach makes it possible to centralise the management of PCs in a large company, and is already popular in the business world. But Mr Duggal hopes that it will also make computing more accessible to people who find the prospect of owning and managing their own PCs (and dealing with spam and viruses) too daunting, or simply cannot afford a PC at all. Nivio's software was developed in India, where Mr Duggal teamed up with Iqbal Gandham, the founder of Net4India, one of India's first internet service providers. Mr Duggal believes that the "virtual webtop" model could have great potential in extending access to computers to rural parts of India, and thus spreading the opportunities associated with the country's high-tech boom. A survey of the bosses of Indian software firms clearly shows how diasporas can promote innovation.
It found that those bosses who had lived abroad and returned to India made far more use of diaspora links upon their return than entrepreneurs who had never lived abroad, which gave them access to capital and skills in other countries. Diasporas can, in other words, help to ensure that "brain drain" does indeed turn into "brain gain", provided the government of the country in question puts appropriate policies in place to facilitate the movement of people, technology and capital.
Making the connection
Multinational companies can also play an important role in providing new opportunities for talented individuals, and facilitating the transfer of skills. In recent years many technology companies have set up large operations in India, for example, in order to benefit from the availability of talented engineers and the services provided by local companies. Is this simply exploitation of low-paid workers by Western companies?
The example of JiGrahak Mobility Solutions, a start-up based in Bangalore, illustrates why it is not. The company was founded by Sourabh Jain, an engineering graduate from the Delhi Institute of Technology. After completing his studies he went to work for the Indian research arm of Lucent Technologies, an American telecoms-equipment firm. This gave him a solid grounding in mobile-phone technology, which subsequently enabled him to set up JiGrahak, a company that provides a mobile-commerce service called Ngpay.
In India, where many people first experience the internet on a mobile phone, rather than a PC, and where mobile phones are far more widespread than PCs, there is much potential for phone-based shopping and payment services. Ngpay lets users buy tickets, pay bills and transfer money using their handsets. Such is its popularity that with months of its launch in 2008, Ngpay accounted for 4% of ticket sales at Fame, an Indian cinema chain.
The role of large companies in nurturing talented individuals, who then leave to set up their own companies, is widely understood in Silicon Valley. Start-ups are often founded by alumni from Sun, HP, Oracle and other big names. Rather than worrying that they could be raising their own future competitors, large companies understand that the resulting dynamic, innovative environment benefits everyone, as large firms spawn, compete with and acquire smaller ones.
As large firms establish outposts in developing countries, such catalysis of innovation is becoming more widespread. Companies with large numbers of employees and former employees spread around the world can function rather like a corporate diaspora, in short, providing another form of network along which skills and technology can diffuse. The network that has had the greatest impact on spreading ideas, promoting innovation and allowing potential partners to find out about each other's research is, of course, the internet. As access to the internet becomes more widespread, it can allow developing countries to link up more closely with developed countries, as the rise of India's software industry illustrates. But it can also promote links between developing countries.
The Cows to Kilowatts Partnership, based in Nigeria, provides an unusual example. It was founded by Joseph Adelagan, a Nigerian engineer, who was concerned about the impact on local rivers of effluent from the Bodija Market abattoir in Ibadan. As well as the polluting the water supply of several nearby villages, the effluent carried animal diseases that could be passed to humans. Dr Adelagan proposed setting up an effluent-treatment plant.
He discovered, however, that although treating the effluent would reduce water pollution, the process would produce carbon-dioxide and methane emissions that contribute to climate change. So he began to look for ways to capture these gases and make use of them. Researching the subject online, he found that a research institution in Thailand, the Centre for Waste Utilisation and Management at King Mongkut University of Technology Thonburi, had developed anaerobic reactors that could transform agro-industrial waste into biogas. He made contact with the Thai researchers, and together they developed a version of the technology
suitable for use in Nigeria that turns the abattoir waste into clean household cooking gas and organic fertiliser, thus reducing the need for expensive chemical fertiliser. The same approach could be applied across Africa, Dr Adelagan believes. The Cows to Kilowatts project illustrates the global nature of modern innovation, facilitated by the free movement of both ideas and people. Thanks to the internet, people in one part of the world can easily make contact with people trying to solve similar problems elsewhere.
Lessons learned
What policies should governments adopt in order to develop and attract innovation talent, encourage its movement and benefit from its circulation? At the most basic level, investment in education is vital. Perhaps surprisingly, however, Amar Bhidé of Columbia University suggests that promoting innovation does not mean pushing as many students as possible into technical subjects.
Although researchers and technologists provide the raw material for innovation, he points out, a crucial role in orchestrating innovation is also played by entrepreneurs who may not have a technical background. So it is important to promote a mixture of skills. A strong education system also has the potential to attract skilled foreign students, academics and researchers, and gives foreign companies an incentive to establish nearby research and development operations.
Many countries already offer research grants, scholarships and tax benefits to attract talented immigrants. In many cases immigration procedures are "fast tracked" for individuals working in science and technology. But there is still scope to remove barriers to the mobility of talent. Mobility of skilled workers increasingly involves short stays, rather than permanent moves, but this is not yet widely reflected in immigration policy. Removing barriers to short-term stays can increase "brain circulation" and promote diaspora links.
Another problem for many skilled workers is that their qualifications are not always recognised in other countries. Greater harmonisation of standards for qualifications is one way to tackle this problem; some countries also have formal systems to evaluate foreign qualifications and determine their local equivalents. Countries must also provide an open and flexible business environment to ensure that promising innovations can be brought to market. If market access or financial backing are not available, after all, today's global-trotting innovators increasingly have the option of going elsewhere.
The most important point is that the global competition for talent is not a zero-sum game in which some countries win, and others lose. As the Technology Pioneers described here demonstrate, the nature of innovation, and the global movement of talent and ideas, is far more complicated that the simplistic notion of a "talent war" between developed and developing nations would suggest. Innovation is a global activity, and granting the greatest possible freedom to innovators can help to ensure that the ideas they generate will benefit the greatest possible number of people.
Integrated Transformation: How rising customer expectations are turning com...
Modern customers have it good. Spoilt for choice and convenience, today’s empowered consumers have come to expect more from the businesses they interact with. This doesn’t just apply to their wanting a quality product at a fair price, but also tailored goods, swift and effective customer service across different channels, and a connected experience across their online shopping and in-store experience, with easy access to information they need when they want it.
Meeting these expectations is a significant challenge for organisations. For many, it requires restructuring long-standing operating models, re-engineering business processes and adopting a fundamental shift in mindset to put customer experience at the heart of business decision- making. Download our report to learn more.
U.S. tax reform: The global dimension
Corporate taxpayers in the U.S. and many around the world have their hands full puzzling out the impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. The TCJA reduces the U.S. corporate income tax rate from 34% to 21%, switches the country to a territorial tax system in which businesses are taxed only on income earned within U.S. borders, and drops personal income tax rates modestly, although this provision will expire in 2025. It also encourages U.S.
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The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.
Taxing digital services
Taxing digital services: The devil's in the details
How to tax the digital economy, i.e., commercial transactions conducted electronically on the internet, has been a thorny issue for governments and business for years. In March the European Commission unveiled a proposal for two new directives to stem what the EC considers to be revenue losses caused by loopholes in the global corporate tax system. Officials estimate that digital businesses in the EU pay an average effective tax rate of 9.5%, while traditional businesses pay 23.3%.
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The shifting landscape of global wealth: Future-proofing prosperity in a ti...
In some instances the impact of this shift will be shaped by local factors, such as demographic changes. In other instances this shift will reflect shared characteristics, as demonstrated by the greater popularity of overseas investing among younger high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) brought up in an era of globalisation. Whatever the drivers, the landscape of wealth is changing—from local to global, and from one focused on returns to one founded on personal values.
Despite rising economic concerns and a tradition of investor home bias in large parts of the world, the new landscape of wealth appears less interested in borders. According to a survey commissioned by RBC Wealth Management and conducted by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), younger HNWIs are substantially more enthusiastic about foreign investing. The U.S. is a particularly high-profile example of a country where a long-standing preference for investments in local markets appears set to be transformed.
Click the thumbnail below to download the global executive summary.
Read additional articles from The EIU with detail on the shifting landscape of global wealth in Asia, Canada, the U.S. and UK on RBC's website.
Fintech in ASEAN
To better understand the opportunities and challenges in developing a fintech business in seven ASEAN markets, The Economist Intelligence Unit conducted wide-ranging desk research supplemented by seven in-depth interviews with executives in Australia and ASEAN.
Download report and watch video interview to learn more.
Risks and opportunities in a changing world
Read our Taxing digital services, U.S. tax reform: The global dimension, & Planning for life after NAFTA articles by clicking the thumbnails below.
SMEs and Global Growth
This EIU article series, sponsored by Mazars, explores the challenges facing mid-market firms when expanding internationally for the first time. They look at companies in a range of industries and home markets and show how these have responded to the challenges.
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The Hinrich Foundation Sustainable Trade Index 2018
Yet the enthusiasm in Asia for trade does not appear to have waned. This broad societal consensus behind international trade has enabled Asian countries to continue broadening and deepening existing trading relationships, for example, by quickly hammering out a deal for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) in early 2018 following the US’s withdrawal from its predecessor in 2017.
Asia, then, finds itself in the unique position of helping lead and sustain the global economy’s commitment to free and fair trade. It is in this context that the need for sustainability in trade is ever more crucial.
The Hinrich Foundation Sustainable Trade Index was created for the purpose of stimulating meaningful discussion of the full range of considerations that policymakers, business executives, and civil society leaders must take into account when managing and advancing international trade.
The index was commissioned by the Hinrich Foundation, a non-profit organisation focused on promoting sustainable trade. This, the second edition of the study, seeks to measure the capacity of 20 economies—19 in Asia along with the US—to participate in the international trading system in a manner that supports the long-term domestic and global goals of economic growth, environmental protection, and strengthened social capital. The index’s key findings include:
Countries in Asia, especially the richer ones, have broadly regressed in terms of trade sustainability. Hong Kong is developed Asia’s bright spot, recording a slight increase in its score and topping the 2018 index. Several middle-income countries perform admirably, led by Sri Lanka. For the economic pillar, countries generally performed well in terms of growing their labour forces as well as their per-head GDPs. For the social pillar, sharp drops for some countries in certain social pillar indicators contribute to an overall decline. For the environmental pillar, with deteriorating environmental sustainability in many rich countries, China, Laos and Pakistan are the only countries to record increases in scores. Sustainability is an ever more important determinant of FDI and vendor selection in choosing supply-chain partners. Companies are improving the sustainability of their supply chains by restructuring and broadening relationships with competitors and vendors.The Global Illicit Trade Environment Index 2018
To measure how nations are addressing the issue of illicit trade, the Transnational Alliance to Combat Illicit Trade (TRACIT) has commissioned The Economist Intelligence Unit to produce the Global Illicit Trade Environment Index, which evaluates 84 economies around the world on their structural capability to protect against illicit trade. The global index expands upon an Asia-specific version originally created by The Economist Intelligence Unit in 2016 to score 17 economies in Asia.
View the Interactive Index >> Download workbook
Breaking Barriers: Agricultural trade between GCC and Latin America
The GCC-LAC agricultural trading relationship has thus far been dominated by the GCC’s reliance on food imports, specifically meat, sugar, and cereals. Over the past two years, however, there has been a notable decline in the share of sugar imported from LAC, and 2017 saw the biggest importers in the GCC—Saudi Arabia and the UAE—impose a ban on Brazilian meat.
Market players on both sides of the aisle are keen to grow the relationship further, but there are hurdles to overcome. In this report, we explore in greater depth the challenges that agricultural exporters and importers in LAC and the GCC face. We consider both tariff and non-tariff barriers and assess key facets of the trading relationship including transport links, customs and certification, market information, and trade finance.
Key findings of the report:
GCC will need to continue to build partnerships to ensure a secure supply of food. Concerns over food security have meant that the GCC countries are exploring ways to produce more food locally. However, given the region’s climate and geology, food imports will remain an important component of the food supply. Strengthening partnerships with key partners such as those in LAC, from which it sourced 9% of its total agricultural imports in 2016, will be vital to food security in the region.
There is a wider range of products that the LAC countries can offer the GCC beyond meat, sugar and cereals. Providing more direct air links and driving efficiencies in shipping can reduce the time and cost of transporting food products. This will, in turn, create opportunities for LAC exporters to supply agricultural goods with a shorter shelf life or those that are currently too expensive to transport. Exporters cite examples such as berries and avocados.
The GCC can engage small and medium-sized producers that dominate the LAC agricultural sector by offering better trade financing options and connectivity. More direct air and sea links can reduce the cost of transporting food products, making it viable for smaller players to participate in agricultural trade. The existing trade financing options make it prohibitive for small and medium-sized players too. Exporters in LAC suggest that local governments and private companies in the GCC can offer distribution services with immediate payments to smaller suppliers at a discount.
Blockchain technology is poised to address key challenges market players face in agricultural trade. Through a combination of smart contracts and data captured through devices, blockchain technology can help to reduce paperwork, processing times and human error in import and export processes. It can improve transparency, as stakeholders can receive information on the state of goods and status of shipments in real time. Finally, it can help with food safety and quality management—monitoring humidity and temperature, for instance, along the supply chain can help to pinpoint batches that may be contaminated, minimising the need for a blanket ban on a product.
SMEs and Global Growth: Navigating the Legal and Tax Maze
American statesman and inventor Benjamin Franklin once famously said that nothing is certain in life except death and taxes. Nowadays, no one is more painfully aware of that—at least the part about taxes—than small and midsized enterprises (SMEs) entering foreign markets for the first time.
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SMEs and Global Growth: Finding Local Partners
Hoping to profit from a wave of investment in China by large multinationals, small and mid-sizedenterprises (SMEs) based in Germany flocked to that country in the 1990s. China’s government welcomed them: like many other countries, China was intrigued by Germany’s Mittelstand firms— usually stable, technologically sophisticated, family owned firm —and wanted to learn from them. But despite the welcome—or perhaps because of that desire to learn from the newcomers— China often required the newcomers to establish formal joint ventures with Chinese partners. This requirement did not diminish the German SMEs’ interest; indeed, many Mittelstand firms saw the joint ventures as a way to get acclimated in China.
Today, though, the partnership requirements have eased for the approximately 5,200 German firms invested in China. As a result, most German firms have decided to go it alone in the Chinese market. Turck Technology, a family-owned German industrial automation company with annual sales of around €500m, is a case in point. It established a wholly owned subsidiary in China rather than partner with a Chinese firm. Its aim was to maintain control, ensure consistent quality, and protect its designs. The firm’s Chinese sales are about €40m a year, “the same level as our competitors,” says Christoph Kaiser, Turck’s managing director.
By now, only 12% of the German companies invested in China use formal joint ventures, says Alexandra Voss, executive director of the German Chamber of Commerce in north China. “Where the former joint venture requirements no longer exist, German companies tend to purchase the joint venture shares from their former partner rather than extending the agreement,” she says.
JOINT-VENTURE “LIGHT”
Between the two extremes—a formal joint venture and a go-it-alone subsidiary—there is a wide range of looser partnerships possible between SMEs in different countries. Among the most popular such tie-ups are those involving licensing and technical co-operation agreements. The challenge for SMEs in these arrangements—as in full-fledged joint venture deals—is to preserve their proprietary information while benefitting from enhanced access to the local market.
For example, James Cropper, a family-owned UK paper maker, expanded internationally in recent years, to the point where around half of its £88m revenue now comes from export markets. In China, it signed a technical co-operation agreement with a local firm to design fibres for high-end carbon bicycles. Despite cooperating on adapting products for the local market, the agreement sets strict guidelines to protect James Cropper’s know-how. “We wanted to keep control of intellectual property,” says its CEO Phil Wild.
Licencing agreements are another way to boost foreign sales without requiring a formal joint venture. Under such agreements, a local company buys the rights to market (and sometimes produce and develop) the exporting firm’s brand or products. The local partner does not have equity rights, making such agreements popular among small exporters with limited capital.
Australian pharmaceuticals firm Suda and its Chinese partner Eddingpharm provide an example of a licencing agreement. Suda, with revenues of just A$6.3m a year, would have struggled to afford to expand into China in its own name, or to invest in a joint venture. In late 2015, it signed a licensing agreement with Eddingpharm to produce and sell its drugs in China. Among the sweeteners for Suda: an upfront payment of US$300,000 and another US$200,000 when its product is registered in China. For small companies, licencing can offer an immediate cash injection, as well as a way to enter new markets.
A “lighter” variant of a licencing agreement is a simple sales-representative deal, in which a local firm contracts to market, sell and distribute the exporting firm’s products in the target market. David Butler, CEO of the South African Chamber of Commerce in London, says many of his country’s food exporters take this approach in the UK, benefiting from the market reach of UK retail chains and specialist distribution firms.
Such arrangements can help to avoid the biggest danger inherent in full-fledged joint ventures: their high failure rate. McKinsey, the management consultancy, estimates that up to 60% of international ventures fail.1 Among the major problems: partners may have incompatible objectives, for example with one wanting to maximise long-term market share and the other wishing to make a quick profit. The US advisory firm Water Street Partners finds that around twothirds of joint venture CEOs say the owners are misaligned on long-term strategy and on budget issues.2 A more limited technical co-operation agreement can sidestep such fundamental issues.
MATCH-MAKERS
What all these partnerships—the full-fledged joint venture agreements and the “lighter” variants— share in common is the marriage of an exporting firm’s product know-how and a local firm’s market expertise. Regardless of the form that a partnership takes, the fundamental questions apply: how to find the right local partner, and how to structure the agreement to avoid common pitfalls.
“That’s the million dollar question,” says Mr Harris, the US lawyer. “[The answer] is usually based on the [specific] business involved. If you are an educational software company, you think about partnering with the top one or two companies in China that distribute or sell educational software. If you make high-end [technical] widgets, you may partner with the one or two best high-end widget companies in China—whose widgets, though high-end for China, are not nearly as good as yours, and therefore they could use your help. You find these companies yourself, or you hire a consultant to help you find them.”
The routes to finding foreign partners vary. James Cropper found its Chinese partner via the contacts it had made in the country by selling there directly. It sought out Chinese partners with expertise and complementary skills for its high-end fibres division. It also looked for Chinese firms with industry contacts and specialist expertise to sell to high-end bicycle manufacturers.
Indeed, the search for such partners is often mutual, with Chinese firms eager for foreign partnerships. Eddingpharm, the pharma company licensing products from Suda, first entered the business via licensing deals with multinational pharma companies Novartis and Baxter in the early 2000s. In 2012, backed by international investors, Eddingpharm established a US subsidiary to seek out other product lines for distribution in China, as well as deals to develop and market such products. Among its wins: an agreement with Suda to develop and market an insomnia drug which the small Australian company would have struggled to sell in China on its own.
Companies that lack contacts in a target foreign market often turn to consultants for help. Firms such as Prospect Chinese Services, which is staffed by Chinese nationals and has offices across the UK and China, advise clients ranging from hotels and universities to car manufacturers wishing to enter the Chinese market. It claims to offer a ‘one stop shop’ for UK companies, comprising market research and market entry strategy services, support with first contacts, and advice on negotiations.
Other match-makers include government export promotion agencies, which compile large databases of foreign companies and can put exporters in touch with potential foreign partners. Erin Butler of the US Export Assistance Centre says that US SMEs supplying the oil industry approached her for contacts in growth markets such as North Africa. Like James Cropper, the US oil industry suppliers also used their domestic sales forces to make initial contacts with potential foreign partners. The search criteria for finding the right local partners tend to be similar, across a range of businesses: that is, local partners who supply expertise, skills and contacts that are complementary to those of the exporting SME.
ACQUISITIONS-PLUS
Exporters making a long-term commitment to a foreign market often acquire a local company to establish a stable presence in that market. One example is Palfinger, an Austrian SME and construction-machinery maker, which bought companies across the world to access their markets and to diversify away from over-reliance on building mobile cranes. Its foreign plants gave Palfinger a lower-cost, more flexible production base to supply new markets, which in turn helped it to withstand a series of economic storms.
A buying spree was not Palfinger’s sole expansion tool, however. It also established joint ventures with local companies in some major export markets, particularly in China and Russia, using the partners’ local market dominance to boost its own sales. In 2012 Palfinger established two joint ventures with SANY, China’s biggest manufacturer of construction equipment. One of the ventures was established to sell Palfinger products in China, and the other to distribute SANY products outside of the country. In 2013 the companies agreed to a share swap, with SANY taking a 10% stake in Palfinger in exchange for an equal stake for Palfinger in one of SANY’s operating units. For Palfinger, this helped to cement a deep presence in China, while for SANY the deal boosted its own globalisation efforts.
In 2014, Palfinger set up two more joint ventures, this time with Russia’s largest truck maker Kamaz. One builds chassis to hold Palfinger’s mobile cranes, and the other produces cylinders for construction machinery. Under the deal, Palfinger agreed to invest in modernising the production plant. In return, Palfinger gained entry to Russia’s specialist construction machinery market. “We couldn’t buy them [SANY and Kamaz],” spokesman Hannes Roither says drily when asked why the firm chose joint ventures.
Significantly, the local ventures provided a buffer when local markets weakened, due to their strong local customer base. “There have been serious market crashes in both countries” in recent years, Mr Roither says. “But we were able to protect our own sales by increasing market share when foreign competitors withdrew from the country.”
Similarly, the German luxury hotel group Steigenberger set up a joint venture with a local company to accelerate its expansion into India. Steigenberger owns 116 hotels in 12 countries, generating 2013 revenues of €500m. In 2016 it announced a joint venture with MBD, an Indian hotel group, with Steigenberger retaining a controlling stake. MBD will manage the joint venture including sales, while the German company will manage international marketing, training and brand development.
The companies have complementary skills, with Steigenberger a leader in five-star hotel management and MBD an established player within India. Also, and equally crucially, they share the same aim: the rapid roll out of luxury hotels in India. The joint venture plans to open 20 hotels over the next 15 years. Managing Director Sonica Malhotra Kandhari says it would take between three and five years for either partner acting alone to open a single hotel.
KEYS TO SUCCESS
Structuring any type of partnership agreement with a foreign partner can be tricky, says Dan Harris, a founder of the US law firm Harris Bricken, which specialises in joint ventures in China. He advises clients to keep a majority stake in a joint venture, and to protect their intellectual property zealously regardless of the nature of the co-operation. He offers the cautionary tale of a US firm whose Chinese partner began to manufacture the US partner’s products under the Chinese firm’s name. Some remedies are simple: “Many times we find that the [US] company had not registered a patent in China,” Mr. Harris says.
Beyond that, a key to success is to look carefully at the fundamentals: ensuring that the partners’ skills and expertise are complementary to those of the exporting SME; establishing that the aims of both partners are aligned; and making long-term commitments to the target markets. These elements—complementary skills, similar aims, and long-term commitments—are as close as an SME can come to finding a recipe for success in forming international partnerships.
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SMEs and Global Growth: Sustaining Growth and Development
When a small or mid-sized enterprise (SME) ventures abroad for the first time, its first aim is typically to kick-start sales and build a local market. That, however, only establishes a foothold. To continue growth and development in a new market, SMEs require a broader strategy aimed at developing and maintaining a strong local presence.
This growth strategy has many facets, depending on the nature of the SMEs business, its strengths in its home market, and the nature of its targeted foreign markets. For example, for many SMEs, sustaining growth abroad involves modifying products and even changing entire business models to suit local tastes and conditions. For others, sustaining growth entails partnering with multinationals or with other established players to provide initial entrée –and then ongoing access—to foreign markets.
For yet other SMEs, sustaining growth in foreign markets requires building on a unique proprietary technology and using existing distribution channels to extend the firm’s market reach. Paradoxically, other firms may find they can best sustain their international growth by pulling back from an overly ambitious expansion, thereby keeping the international business manageable.
ADAPTING TO LOCAL TASTES: THE GRAZE EXAMPLE
An example of successful adaptation of both products and business model to sustain growth in a foreign market is offered by Graze, a mid-sized UK snacks maker that made a successful entry into the US market in 2013. Several years before it took that step, the company, which is majorityowned by US private equity giant Carlyle Group, took several measures in its home market that later served it well in the much larger US market.
First, Graze switched from a subscription-only sales approach—in which customers signed up to receive snack packages periodically through the mail—to a multi-channel distribution system including subscriptions, sales of individual items over the company’s website, and sales of individual items through supermarkets such as Sainsbury’s and other retail outlets such as Boots. “Our customers are telling us it would be more convenient if the product were to be available in a number of different ways,” Chief executive Anthony Fletcher said at the time, a year before the firm introduced multiple sales channels in the US market as well.
Second, Graze built an efficient warehousing and distribution system in the UK, thereby acquiring expertise which later helped it to bypass distribution bottlenecks in the US postal system. And third, Graze developed expertise in gathering and analysing customer feedback to tailor products to local tastes. The firm employs a team of ten data scientists at its UK headquarters to analyse thousands of customer ratings, and responds with changed product offerings within a few months. In the US market, this meant dropping British staples such as mango chutney—a food item that befuddled many Americans—and introducing such US standbys as cinnamon buns and peanut cookies.
The distribution and product development expertise developed in the UK worked to Graze’s advantage in the US, the world’s largest snack-foods market. Within a year of entering the US market, the company’s US sales reached an annualised US$35m a year. In 2016 Graze started selling through 3,500 US stores, including Boots’ sister company Walgreens. Overall, the firm grew quickly since its founding in 2007, reaching a turnover of £70 million in the year to February 2016.
Along the way, the firm’s “unique selling proposition” has evolved along with its product line and business model. Originally focusing on snack boxes containing health-oriented basics such as nuts, grains and berries, Graze has since introduced healthy variants on fat- and sugar-intensive snacks. For example, the firm’s American cinnamon buns are not the familiar dough-based, fatand sugar-intensive US staple, but rather are cinnamon fig rolls which, the company says, are healthier and lower in calories. Similarly, Graze’s package of “sweet and salty cookies” sold in America actually consists largely of nuts and is marketed as protein-rich and low in calories.
In adapting itself to the US market, Graze essentially exported business-model modifications— such as continuous product development and multiple-channel selling—that it first introduced in its home market. In this, it is typical of SMEs going abroad: Try an approach at home, develop expertise, and then use it in foreign markets. Yet Graze’s example also shows the importance of building a new brand identity in a foreign market that suits the specific tastes of that market.
USING A LOCAL TOUCH: THE TED BAKER EXAMPLE
Ted Baker, a British luxury clothing brand listed on the London Stock Exchange, offers another example of developing techniques in the home market and then exporting them, while also ensuring a local identity within each foreign market. Ted Baker’s global presence relies on investing in the design of its distinctive and sometimes quirky clothing—as well as paying close attention to smooth-running warehousing and distribution. Much of this foundation work, on both product design and logistics, takes place in the UK. But the work is done with a view to serving a global market.
So, for example, in October 2016 Ted Baker opened a giant warehouse in Derby, UK, run by US multinational XPO Logistics, to operate a Europe-wide delivery system. Efficient distribution forms the basis for a network of own-brand stores and other outlets that has spread beyond the UK to Europe, North America and Asia. In less than three decades after its founding in 1988 as a single store in Glasgow selling men’s shirts, Ted Baker has acquired a global presence. It now has a total of 470 stores, concessions and outlets worldwide, led by the UK (186), North America (106) and continental Europe (97), with smaller presences in Australasia, the Middle East and Africa.
Significantly, all of the Ted Baker stand-alone stores outside the UK are designed to match the local style and culture, rather than following a single global template. The new store in Amsterdam, for example, uses parquet flooring and interior design celebrating Dutch artists including 20th century painter Theo van Doesburg. In contrast, its most recent store in New York City features walls with a rough concrete finish and brushed brass strips lining the walls to recall grids such as the New York street system. Scale-model buildings attached to the walls add a three-dimensional element to the notional cityscape. The overall marketing message in the design touches: Ted Baker, while a global brand, aims to establish a local identity and appeal to local tastes.
In addition to offering a local touch within its global network, Ted Baker provides customers a multiplicity of purchase channels: through Ted Baker-branded stores, concessions within department stores, and online. This variety of sales channels has allowed the firm to weather retail downturns. Any problems at stand-alone stores, for example, can be compensated for by booming online sales, and by concessions and licensing agreements with outside retailers and distributors.
The firm’s global-local strategy, and its focus on central product design and seamless delivery, appear to be working. The company increased sales by 18% to £456 million in the year to January 30, 2016, and then by another 14% year-on-year in the following six months, despite a generally flat retail market.
PARTNERING WITH ESTABLISHED PLAYERS: THE APMT EXAMPLE
Not all firms start an international expansion from a basis of heavy investment in product design and logistics expertise in the home market, which they then use to enter export markets. Some take a more direct route, partnering with multinational companies or with other local players who already have the foreign-market expertise and the distribution networks in place, and use these to gain a toe-hold in new markets.
An example is given by Advanced Polymer Monitoring Technologies (APMT), a small company in New Orleans, which grew out of academic research at Tulane University in 2011. It holds several patents for real-time monitoring equipment that, claims CEO Alex Reed, can reduce chemicals plants’ production costs significantly. With revenues of about US$1 million, APMT is clearly a startup, but one with high growth potential among plastics and pharmaceuticals manufacturers, among others.
To capitalise on that potential, and develop international markets quickly, APMT sought joint ventures with companies that can take its products to foreign manufacturers. In October 2016 it reached an agreement with Austin Chemical Company, a services and products supplier to the life sciences and specialty fine chemicals industries. This agreement should “expand the reach of our offerings to an international network of manufacturers and researchers,” according to Reed. For APMT the challenge is to get its technology adopted by a global industry. “Any of the production plants could use it,” says Reed, adding that real-time monitoring of production allows factories to cut waste and increase efficiency.
In addition to the monitoring technology, APMT has developed a light-scattering tool that helps drug makers test the stability of drug formulas. It shines a ray of light onto the drug being produced, which causes the light to scatter, or deflect. If the drug formula is incorrect then this will be detected through variations in the light scattering, allowing the formula and the manufacturing process to be corrected quickly.
Since APMT feels it has a hot technology in its hands, its aim is to keep its focus on that technology and rely on others for the sales function. Its market-entry strategy, therefore, is to benefit from the local-market knowledge and the marketing and distribution expertise of larger players, rather than developing these skills itself. This approach can allow it to start from a very small base and build up export sales quickly and sustainably.
BUILDING ON A PROPRIETARY TECHNOLOGY: THE GLOBALSTAR EXAMPLE
Some companies sustain their international growth by trying to extend their product range, building upon a unique technology and/or on existing foreign sales and distribution networks. A case in point is Globalstar, a long-established firm with a strong global sales network, which nonetheless needs to find a way to unlock mass sales. Globalstar is a US satellite communications firm set up in 1991 with $1.8bn in funding from industry giants including Alcatel and Hyundai. Now private equity controlled, it supplies navigation and communications equipment to those out of range of conventional mobile phone signals. “Much of the world’s land mass lacks mobile phone connectivity,” says its chairman Jay Monroe. “Even driving across the US there would be large areas lacking coverage.”
Yet with annual sales of around $90m, the firm lacks the product line and brand recognition to reach consumers beyond its small niche. The company has a global sales network in place, since it sells to individuals and firms venturing into remote areas, and many of these are in developing countries, for example in Africa, where mobile phone coverage can be patchy. But the market for its products is limited if the firm remains focused on specialist equipment such as satellite phones.
To address that problem, Globalstar plans to introduce a device that connects conventional mobile phones to its communication satellites when they lose coverage. Partly, it will sell these through its existing international network of dealers and suppliers. The firm is also talking with car manufacturers, who may add the device to improve the connectivity of vehicles.
Whereas Ted Baker has established a brand to market globally, and APMT sought help from multinationals to market an existing and promising technology, Globalstar is approaching export marketing from the opposite direction: seeking to develop technologies which it can market through an established sales network. In doing so, Globalstar hopes to build not only on its existing sales network but also on its core advantage: a satellite system that would be hard to replicate.1
MODERATION IN ALL THINGS, INCLUDING GROWTH: THE WIGGLE EXAMPLE
Either way—whether seeking products for an existing sales network, or seeking a sales network for existing products—amassing a portfolio of export markets can be a tricky business for an SME. As the local-touch strategy implies, every export market is different, with its own culture and history, consumer preferences, and legal requirements. Some SMEs find that building a sustainable international presence means picking and choosing among individualised foreign markets, to avoid becoming overwhelmed by having to meet so many different local market requirements.
A case in point is Butler’s Cycles, a UK-based bicycle store that expanded abroad and found itself a victim of too much success. Two decades ago, the Portsmouth-based shop launched a company specialising in mail-order sales of bicycle parts and accessories. It relied on the thennascent Internet first to build a UK customer base, and then to sell products abroad, eventually changing the name of the firm to Wiggle. Today, half the company’s £179m annual sales come from export markets. With bulk buying keeping prices low, and with efficient delivery, Wiggle was able to compete successfully against local firms even in countries as far away as Australia.
With backing from private-equity owners, Wiggle quickly reached customers in 120 countries. But to make the business more manageable, and to protect profitability, the firm recently cut the number of export markets back to 70. In particular, it chose to focus on fast-growing and profitable markets in the UK and continental Europe. Other markets, for example in Asia, were less lucrative, particularly as exchange-rate differences hurt sales and margins.
Like Graze, Wiggle shows how a successful company can use the Internet to gain entry into export markets globally. But sustaining that success sometimes requires taking a step back and assessing whether all expansions are necessarily good expansions. That calculation is not inconsistent with a key success factor for SMEs entering export markets—namely, the importance of establishing a deep presence in each market. Spreading a small company’s limited resources too thinly around the globe can mean devoting too little attention to acquiring a firm foothold in the markets that matter most to the firm’s growth.
Developing a recognisable local brand, tailoring products to local tastes and ensuring efficient delivery all require a certain focus. If an SME wants sustainable international growth, it may find that, in amassing a portfolio of export markets, sometimes less is indeed more.
The same principle applies to amassing a portfolio of foreign subsidiaries. Each subsidiary represents a range of costs, from start-up to maintenance to ongoing compliance expenses. Velocity Global, a consultancy, estimates the global average cost of establishing a foreign subsidiary at US$15,000-20,000, and the average maintenance costs at US$40,000 per employee per year. To this it adds indeterminate ongoing costs of staying current on changing local tax laws, payroll withholding requirements, employment law, and new banking regulations, among others.
CONCLUSION
There is, of course, no “recipe” for success in sustaining international growth by SMEs. But the experience of some successful SMEs points to guidelines to consider.
The examples of Graze and Ted Baker show the importance of adapting products—and when necessary, entire business models—to suit local tastes and conditions. APMT’s example showcases the advantage of partnering with established players to ensure both initial and ongoing access to local markets. Globalstar’s example indicates the value of leveraging a unique technology and existing foreign sales and distribution channels to extend market reach.
Wiggle, the UK bicycle parts and accessories exporter, offers a cautionary tale concerning expansion that is too fast and too extensive. In its case, sustaining international growth required, first and foremost, focusing on a portfolio of foreign markets that it could manage effectively.
All these examples show the diversity of strategies needed to sustain international growth. While the examples are diverse, they share an important success factor in common: All show the importance of firms committing themselves to their chosen foreign markets. More than anything else, that commitment is a prerequisite for sustained growth in those markets.
SMEs and Global Growth: The High-Tech Advantage
To a greater extent every day, information technology is levelling the playing field for small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs). Export markets, in particular, are no longer the exclusive domain of large players with the resources to field global sales and production staffs. Today, even startups can use the Internet to sell abroad, and to commission foreign firms to produce their designs cheaply.
For some new firms, in fact, geographical boundaries hardly come into play at all: they market and sell to consumers worldwide directly, becoming global players almost from the start. A good example is Skype, an Internet phone service set up by two Scandinavian entrepreneurs in 2003. In short order, Skype grew from a start-up to a global player with US$2 billion in annual revenues.
Skype is a classic example of a ‘micro-multinational’, a phrase coined by Google chief economist Hal Varian to describe small firms that acquire a global presence by using technology. However, such instant international presence is more the exception than the rule. Most small companies have to build an international presence the slow way, by building up their brands and creating networks of international business partners. Information technology helps in this effort, but does not produce instantaneous results as it might with specialised communications services providers such as Skype.
Indeed, even technology companies typically need a certain scale and an established brand to expand beyond their home markets. A good example is IceMobile, a Dutch company that creates mobile apps and has launched a successful drive abroad. The firm did do so by first establishing its brand in the Netherlands, and then partnering with another Dutch firm with a complementary product—brand loyalty programmes—to expand abroad. Its experience illustrates that, for most mid-sized firms a certain initial size and heft in the home market is a prerequisite for export success.
Broadly speaking, technology has helped to foster three types of SME exporter. First, there are companies such as IceMobile with established brands at home, which can use technology to export their business models. Second, there are so-called ‘born global’ firms such as Skype, which sell products globally right from the start-up phase. And third, some mid-sized companies use technology to outsource and offshore a core activity.
VENTURING ABROAD
Although technology is fostering a new generation of smaller, export-focused companies, this development should be seen in perspective. Most SMEs remain focused on their home markets and have no plans to venture abroad anytime soon. This is particularly true of SMEs based in large markets such as the United States. US statistics show that 304,000 out of the country’s 5.8m companies—only 5.5% of the total—exported in 2014.1 Moreover, most of those exports went to neighbours Canada and Mexico. “The domestic market is big enough to grow sales in by itself, and small companies often lack the resources to export,” explains Erin Butler, a commercial officer of the US Commerce Department’s Export Assistance Centre in New Orleans.
Most European SMEs focus on their national markets, too, despite the advantages of the European single market. Only about one-fourth of continental European companies trade internationally, according to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI). In fact, the figure is driven upwards by Germany, where more than half (54%) of all manufacturing companies export, according to the Deutscher Industrie- und Handelskammertag (DIKW), an industry body. In the Netherlands, a big trading country, around 20% of firms export, often as suppliers to local multinationals, says the Dutch business federation MKB.
Similarly, France has comparatively few exporting companies, with foreign trade dominated by a relative handful of large firms. In a recent survey, United Parcel Service, the world’s largest package delivery company, found that only 10% of French companies export.2 French government figures show there are only 120,000 French exporting companies, a third of the number in Germany. In the UK, just 8% of companies export directly, and another 7% supply foreign markets indirectly as part of multinationals’ supply chains, the CBI says.
Yet there is evidence that the Internet is changing this picture, encouraging more SMEs to look abroad for growth. For example, Petit Bateau, a privately-owned French children’s clothing company with 2013 sales of €300m, now sells successfully to other European countries over a website launched in 2006. The web site built upon an international chain of shops started by Petit Bateau in 2001, which, in turn, built on a mail-order business the firm started in the late 1980s. The web site, in short, enhances the firm’s international offering, but is not the basis for it. The basis is a fashion business that was developed over decades in the home market, and then expanded through mail order and traditional bricks-and-mortar shops.
Similarly, the director of a successful UK fashion brand, which now earns around half of its £380m annual revenue in foreign markets, expects explosive growth from Internet sales—but sees this growth as building on the firm’s existing brand strength. “The Internet technology became available for us to increase our presence abroad around six years ago,” says an executive of
the firm, who requested anonymity. The web site automatically detects where a user is based, enabling options such as home delivery or “click and collect” at a local store.
As with Petit Bateau, these marketing channels complement, rather than replace, an established foreign presence. The UK firm opened its first foreign store in the US in the late 1990s, and then steadily built up a network of shops worldwide, as well as supply arrangements with foreign department stores. As these examples show, the companies that benefit most from leveraging their established brands via the Internet are often those occupying a specialised market niche, such as a fashion brand or a unique technology.
‘BORN—OR RE-BORN—GLOBAL’
Many ‘born global’ companies, in contrast, sell a high-technology product internationally right from the start. As noted above, Skype and social media platforms such as Facebook fit this description. Another example is Bausey Medical Solutions, a US firm marketing a medical diagnostic app. The firm says it has attracted interest from Europe as well as the US. In Germany, start-ups such as SoundCloud, a global online audio distribution platform, and the photo-editing and photo-sharing app EyeEm, have quickly built a global presence.
In some cases, the growth afforded by Internet marketing is so rapid that a company is, in effect, ‘re-born global’. IceMobile, for example, built an established national presence by providing mobile apps for Dutch companies such as ABN Amro bank and the Albert Heyn grocery store chain. It then proceeded to build an international presence. In 2012 it merged with another Dutch company, BrandLoyalty, which produces loyalty programmes for retailers. Most of its revenues now come from foreign markets, as the combined company uses IceMobile technology to offer shoppers mobile access to their accounts. Clients include companies such as Lowes Foods (US), Dutch-owned SPAR China, and Danish retailer Coop, says its chief executive Jeroen Pietryga. “The possibilities are increasing fast,” he adds, pointing to the possible use of customer data to design and implement loyalty schemes.
Similarly, Globalstar, a listed US communications company, grew quickly in international markets after making major technology investments. “It cost us US$1bn to launch our satellite network,” says Jay Monroe, Globalstar’s chairman, with industry backers including Deutsche Aerospace and Vodaphone funding the launch of a system that supports satellite phone and data transmission. That investment enabled the company to occupy a niche selling global positioning and tracking devices, including satellite phones for individuals visiting remote regions.
Mr Monroe talks of bringing the retail price down to US$100 (less than half of the launch price at the start of next year). “The potential market could be 500,000 units a year in time,” he claims, with interest from the major car makers (looking for reliable connectivity for their vehicles) as well as retailers. That would be a large increase for a company with 2015 revenues of US$90.5m. The potential is being factored into its share price: the company is valued at more than US$1bn. Like IceMobile’s, Globalstar’s experience shows that technology companies can tap into global markets to win rapid growth, but must have an initial scale and established technology to do so.
OUTSOURCING AND OFFSHORING A CORE ACTIVITY
Mid-sized companies can also expand abroad in a third way: outsourcing a core activity, such as manufacturing, to a foreign partner, using information technology to ensure close adherence to product specifications and guidelines. Mid-sized manufacturers based in Germany in particular have led the movement to move manufacturing to lower-wage partners in Asia and Eastern Europe. In many cases, such moves are in response to technology-driven offshoring of production by the SMEs’ key multinational customers.
This pattern is well established, and predates the Internet revolution. Many German mid-sized firms set up production in Asia as they followed their multinational customers there; leading automakers, for example, have been manufacturing in China since the 1980s. The German Chamber of Commerce says that more than 5,000 German firms now operate in China and that, with local production so well established, attention has shifted to exploiting the huge Chinese market. By now, 93% of German firms say that they are in China for its sales potential, while just 43% are there because of lower production costs.
The shift wrought by information technology is not that it allows firms to outsource or offshore core activities, but that it makes it much cheaper and easier for smaller companies to follow the lead of bigger companies in doing so. A good example is Bowers & Wilkins, a UK company that produces loudspeakers and other audio equipment. Three quarters of its £125 million annual revenue comes from a plant it opened in China to cut costs. That plant allowed it to market speakers priced at just a few hundred pounds, compared to the £35,000 price of some of its UKmanufactured systems (or up to £1 million for a bespoke stadium system).
Beyond facilitating offshoring, the Internet combined with technologies such as 3D printing and automated manufacturing are changing the nature of manufacturing itself. A case in point is Local Motors, a US company that uses open-source online vehicle designs and then manufactures the vehicles through a global network of small plants, sometimes through 3D printing. The firm employs just 15 full-time staff, relying on an online network of 12,000 freelance designers. To date, it has produced about 50 off-road vehicles, and plans to produce another 1,500. Its combination of open-source design and distributed manufacturing allows this mid-sized firm to compete with automotive giants burdened with large fixed costs.
A LOOK AHEAD: CONSTRUCTIVE DISRUPTION
Examples such as Local Motors show how new technologies that benefit SMEs also disrupt established business models across a range of industries. In manufacturing, a shift to flexible manpower and online intellectual property is calling into question the old fixed-plant business model, which requires mass manufacturing to benefit from economies of scale.
Moreover, highly automated production—for example, the use of robots—will eventually erode the cost advantage of basing production in low-wage countries, as labour becomes less important to costs, says Erik Brynjolfsson, a professor of management at the MIT Sloan School of Management and director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy. This will allow mid-sized firms to shift production away from low-wage countries and into target markets abroad, or indeed back to their home markets to facilitate close monitoring of quality and product design.
Rossignol, the French ski equipment maker with 2015 sales of €243m, provides an example of ‘backshoring’—moving previously offshored production back to the home market—as the cost advantage of offshoring was eroded. The company said in 2010 that was moving production back to France that it had off-shored to Taiwan three years earlier. Its aim, it said, was to produce better researched products and react more quickly to changes in the ski equipment market. Modern manufacturing technology has helped to protect the company’s price-competitiveness despite its return to a higher-wage manufacturing base.
Non-manufacturing industries also provide examples of business-model disruption driven by new technologies, which in turn opens new opportunities for SMEs to challenge established giants. In financial services, small players are building new markets in developing countries by offering basic, mobile-based banking services to previously under-served populations. An example is bKash, a mobile banking platform in Bangladesh. It launched in 2011 and had 11m accounts two years later. In retailing, small web-based shopping platforms such as Konga and Jumia in Nigeria are challenging the predominance of companies like US-based amazon.com, and have seen rapid growth in their customer bases as well. Jumia was launched by a German e-commerce investor, Rocket Internet, in 2012. It is losing money, but its sales have surged to US$150m a year.
Across manufacturing and service industries, then, technology is not just enabling leaps in efficiency. It is changing the very way that some sectors operate. For mid-sized firms, this opens the door to explosive growth, if they are able to spot and exploit new market niches, and use new technologies to leverage their success.
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