Strategy & Leadership

Global Food Trends to 2030: with a closer look at the GCC

February 17, 2019

Global

February 17, 2019

Global
Melanie Noronha

Principal, Policy & insights

Melanie is a principal at Economist Impact. She has over ten years of experience delivering consulting and thought leadership projects to public, private and not-for-profit organisations. Based in Dubai, she leads the Middle East and Africa team on research across a range of sectors including food sustainability, recycling, renewable energy, fintech, trade and supply chains. She is a specialist in advanced recycling technologies and international trade. She is a seasoned moderator, having chaired numerous panel discussions and presented Economist Impact's research at global in-person and virtual conferences.

Before joining The Economist Group, she was a senior analyst at MEED Insight, a research and consulting firm serving Middle East and North Africa. At MEED, she developed expertise in bespoke market studies and financial modelling across a range of sectors spanning construction, finance, power and water, oil and gas, and renewable energy. She held previous posts at the Office of the Chief Economist at the Dubai International Financial Centre and at the San Francisco Center for Economic Development. Melanie has an MSc in International Strategy and Economics from the University of St Andrews and a bachelor’s degree in business administration.

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About this research

Global food trends to 2030: With a closer look at the GCC is a Dubai Industrial City (formerly known as Dubai Industrial Park) report written by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). In this paper, The EIU presents key trends that are shaping the global food industry landscape, focusing on food production and the supply chain, followed by a closer look at those relevant to the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries.

We have identified these trends through an extensive literature review combined with in-depth interviews with food experts, comprising academics and executives at food companies from around the world—and specifically the GCC. A framework was developed to identify high-priority trends, based on the following considerations:

Response: Is the trend a response to challenges (e.g. food security, ecological damage health and nutrition) or opportunities (e.g.emerging technologies)?

Breadth: Does the trend affect multiple food types or a broad share of the food that we consume?
Novelty: Is the trend relatively new, fast-evolving and/or characterised by relatively low awareness?
Applicability: Is the trend potentially global in its application?

Executive summary

Any discussion about the global food system should be understood in the context of three overarching perspectives. First, modern agriculture and global trade have, for many, delivered unprecedented access to an abundance of safe, affordable and diverse foods. The history of agriculture has demonstrated that the food system is capable of adapting to change, usually with the aid of technology, policies and practices designed to enhance food safety and encourage trade. Second, despite this optimistic view, food insecurity remains an issue for vulnerable populations across the world, from advanced economies to impoverished ones—and this is seen by many as a matter of human rights and equity. Third, there is a rapidly emerging view that the planet’s food system is simply unsustainable, both environmentally and in terms of health and diet.

These perspectives form a backdrop against which global food trends should be considered. This report identifies 20 such trends, following conversations with global and GCC-based agri-food leaders. The trends are grouped into two categories: chapter 1 reflects on eight systemic economic, environmental and social trends that cut across food production and the supply chain; chapter 2 addresses the breadth and potential of technology change against a backdrop of the fourth industrial revolution in 12 trends, which promise to foster more successful, responsible and resilient food systems.

 

 

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