Economic Development

China icebergs: Forces that could reshape the world

October 09, 2019

Asia

October 09, 2019

Asia
Jason Wincuinas

Manager, Policy and insights

Based in Hong Kong, Jason covers Asia from Australia to India. His background includes managing publications, financial reporting and technical marketing as well as a decade of product-sourcing experience with mainland China factories. Some of his most formative work, however, has been as a stay-at-home dad and freelance writer, covering topics from perfluorocarbons to popcorn. Jason received a BA in English from the University of Massachusetts, Amherst with study at the University of Sheffield in Yorkshire, UK.

Chinese businesses are not just changing China, they are changing the world.

China icebergs: Forces that could reshape the world  is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by PineBridge Investments, that examines hidden strengths in the Chinese economy—“icebergs”—that existing and potential investors into the world’s second-largest economy should be watching.

The US may have held its position as the world’s largest economy since 1871, but in the 1820s the world’s economic powerhouse was China, at almost 20 times the size of US GDP. China’s decline began in the 19th century and lasted until the country’s economic reforms that began in 1979. Since then, China has rapidly re-emerged as a major economy.

China’s boom has helped fuel global growth, but it has also raised the country’s debt levels and prompted questions about economic endurance and global impact. Trends may be visible on the surface, but, like an iceberg, bigger implications lie underneath. To get a better understanding, this report aims to go below headline numbers and explore the nation’s commercial strengths and potential weaknesses. Key takeaways include:

  • The economy is shifting, and consumers are the driving force. Liberalisation of the private sector is shifting China from a state-backed to a consumption-led economy, which could fully transition by 2030.
  • Chinese technological advances are compounding. From mobile internet to fintech to artificial intelligence and flying cars, Chinese firms are innovating and advances are feeding into the local economy as well as going global.
  • New growth centres are emerging—exponentially. China’s lower-tier cities are growing fast and catching up to the mega-cities in terms of technology, commerce and infrastructure.

What does the emergence of middle-class, digital-savvy consumers, the improving mobility of work and the rapid urbanisation mean for China's economy? We talked to Mr. Chibo Tang from Gobi Partners.

 

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